Arcos Dorados Sees FY26 Capital Expenditures of $275M-$325M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 28 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ARCO?
Sees FY26 capital expenditures $275M-$325M. "Arcos Dorados remains committed to capturing the full potential of the McDonald's brand in Latin America and the Caribbean. Last year, we opened 102 modern restaurants with a focus on exceeding guest expectations at each new location. This year, we will continue to pursue unit growth and the modernization of our existing restaurants with a heightened focus on optimizing our development process. Several initiatives are underway to enhance the return on our capital investments, and we look forward to providing additional detail as the year progresses," said Luis Raganato, Arcos Dorados' CEO.
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Analyst Views on ARCO
Wall Street analysts forecast ARCO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARCO is 8.50 USD with a low forecast of 8.50 USD and a high forecast of 8.50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 8.900
Low
8.50
Averages
8.50
High
8.50
Current: 8.900
Low
8.50
Averages
8.50
High
8.50
About ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is a McDonald's franchisee. The Company operates or franchises over 2,140 McDonald's-branded restaurants. It divides its operations into four geographical divisions: Brazil; the Caribbean division, consisting of Aruba, Colombia, Curacao, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, the United States Virgin Islands of Saint Croix and Saint Thomas, and Venezuela; the North Latin America division (NOLAD), consisting of Costa Rica, Mexico and Panama, and the South Latin America division (SLAD), consisting of Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Peru and Uruguay. Its menus feature over three tiers of products: entry-level options, such as its Big Pleasures, Small Prices offerings and Almuerzos Colombianos (Colombian Lunches) in Colombia; core menu options, such as the Big Mac, Happy Meal and Quarter Pounder, and premium options, such as Big Tasty or Angus premium hamburgers and chicken sandwiches and low-calorie or low-sodium products.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Arcos Dorados to Participate in 2026 Investor Conference
- Investor Conference Participation: Arcos Dorados will participate in the BTG CEO Conference Brasil 2026, held in São Paulo from February 10 to 12, showcasing its leadership in the Latin American market and likely attracting investor interest.
- Restaurant Operation Scale: As of December 31, 2025, Arcos Dorados and its sub-franchisees operate over 2,500 restaurants across 21 countries and territories, employing more than 100,000 people, demonstrating its significant influence in the quick-service restaurant sector.
- Community Development Commitment: The company is dedicated to providing young people with their first formal job opportunities and achieving a positive environmental impact through its Recipe for the Future initiative, further solidifying its image of social responsibility.
- Listing Information: Arcos Dorados is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE:ARCO), with investor relations information available on the company’s website, enhancing transparency and investor confidence.
See More
Arcos Dorados to Refinance Debt with New Bank Loan
- Debt Refinancing Plan: Arcos Dorados Holdings announced plans to refinance part of its debt through a new bank loan, aimed at repurchasing its 6.125% sustainability-linked senior notes due 2029, which is expected to reduce the average U.S. dollar cost of long-term debt by approximately 55 basis points.
- Loan Details: The company's Brazilian subsidiary borrowed $150 million in December 2025, with the new bank debt due in 2029 having an estimated U.S. dollar cost of 2.53%, achieved through derivative instruments to manage interest rates and currency exposure, ensuring manageable financing costs.
- Impact of Repurchase Plan: If the tender offer is fully accepted, Arcos Dorados will optimize its capital structure without materially affecting debt maturity, currency exposure, or net leverage, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Arcos Dorados' stock rose by 0.49% to close at $8.18, indicating a positive market response to its debt management strategy, which may bolster investor confidence.
See More
Arcos Dorados Financing Transaction Enhances Capital Efficiency
- Capital Structure Optimization: Arcos Dorados' Brazilian subsidiary borrowed $150 million in December 2025, intending to fund a corresponding tender offer for Sustainability-Linked Senior Notes, which is expected to reduce the company's financing costs.
- Interest Rate Management Strategy: The company and its Brazilian subsidiary utilized derivative instruments to manage interest rate risk, with the new bank debt estimated to have a US dollar cost of 2.53%, helping to maintain foreign currency exposure of long-term debt.
