Amazon's Earnings Miss Expectations, Shares Drop
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Should l Buy MCHP?
Source: CNBC
- Amazon Earnings Miss: Amazon reported fourth-quarter earnings of $1.95 per share, falling short of the $1.97 consensus estimate, resulting in a 9% drop in shares, highlighting pressures in the competitive e-commerce landscape.
- Reddit Stock Surge: Reddit's stock rose 4% after its fourth-quarter earnings exceeded expectations, coupled with a $1 billion share buyback program, which is expected to boost investor confidence and enhance future shareholder returns.
- Molina Healthcare Loss: Molina Healthcare posted an adjusted loss of $2.75 per share, leading to a 33% decline in shares, primarily due to pressures from Medicaid premium adjustments and Medicare costs, with full-year revenue projected at $44.5 billion, below the $46.55 billion forecasted by analysts.
- Envista Strong Performance: Envista reported fourth-quarter earnings of 38 cents per share and revenue of $750.6 million, resulting in a 14% increase in shares, with expectations of 2% to 4% core sales growth in 2026, indicating robust performance in the dental products market.
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Analyst Views on MCHP
Wall Street analysts forecast MCHP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MCHP is 77.47 USD with a low forecast of 60.00 USD and a high forecast of 95.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
18 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 76.010
Low
60.00
Averages
77.47
High
95.00
Current: 76.010
Low
60.00
Averages
77.47
High
95.00
About MCHP
Microchip Technology Incorporated is a provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions. The Company’s semiconductor products segment designs, develops, manufactures and markets mixed-signal microcontrollers, development tools and analog, interface, mixed-signal, timing, wired and wireless connectivity devices, and memory products. The Company's technology licensing segment includes sales and licensing of the Company's intellectual property. Its products include PIC64 Microprocessors, FPGAs, myMicrochip, MPLAB X IDE, Analog, and Microcontrollers. Its development tools include Atmel START and MPLAB Discover. Its manufacturing operations include wafer fabrication, wafer probe, assembly, and test. The Company’s solutions serve customers across the industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace and defense, communications and computing markets. The Company markets and sells its products worldwide primarily through a network of direct sales personnel and distributors.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Bond Offering Announcement: Microchip Technology has announced its intention to offer $600 million of Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 in a private placement, aiming to strengthen its capital structure and support future growth initiatives.
- Interest Payment Structure: The notes will be senior unsecured obligations with interest payable semi-annually, a structure designed to attract investors and potentially lower financing costs for the company.
- Additional Purchase Option: Initial purchasers will have the option to buy an additional $90 million of notes within a 13-day period following the issuance, which may further enhance market demand for these securities.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering will be used to cover costs associated with capped call transactions with option counterparties, while a portion will also be allocated to repay outstanding commercial paper, reflecting the company's focus on prudent financial management.
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- Convertible Notes Offering: Microchip Technology announced plans to offer $600 million in convertible senior notes, with an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $90 million, which is expected to be used for repaying outstanding notes and related capped call transactions, thereby optimizing its capital structure and alleviating financial burdens.
- Market Performance Analysis: During Monday's premarket session, Microchip's stock fell by 0.93% to $75.30, reflecting cautious market sentiment towards its financing plans, while broader market indices like the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed lower, increasing investor uncertainty.
- Technical Indicators Insight: The stock is currently trading 1.2% below its 20-day simple moving average but 14.8% above its 100-day SMA, indicating long-term strength; however, the neutral RSI and bearish MACD suggest potential short-term volatility, highlighting mixed momentum in the stock.
- Future Earnings Expectations: Microchip is slated to report its next financial update on May 7, 2026, with an EPS estimate of 46 cents (up 318% YoY) and revenue expected to reach $1.26 billion (up 30% YoY), as analysts maintain a “Buy” rating with an average price target of $84.23, reflecting confidence in its growth prospects.
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- Bond Offering Plan: Microchip Technology plans to issue $600 million of convertible senior notes in a private offering due in 2030, indicating a proactive approach to future funding needs.
- Additional Purchase Option: Initial purchasers will have the option to buy an additional $90 million of notes within 13 days post-issuance, providing the company with more financial flexibility to adapt to market changes.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: A portion of the offering proceeds will fund capped call transactions with option counterparties, enhancing financial flexibility, while the remaining funds will be used to repay outstanding notes under Microchip's commercial paper program.
- Stock Buyback Plan: Microchip's financial advisor plans to purchase up to $25 million of common stock in privately negotiated transactions alongside the offering, reflecting the company's confidence in its stock value.
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- Dow Jones Surge: On Friday, the Dow Jones index surged over 1,200 points during trading, closing at 50,115.67, marking a historic high that signifies a strong market recovery and may attract more investors.
- Strong Performance of S&P 500 and Nasdaq: The S&P 500 rose by 1.97% to close at 6,932.30, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.18% to 23,031.21, indicating a robust rebound in tech and large-cap stocks, further boosting market confidence.
- Analyst Rating Discrepancies: Despite daily new stock picks from Wall Street analysts, the wide variance in analyst ratings and price targets leaves investors confused about which analyst opinions to trust, potentially impacting the effectiveness of investment decisions.
- Market Sentiment Recovery: The Dow's milestone of surpassing 50,000 points reflects optimistic expectations for economic recovery, which could lead to increased capital inflow into the stock market, thereby driving further overall market gains.
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- Recovery Momentum: Microchip Technology's (MCHP) Q3 2026 results indicate a recovery trend, with revenues still 47% below peak levels; however, analysts note that growth is exceeding seasonal expectations, particularly in emerging sectors like automotive networking and data centers.
- Inventory Management: The company reported that inventory reserves are largely normalized, with over $50 million in underutilization in Q3, which is expected to modestly decrease in the coming quarters, thereby enhancing overall operational efficiency.
- Analyst Ratings: Morgan Stanley maintained an Equal-weight rating with a $69 price target for MCHP, while KeyBanc assigned an Overweight rating with an $85 price target, reflecting market confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Competitive Landscape: Despite a 3% decline in MCHP's stock price, competitors such as Texas Instruments (TXN) and Onsemi (ON) saw their stock prices rise, indicating an overall optimistic sentiment in the semiconductor industry.
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- Significant Sales Growth: Microchip Technology reported net sales of $1.186 billion for Q3 2026, reflecting a 4% sequential increase and a 15.6% year-over-year growth, demonstrating strong performance in networking, data center, and FPGA business units, which further solidifies its market position.
- Design Wins Create New Opportunities: The company secured three design wins for the PCI Express Gen 6 switch, with one expected to generate over $100 million in revenue in 2027, indicating Microchip's ongoing investment in high-growth areas and robust market demand.
- Margin Improvement Continues: The non-GAAP gross margin for Q3 was 60.5%, up from 56.7% in the previous quarter, reflecting reduced inventory charges and sustained product mix strength, which is expected to support future profitability.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management anticipates net sales for Q4 2026 to reach $1.26 billion, representing a 6.2% sequential growth, with non-GAAP earnings per share projected between $0.48 and $0.52, showcasing the company's confidence in future growth.
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