Analysis of Fed Chair Nominee Hearing
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 10 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy GS?
Source: CNBC
- Job Market Stability: The nonfarm payrolls increased by 115,000 in April, indicating a stabilization in the job market that alleviates pressure for interest rate cuts, suggesting the Fed may maintain current rates for an extended period.
- Rising Inflation Risks: The consumer price index for March showed an inflation rate of 3.3%, significantly above the Fed's 2% target, indicating inflation pressures are emerging beyond gasoline and tariffs, potentially forcing the Fed into a more hawkish stance.
- Market Expectation Shift: Traders have essentially removed the probability of a rate cut through April 2031, implying a stronger likelihood of rate hikes in the coming years, which simplifies the Fed's decision-making process, especially as current economic data supports holding rates steady.
- Challenges for New Chair: Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces significant challenges as he prefers lower rates, but advocating for cuts with inflation above 3% will be difficult, particularly given the current committee's leanings, complicating his policy implementation.
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Analyst Views on GS
Wall Street analysts forecast GS stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 925.870
Low
604.00
Averages
951.45
High
1100
Current: 925.870
Low
604.00
Averages
951.45
High
1100
About GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. is a global financial institution that delivers a range of financial services to a large and diversified client base that includes corporations, financial institutions, governments and individuals. Its segments include Global Banking & Markets, Asset & Wealth Management and Platform Solutions. The Global Banking & Markets segment offers a range of services, including financing, advisory services, risk distribution, and hedging for its institutional and corporate clients. It facilitates client transactions and makes markets in fixed income, equity, currency and commodity products. The Asset & Wealth Management segment manages assets and offers investment products across all asset classes to a diverse set of clients. It also provides investing and wealth advisory solutions. The Platform Solutions segment includes consumer platforms, such as partnerships offering credit cards and point-of-sale financing, and transaction banking and other platform businesses.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Financial Sector Rebounds, GS Shows Strong Performance
- Reduced Sector Risk: As many companies report earnings over the next two weeks, the financial sector has already released results, which reduces company-specific risk and could lead to decreased volatility among XLF components, enhancing investor confidence.
- Technical Recovery: The XLF ETF has remained above its key 50-day moving average during a recent consolidation phase after a sharp rebound from late March, creating conditions for potential short-term inflows into financial stocks.
- Goldman Sachs Technical Formation: Goldman Sachs currently trades above its 50-day moving average, indicating relative strength, and is forming a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern; a breakout above 950 would suggest a target near 1,110, further supporting its upside potential.
- Moving Average Crossovers: Goldman has seen its 20-day moving average cross above the 50-day while both are above the 200-day moving average, a pattern historically associated with subsequent price increases, indicating that the current technical setup may signal further upside.
See More
Analysis of Current Best CD Rates Available
- Current CD Rates: As of May 7, 2026, the highest CD rate of 4% APY is offered by Marcus by Goldman Sachs for its 9-month CD, indicating a competitive option for those seeking secure savings compared to historical averages.
- Rate Trend Analysis: The Federal Reserve's three rate cuts since late 2024, totaling one percentage point, have contributed to a general decline in CD rates, although several financial institutions still offer competitive rates of 4% and above.
- CD Account Opening Process: The process for opening a CD account typically involves researching rates, selecting an appropriate account, preparing necessary documents, and completing the application, which can often be done online and takes just a few minutes, enhancing customer onboarding efficiency.
- Market Predictions and Recommendations: Given the Fed's maintenance of low rates, now may be an opportune time to lock in the best CD rates, and customers are advised to consider interest rates, term lengths, and minimum deposit requirements to avoid early withdrawal penalties.
See More
Iran War Causes Massive Global Oil Supply Shortage
- Severe Supply Disruption: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a 57% drop in Persian Gulf oil production from pre-war levels, resulting in a nearly 1 billion barrel supply shortage that Shell's CEO warns is worsening daily, threatening global oil supply stability.
- Accelerated Inventory Drawdown: With global oil consumption at approximately 100 million barrels per day, the industry is currently depleting stockpiles at a record pace of 11 to 12 million barrels daily, highlighting the urgent demand for oil that may persist for several months.
