Analysis of Global Market Impact from Iran Conflict
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MSCI?
Source: CNBC
- Market Vulnerability Analysis: MSCI's research team highlights that the Iran conflict has caused turmoil across major asset classes, particularly impacting emerging Asian markets that are heavily reliant on oil supply from the Strait of Hormuz, indicating significant vulnerability.
- Significant Stock Market Impact: The equity markets of China, South Korea, India, and Taiwan were severely affected by news of the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with these countries holding substantial weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, amplifying the portfolio-level impact for investors.
- Deep Economic Ties: The research reveals that firms from India, the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan have a meaningful physical presence in GCC countries, with over 2% exposure, making them more susceptible to risks from geopolitical shocks.
- Unequal Investor Impact: MSCI emphasizes that the degree of impact from geopolitical shocks varies among investors, depending on hidden linkages in holdings, such as which companies generate revenue from affected regions, where they operate facilities, and how vulnerable their supply chains are to disruptions.
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Analyst Views on MSCI
Wall Street analysts forecast MSCI stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 523.400
Low
570.00
Averages
648.88
High
710.00
Current: 523.400
Low
570.00
Averages
648.88
High
710.00
About MSCI
MSCI Inc. (MSCI) is a provider of critical decision support tools and solutions for the global investment community. The Company operates through four segments: Index, Analytics, ESG and Climate, and All Other-Private Assets. The Index segment offers products, such as MSCI Global Equity Indexes, ESG and Climate Indexes, Factor Indexes, Thematic Indexes, Client-Designed Indexes, Fixed Income Indexes and Real Assets Indexes. The Analytics segment offers risk management, performance attribution and portfolio management content, applications and services. Its ESG and Climate segment offerings include MSCI ESG Ratings, MSCI ESG Business Involvement Screening Research, and MSCI Climate Solutions. The Company's All Other-Private Assets segment comprises the Real Assets segment and Private Capital Solutions segment. The Real Assets segment offers data, benchmarks, return-analytics, climate assessments and market insights for tangible assets such as real estate and infrastructure.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
UBS Analysts Advise Investors to Shift to Defensive Assets
- Market Rotation Opportunity: UBS analysts highlight that the delay in U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure presents an opportunity for investors to rotate into defensive assets, while downgrading European and Indian equities to a 'neutral' rating despite an overall positive outlook on equities.
- Energy Price Sensitivity: The analysts note that European equities are particularly sensitive to rising oil and gas prices due to the region's lack of energy self-sufficiency, which could hinder manufacturing recovery and increase economic risks.
- Vulnerability in India: UBS points out that India, as a significant importer of foreign oil, liquefied natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gas, faces particular vulnerability to energy price shocks, which are expected to widen the current account deficit, add fiscal pressures, and slow economic growth.
- Gold Investment Outlook: UBS advises investors to take advantage of the recent sell-off in gold, forecasting substantial rallies in the medium term if geopolitical uncertainty remains high and interest rate expectations decline, viewing gold as an effective long-term portfolio hedge.
See More
Analysis of Global Market Impact from Iran Conflict
- Market Vulnerability Analysis: MSCI's research team highlights that the Iran conflict has caused turmoil across major asset classes, particularly impacting emerging Asian markets that are heavily reliant on oil supply from the Strait of Hormuz, indicating significant vulnerability.
- Significant Stock Market Impact: The equity markets of China, South Korea, India, and Taiwan were severely affected by news of the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with these countries holding substantial weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, amplifying the portfolio-level impact for investors.
- Deep Economic Ties: The research reveals that firms from India, the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan have a meaningful physical presence in GCC countries, with over 2% exposure, making them more susceptible to risks from geopolitical shocks.
- Unequal Investor Impact: MSCI emphasizes that the degree of impact from geopolitical shocks varies among investors, depending on hidden linkages in holdings, such as which companies generate revenue from affected regions, where they operate facilities, and how vulnerable their supply chains are to disruptions.
See More
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- Asset Allocation: FactSet now accounts for 2.27% of Bamco's 13F assets under management, highlighting its significance in Bamco's investment portfolio, even as overall market performance remains weak.
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- Market Performance: As of February 17, 2026, FactSet shares were priced at $190.06, reflecting a 58.2% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 69.8 percentage points, raising concerns about its future growth prospects.
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See More
UBS Analysts Advise Investors to Shift to Defensive Assets
- Market Rotation Opportunity: UBS analysts highlight that the delay in U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure presents an opportunity for investors to rotate into defensive assets, while downgrading European and Indian equities to a 'neutral' rating despite an overall positive outlook on equities.
- Energy Price Sensitivity: The analysts note that European equities are particularly sensitive to rising oil and gas prices due to the region's lack of energy self-sufficiency, which could hinder manufacturing recovery and increase economic risks.
