American Express Stock Rallies 160% Over Five Years
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 19 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Strong Investment Performance: American Express stock has surged approximately 160% over the past five years, demonstrating resilience and attractiveness as a long-term investment despite macroeconomic challenges such as inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts.
- Unique Business Model: Unlike Visa and Mastercard, American Express operates as a bank and card issuer, taking on more risk while earning interest and annual fees, which helps mitigate the impact of interest rate fluctuations and enhances financial stability.
- Low Default Risk: By the end of 2025, less than 1% of American Express's consumer, business, and corporate loans were delinquent for over 30 days, indicating that its strategy of targeting higher-income consumers and stable businesses effectively reduces credit risk.
- Future Growth Potential: Analysts expect American Express's EPS to grow at a 14.5% CAGR from 2025 to 2028, and if this trend continues, the stock could rise by 36% to $462 by 2030, highlighting its long-term investment value.
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Analyst Views on V
Wall Street analysts forecast V stock price to rise
25 Analyst Rating
23 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 298.510
Low
330.00
Averages
406.59
High
450.00
Current: 298.510
Low
330.00
Averages
406.59
High
450.00
About V
Visa Inc. is a global payments technology company. It facilitates global commerce and money movement across more than 200 countries and territories among a global set of consumers, merchants, financial institutions and government entities through technologies. It operates through the Payment Services segment. It provides transaction processing services (primarily authorization, clearing and settlement) to its financial institution and merchant clients through VisaNet, its proprietary advanced transaction processing network. It offers a range of Visa-branded payment products that its clients, including nearly 14,500 financial institutions, use to develop and offer payment solutions or services, including credit, debit, prepaid and cash access programs for individual, business and government account holders. It also provides value-added services to its clients, including issuing solutions, acceptance solutions, risk and identity solutions, open banking solutions and advisory services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Value-Added Services Success: Visa's value-added services reached $3 billion in Q4 2025, accounting for nearly 30% of net revenue and growing by 25% year-over-year, indicating potential for growth beyond traditional payments.
- Future Return Expectations: While investors may not see the previous 18.5% annualized total returns, Wall Street analysts estimate long-term earnings growth for Visa at 12% to 13%, with a 0.9% dividend yield, leading to total returns in the 13% to 14% range.
- Valuation and Maturity: Visa's current P/E ratio stands at 28, notably below its historical average of 34.5, reflecting the maturity of its business; however, a compounded growth rate of 13% to 14% can still yield significant wealth over a decade or more.
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- Future Return Expectations: While investors may not see the previous 18.5% annualized total returns, Wall Street analysts estimate long-term earnings growth for Visa at 12% to 13%, with a 0.9% dividend yield, leading to total returns in the 13% to 14% range.
- Valuation and Maturity: Visa's current P/E ratio stands at 28, notably below its historical average of 34.5, reflecting the maturity of its business; however, a compounded growth rate of 13% to 14% can still yield significant wealth over a decade or more.
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- Need for Strategic Adjustments: In this market environment, investors must consider adjusting their investment strategies to quickly capitalize on opportunities when the stock market rebounds, ensuring maximum returns during future recoveries.
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- AI and Trillionaires: A recent report suggests that AI could create the world's first trillionaire, indicating significant future potential and investment value in the tech industry, especially for companies linked to Nvidia and Intel.
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- Regulatory Advantage: By being directly regulated by the OCC rather than state-level authorities, Coinbase will simplify its operations and reduce compliance costs, allowing the company to operate more effectively in the fast-evolving crypto industry.
- Payment Strategy Development: Coinbase has established a payment strategy centered around the stablecoin USDC, launching the Coinbase Payments product and collaborating with Shopify to position USDC as a mainstream global payment method, thereby increasing its market share.
- Clear Market Goals: CEO Brian Armstrong has set an ambitious goal to make USDC the number one stablecoin globally and aims to position Coinbase as the leading financial services app in the coming years, reflecting its aspirations in the crypto finance landscape.
See More
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- AI Payment Market Share: Solana captures at least 65% of on-chain payments through the Coinbase-developed x402 protocol, highlighting its leading position in AI-driven payments and likely attracting more developers and users.
- Surge in Payment Volume: In 2025, AI agents accounted for $31 billion in payment volume on Solana, where the active network not only increases transaction frequency but also burns tokens, potentially driving up token prices through supply-demand dynamics.
- Massive Future Potential: With the proliferation of AI agents, the agentic commerce market is projected to grow from $136 billion last year to $1.7 trillion by 2030, positioning Solana as a key platform in this growth trajectory.
- Investment Strategy Advice: Despite Solana's exciting long-term potential, given its 61% decline over the past six months, investors are advised to treat it as a small part of a diversified portfolio, gradually purchasing to mitigate risk.
See More
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- Solana's Market Share: Solana accounts for at least 65% of all agentic on-chain payments, leveraging its rapid transaction speeds and low fees to attract a significant number of AI agents, thereby solidifying its position in the cryptocurrency market.
- Transaction Volume of AI Agents: By 2025, AI agents are projected to generate $31 billion in payment volume on Solana, indicating a rapid enhancement in transaction capabilities that could significantly impact the supply-demand dynamics of cryptocurrencies.
- Investment Considerations: While Solana's long-term potential is promising, its 61% decline over the past six months suggests that investors should treat it as a small part of a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks and avoid excessive exposure at unfavorable prices.
See More