- Long Road to Recovery: Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens immediately, oil production in the Persian Gulf won't recover quickly, with S&P Global estimating that most wells may take up to seven months to restart, exacerbating the supply crunch.
- Investment Strategy Shift: Given the likelihood of sustained high oil prices, investors should consider reducing exposure to energy-intensive sectors while increasing allocations to oil stocks to prepare for potential fuel shortages and price hikes.
See More
Global Oil Supply Gap Reaches 1 Billion Barrels
- Escalating Supply Shortage: The ongoing war with Iran has led to a global oil supply shortfall of nearly 1 billion barrels, a situation expected to worsen, which will keep oil prices elevated for the remainder of the year and pose fuel shortage risks for import-reliant Asian and European markets.
- Significant Production Decline: Oil production in the Persian Gulf has plummeted by 57% from pre-war levels, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz preventing the global economy from meeting its daily demand of 100 million barrels, forcing the industry to deplete stockpiles at a record pace of 11 to 12 million barrels per day.
- Long Road to Recovery: Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens immediately, Persian Gulf oil production will not return to normal overnight, with S&P Global estimating that it could take up to seven months to restart most wells, further exacerbating the supply crunch.
- Investor Strategy: Given the persistent high oil prices, investors should reduce exposure to energy-intensive sectors and increase allocations to oil stocks to prepare for potential supply shocks and price fluctuations in the future.
See More
Financial Stocks Decline Slightly on Friday
- Financial Index Decline: The NYSE Financial Index fell by 0.2% on Friday afternoon, indicating cautious sentiment among investors which could lead to capital outflows and reduced market confidence.
- Market Sentiment Weakness: The overall weak performance of financial stocks may be linked to disappointing macroeconomic data and unclear interest rate outlooks, exacerbating market uncertainty and prompting investors to closely monitor upcoming economic indicators.
- Investor Reactions: The decline in financial stocks may lead investors to reassess their portfolios, shifting towards more defensive assets, which could impact market liquidity and overall stability.
- Industry Outlook Concerns: Challenges facing the financial sector may affect future profitability, particularly against a backdrop of rising interest rates and slowing economic growth, necessitating caution among investors regarding related stock investments.
See More
Analysis of Fed Chair Nominee Hearing
- Job Market Stability: The nonfarm payrolls increased by 115,000 in April, indicating a stabilization in the job market that alleviates pressure for interest rate cuts, suggesting the Fed may maintain current rates for an extended period.
- Rising Inflation Risks: The consumer price index for March showed an inflation rate of 3.3%, significantly above the Fed's 2% target, indicating inflation pressures are emerging beyond gasoline and tariffs, potentially forcing the Fed into a more hawkish stance.
- Market Expectation Shift: Traders have essentially removed the probability of a rate cut through April 2031, implying a stronger likelihood of rate hikes in the coming years, which simplifies the Fed's decision-making process, especially as current economic data supports holding rates steady.
- Challenges for New Chair: Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces significant challenges as he prefers lower rates, but advocating for cuts with inflation above 3% will be difficult, particularly given the current committee's leanings, complicating his policy implementation.
See More
Financial Sector Rebounds, GS Shows Strong Performance
- Reduced Sector Risk: As many companies report earnings over the next two weeks, the financial sector has already released results, which reduces company-specific risk and could lead to decreased volatility among XLF components, enhancing investor confidence.
- Technical Recovery: The XLF ETF has remained above its key 50-day moving average during a recent consolidation phase after a sharp rebound from late March, creating conditions for potential short-term inflows into financial stocks.
- Goldman Sachs Technical Formation: Goldman Sachs currently trades above its 50-day moving average, indicating relative strength, and is forming a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern; a breakout above 950 would suggest a target near 1,110, further supporting its upside potential.
- Moving Average Crossovers: Goldman has seen its 20-day moving average cross above the 50-day while both are above the 200-day moving average, a pattern historically associated with subsequent price increases, indicating that the current technical setup may signal further upside.
See More
Analysis of Current Best CD Rates Available
- Current CD Rates: As of May 7, 2026, the highest CD rate of 4% APY is offered by Marcus by Goldman Sachs for its 9-month CD, indicating a competitive option for those seeking secure savings compared to historical averages.