- Debt Cost Reduction Expectation: In the event of full acceptance of the tender offer, the company anticipates a reduction of approximately 55 basis points in the average US dollar cost of its long-term debt, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Market Opportunity Utilization: Company executives stated that this financing transaction demonstrates their ability to leverage market opportunities to enhance capital structure efficiency, supporting the maximization of the McDonald's brand potential across 21 countries and territories.
See More
Arcos Dorados Plans to Open 115 New Restaurants in 2026
- Expansion Plans: Arcos Dorados intends to open 105 to 115 new restaurants in 2026, following the opening of 102 locations in 2025, indicating its ongoing commitment to growth in the Latin American market.
- Capital Expenditure Outlook: The company expects capital spending for 2025 to be at the lower end of the $300 million to $350 million range, while forecasting $275 million to $325 million for 2026, which will cover new openings, upgrades, maintenance, and IT investments, reflecting confidence in future growth.
- Funding Sources: The anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 will be funded through operating cash flow and cash on hand, demonstrating the company's financial prudence and supporting its expansion strategy.
- Market Reaction: Arcos Dorados' stock rose 1.6% in premarket trading, reflecting investor optimism regarding its expansion plans and financial outlook.
See More
Arcos Dorados Announces 2026 Expansion Plans
- Restaurant Opening Plans: Arcos Dorados opened 102 new restaurants in 2025, with 64 in Brazil, 23 in South Latin America, and 15 in North Latin America, and expects to add 105 to 115 more in 2026, demonstrating its commitment to expansion in the Latin American market.
- Capital Expenditure Projections: Estimated capital expenditures for 2025 are at the low end of the $300 to $350 million range, while 2026 projections are between $275 million and $325 million, covering new openings, modernization, and IT investments, indicating confidence in future growth.
- Operational Optimization Strategy: The company aims to enhance operational efficiency by optimizing development processes and improving capital investment returns, with CEO Luis Raganato emphasizing the importance of continuous improvement and customer experience to boost market competitiveness.
- Community Development Commitment: Arcos Dorados is dedicated to providing young people with their first formal job opportunities and achieving a positive environmental impact through its 'Recipe for the Future' initiative, reflecting the company's strategic focus on social responsibility.
See More
Arcos Dorados Plans Expansion with 105-115 New Restaurants in 2026
- Restaurant Expansion Plan: Arcos Dorados opened 102 new restaurants in 2025, including 88 free-standing units, and expects to add 105 to 115 new locations in 2026, indicating strong growth potential in the Latin American market.
- Capital Expenditure Outlook: The company projects total capital expenditures of $275 million to $325 million for 2026, aimed at funding new restaurant openings, modernizations, and enhancements to IT systems, thereby optimizing investment returns.
- Market Leadership: As the largest quick-service restaurant chain in Latin America, Arcos Dorados operates over 2,500 restaurants across 21 countries and territories, and is expected to leverage its market dominance and brand influence to attract more customers.
- Commitment to Community Development: The company is dedicated to providing young people with their first formal job opportunities and achieving a positive environmental impact through its Recipe for the Future initiative, further solidifying its leadership in corporate social responsibility.
See More
Arcos Dorados to Participate in 2026 Investor Conference
- Investor Conference Participation: Arcos Dorados will participate in the BTG CEO Conference Brasil 2026, held in São Paulo from February 10 to 12, showcasing its leadership in the Latin American market and likely attracting investor interest.
- Restaurant Operation Scale: As of December 31, 2025, Arcos Dorados and its sub-franchisees operate over 2,500 restaurants across 21 countries and territories, employing more than 100,000 people, demonstrating its significant influence in the quick-service restaurant sector.
- Community Development Commitment: The company is dedicated to providing young people with their first formal job opportunities and achieving a positive environmental impact through its Recipe for the Future initiative, further solidifying its image of social responsibility.
- Listing Information: Arcos Dorados is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE:ARCO), with investor relations information available on the company’s website, enhancing transparency and investor confidence.
See More
Arcos Dorados to Refinance Debt with New Bank Loan
- Debt Refinancing Plan: Arcos Dorados Holdings announced plans to refinance part of its debt through a new bank loan, aimed at repurchasing its 6.125% sustainability-linked senior notes due 2029, which is expected to reduce the average U.S. dollar cost of long-term debt by approximately 55 basis points.