- Vulnerability in India: UBS points out that India, as a significant importer of foreign oil, liquefied natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gas, faces particular vulnerability to energy price shocks, which are expected to widen the current account deficit, add fiscal pressures, and slow economic growth.
- Gold Investment Outlook: UBS advises investors to take advantage of the recent sell-off in gold, forecasting substantial rallies in the medium term if geopolitical uncertainty remains high and interest rate expectations decline, viewing gold as an effective long-term portfolio hedge.
See More
Analysis of Global Market Impact from Iran Conflict
- Market Vulnerability Analysis: MSCI's research team highlights that the Iran conflict has caused turmoil across major asset classes, particularly impacting emerging Asian markets that are heavily reliant on oil supply from the Strait of Hormuz, indicating significant vulnerability.
- Significant Stock Market Impact: The equity markets of China, South Korea, India, and Taiwan were severely affected by news of the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with these countries holding substantial weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, amplifying the portfolio-level impact for investors.
- Deep Economic Ties: The research reveals that firms from India, the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan have a meaningful physical presence in GCC countries, with over 2% exposure, making them more susceptible to risks from geopolitical shocks.
- Unequal Investor Impact: MSCI emphasizes that the degree of impact from geopolitical shocks varies among investors, depending on hidden linkages in holdings, such as which companies generate revenue from affected regions, where they operate facilities, and how vulnerable their supply chains are to disruptions.
See More
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- Nvidia Strategy Reaffirmed: Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight, highlighting its cost leadership strategy presented at the GTC Conference, indicating that the company's competitive edge in AI will strengthen, likely driving future earnings growth.
- Uber Partnership Expansion: Deutsche Bank reiterates Uber as a buy, emphasizing that its expanded partnership with Nvidia will significantly scale operations, marking a deeper relationship that could open new revenue streams for Uber.
- Amazon's AI Advantage: Needham reiterates Amazon as a buy, believing that its vast product catalog and fulfillment network will position it favorably in the AI market, expected to drive revenue growth and solidify its market leadership.
- Lemonade Insurance Upgrade: Morgan Stanley upgrades Lemonade from equal weight to overweight, stressing that its partnership with Tesla provides a first-mover advantage in data analysis, likely enhancing its competitive position and driving future growth.
See More
Bamco Inc Increases Stake in FactSet by $317.17 Million
- Stake Increase: Bamco Inc increased its position in FactSet Research Systems by 1,069,786 shares during Q4 2025, amounting to an investment of $317.17 million, indicating confidence in the company despite a 58.2% decline in stock price over the past year.
- Asset Allocation: FactSet now accounts for 2.27% of Bamco's 13F assets under management, highlighting its significance in Bamco's investment portfolio, even as overall market performance remains weak.
- Financial Overview: FactSet's latest financial report shows a trailing twelve-month revenue of $2.36 billion and a net income of $599.60 million, with a dividend yield of 2.14%, indicating the company's ability to maintain profitability under a stable subscription model.
- Market Position: As a leading provider of financial data and analytics, FactSet supports global investment decision-making through its comprehensive workflow solutions, reinforcing its role as a key partner for institutional investors despite facing market volatility challenges.
See More
Bamco Inc Increases Stake in FactSet Research Systems
- Stake Increase: Bamco Inc increased its stake in FactSet Research Systems by 1,069,786 shares during Q4 2026, bringing its total holdings to 2,888,845 shares valued at $838.31 million, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Asset Management Proportion: This acquisition positions Bamco's holdings in FactSet at 2.27% of its 13F reportable assets under management, although it remains outside the top five holdings, highlighting its significance in the investment portfolio.
- Market Performance: As of February 17, 2026, FactSet's stock price stood at $190.06, down 58.2% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 69.8 percentage points, reflecting market concerns regarding its future growth prospects.
- Business Model Advantage: FactSet leverages a robust subscription model and comprehensive workflow solutions to continuously provide financial data and analytics to global investment professionals, ensuring stable revenue streams and strong client relationships despite market fluctuations.
See More
Bamco Expands FactSet Stake to $838 Million as Financial Data Platform Drives Recurring Revenue
- Stake Increase: Bamco Inc increased its position in FactSet Research Systems by 1,069,786 shares during Q4 2025, amounting to $317.17 million, which now represents 2.27% of its 13F assets under management, indicating strong confidence in the financial data platform.
- Market Performance: As of February 17, 2026, FactSet shares were priced at $190.06, reflecting a 58.2% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 69.8 percentage points, raising concerns about its future growth prospects.
- Financial Overview: FactSet reported a trailing twelve-month revenue of $2.36 billion and a net income of $599.60 million, with a dividend yield of 2.14%, showcasing its stability and profitability in the financial data and analytics sector.
- Client Base: FactSet provides integrated financial information and analytics tools for global investment professionals, relying on its subscription model to generate recurring revenue, ensuring strong client retention, particularly among asset managers and investment banks.
See More