- Rate Trend Analysis: The Federal Reserve's three rate cuts since late 2024, totaling one percentage point, have contributed to a general decline in CD rates, although several financial institutions still offer competitive rates of 4% and above.
- CD Account Opening Process: The process for opening a CD account typically involves researching rates, selecting an appropriate account, preparing necessary documents, and completing the application, which can often be done online and takes just a few minutes, enhancing customer onboarding efficiency.
- Market Predictions and Recommendations: Given the Fed's maintenance of low rates, now may be an opportune time to lock in the best CD rates, and customers are advised to consider interest rates, term lengths, and minimum deposit requirements to avoid early withdrawal penalties.
See More
Iran War Causes Massive Global Oil Supply Shortage
- Severe Supply Disruption: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a 57% drop in Persian Gulf oil production from pre-war levels, resulting in a nearly 1 billion barrel supply shortage that Shell's CEO warns is worsening daily, threatening global oil supply stability.
- Accelerated Inventory Drawdown: With global oil consumption at approximately 100 million barrels per day, the industry is currently depleting stockpiles at a record pace of 11 to 12 million barrels daily, highlighting the urgent demand for oil that may persist for several months.
- Long Road to Recovery: Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens immediately, oil production in the Persian Gulf won't recover quickly, with S&P Global estimating that most wells may take up to seven months to restart, exacerbating the supply crunch.
- Investment Strategy Shift: Given the likelihood of sustained high oil prices, investors should consider reducing exposure to energy-intensive sectors while increasing allocations to oil stocks to prepare for potential fuel shortages and price hikes.
See More
Global Oil Supply Gap Reaches 1 Billion Barrels
- Escalating Supply Shortage: The ongoing war with Iran has led to a global oil supply shortfall of nearly 1 billion barrels, a situation expected to worsen, which will keep oil prices elevated for the remainder of the year and pose fuel shortage risks for import-reliant Asian and European markets.
- Significant Production Decline: Oil production in the Persian Gulf has plummeted by 57% from pre-war levels, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz preventing the global economy from meeting its daily demand of 100 million barrels, forcing the industry to deplete stockpiles at a record pace of 11 to 12 million barrels per day.
- Long Road to Recovery: Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens immediately, Persian Gulf oil production will not return to normal overnight, with S&P Global estimating that it could take up to seven months to restart most wells, further exacerbating the supply crunch.
- Investor Strategy: Given the persistent high oil prices, investors should reduce exposure to energy-intensive sectors and increase allocations to oil stocks to prepare for potential supply shocks and price fluctuations in the future.
See More
Financial Stocks Decline Slightly on Friday
- Financial Index Decline: The NYSE Financial Index fell by 0.2% on Friday afternoon, indicating cautious sentiment among investors which could lead to capital outflows and reduced market confidence.
- Market Sentiment Weakness: The overall weak performance of financial stocks may be linked to disappointing macroeconomic data and unclear interest rate outlooks, exacerbating market uncertainty and prompting investors to closely monitor upcoming economic indicators.
- Investor Reactions: The decline in financial stocks may lead investors to reassess their portfolios, shifting towards more defensive assets, which could impact market liquidity and overall stability.
- Industry Outlook Concerns: Challenges facing the financial sector may affect future profitability, particularly against a backdrop of rising interest rates and slowing economic growth, necessitating caution among investors regarding related stock investments.
See More
Analysis of Fed Chair Nominee Hearing
- Job Market Stability: The nonfarm payrolls increased by 115,000 in April, indicating a stabilization in the job market that alleviates pressure for interest rate cuts, suggesting the Fed may maintain current rates for an extended period.
- Rising Inflation Risks: The consumer price index for March showed an inflation rate of 3.3%, significantly above the Fed's 2% target, indicating inflation pressures are emerging beyond gasoline and tariffs, potentially forcing the Fed into a more hawkish stance.
- Market Expectation Shift: Traders have essentially removed the probability of a rate cut through April 2031, implying a stronger likelihood of rate hikes in the coming years, which simplifies the Fed's decision-making process, especially as current economic data supports holding rates steady.
- Challenges for New Chair: Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces significant challenges as he prefers lower rates, but advocating for cuts with inflation above 3% will be difficult, particularly given the current committee's leanings, complicating his policy implementation.
See More