- Loan Details: The company's Brazilian subsidiary borrowed $150 million in December 2025, with the new bank debt due in 2029 having an estimated U.S. dollar cost of 2.53%, achieved through derivative instruments to manage interest rates and currency exposure, ensuring manageable financing costs.
- Impact of Repurchase Plan: If the tender offer is fully accepted, Arcos Dorados will optimize its capital structure without materially affecting debt maturity, currency exposure, or net leverage, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Arcos Dorados' stock rose by 0.49% to close at $8.18, indicating a positive market response to its debt management strategy, which may bolster investor confidence.
See More
Arcos Dorados Financing Transaction Enhances Capital Efficiency
- Capital Structure Optimization: Arcos Dorados' Brazilian subsidiary borrowed $150 million in December 2025, intending to fund a corresponding tender offer for Sustainability-Linked Senior Notes, which is expected to reduce the company's financing costs.
- Interest Rate Management Strategy: The company and its Brazilian subsidiary utilized derivative instruments to manage interest rate risk, with the new bank debt estimated to have a US dollar cost of 2.53%, helping to maintain foreign currency exposure of long-term debt.
- Debt Cost Reduction Expectation: In the event of full acceptance of the tender offer, the company anticipates a reduction of approximately 55 basis points in the average US dollar cost of its long-term debt, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Market Opportunity Utilization: Company executives stated that this financing transaction demonstrates their ability to leverage market opportunities to enhance capital structure efficiency, supporting the maximization of the McDonald's brand potential across 21 countries and territories.
See More
Arcos Dorados Plans to Open 115 New Restaurants in 2026
- Expansion Plans: Arcos Dorados intends to open 105 to 115 new restaurants in 2026, following the opening of 102 locations in 2025, indicating its ongoing commitment to growth in the Latin American market.
- Capital Expenditure Outlook: The company expects capital spending for 2025 to be at the lower end of the $300 million to $350 million range, while forecasting $275 million to $325 million for 2026, which will cover new openings, upgrades, maintenance, and IT investments, reflecting confidence in future growth.
- Funding Sources: The anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 will be funded through operating cash flow and cash on hand, demonstrating the company's financial prudence and supporting its expansion strategy.
- Market Reaction: Arcos Dorados' stock rose 1.6% in premarket trading, reflecting investor optimism regarding its expansion plans and financial outlook.
See More
Arcos Dorados Announces 2026 Expansion Plans
- Restaurant Opening Plans: Arcos Dorados opened 102 new restaurants in 2025, with 64 in Brazil, 23 in South Latin America, and 15 in North Latin America, and expects to add 105 to 115 more in 2026, demonstrating its commitment to expansion in the Latin American market.
- Capital Expenditure Projections: Estimated capital expenditures for 2025 are at the low end of the $300 to $350 million range, while 2026 projections are between $275 million and $325 million, covering new openings, modernization, and IT investments, indicating confidence in future growth.
- Operational Optimization Strategy: The company aims to enhance operational efficiency by optimizing development processes and improving capital investment returns, with CEO Luis Raganato emphasizing the importance of continuous improvement and customer experience to boost market competitiveness.
- Community Development Commitment: Arcos Dorados is dedicated to providing young people with their first formal job opportunities and achieving a positive environmental impact through its 'Recipe for the Future' initiative, reflecting the company's strategic focus on social responsibility.
See More
Arcos Dorados Plans Expansion with 105-115 New Restaurants in 2026
- Restaurant Expansion Plan: Arcos Dorados opened 102 new restaurants in 2025, including 88 free-standing units, and expects to add 105 to 115 new locations in 2026, indicating strong growth potential in the Latin American market.
- Capital Expenditure Outlook: The company projects total capital expenditures of $275 million to $325 million for 2026, aimed at funding new restaurant openings, modernizations, and enhancements to IT systems, thereby optimizing investment returns.
- Market Leadership: As the largest quick-service restaurant chain in Latin America, Arcos Dorados operates over 2,500 restaurants across 21 countries and territories, and is expected to leverage its market dominance and brand influence to attract more customers.
- Commitment to Community Development: The company is dedicated to providing young people with their first formal job opportunities and achieving a positive environmental impact through its Recipe for the Future initiative, further solidifying its leadership in corporate social responsibility.
See More
