State Street Corporation's stock fell 3.02% as it hit a 20-day low, amid a broader market decline with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.71% and the S&P 500 down 1.65%.
The company reported adjusted Q4 EPS of $2.97, exceeding analyst expectations of $2.85, yet the stock declined 2.42%, indicating market concerns about future guidance. Despite significant sales growth of 7% year-over-year, reaching $3.667 billion, the cautious outlook for 2026, anticipating fee revenue growth of only 4% to 6% and rising expenses, has raised investor apprehensions.
This decline reflects a sector rotation as investors reassess their positions in light of the company's mixed signals regarding future profitability and growth amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment.
Wall Street analysts forecast STT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for STT is 142.27 USD with a low forecast of 128.00 USD and a high forecast of 168.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast STT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for STT is 142.27 USD with a low forecast of 128.00 USD and a high forecast of 168.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 128.020
Low
128.00
Averages
142.27
High
168.00
Current: 128.020
Low
128.00
Averages
142.27
High
168.00
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
maintain
$168 -> $164
2026-01-20
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$168 -> $164
AI Analysis
2026-01-20
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on State Street to $164 from $168 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Despite a 6% EPS beat, the stock shed 6% due to a lack of updated medium-term targets, implied FY26 guidance 3% below consensus and expense messaging, the analyst tells investors.
Truist
Hold
maintain
$138 -> $136
2026-01-20
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$138 -> $136
2026-01-20
maintain
Hold
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on State Street to $136 from $138 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares, updating the firm's model after its Q4 results. The firm's estimates increase on stronger fees, slightly offset by higher expenses, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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TD Cowen
Buy
maintain
$135 -> $155
2026-01-07
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$135 -> $155
2026-01-07
maintain
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on State Street to $155 from $135 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm adjusted bank targets as part of a Q4 earnings preview. TD expects "solid" Q4 reports for the banks with continued balance sheet growth, repricing tailwinds, and a "likely more dovish" Federal Reserve chair in 2026. These "durable tailwinds" should lift bank stocks in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Truist
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$131 -> $138
2026-01-07
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$131 -> $138
2026-01-07
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Truist downgraded State Street (STT) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $138, up from $131. The downgrade reflects portfolio balance rather than a new negative view on State Street, following an upgrade to BNY Mellon (BK) and sufficient equity exposure through other Buy-rated names, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Near term, State Street's relatively high FX trading exposure is a headwind given unusually low currency volatility in Q4, the firm says.
About STT
State Street Corporation is a financial holding company. The Company, through its subsidiary, State Street Bank and Trust Company (State Street Bank), provides a range of financial products and services to institutional investors. It operates through two lines of business: Investment Servicing and Investment Management. Its Investment Servicing line of business provides a range of services and market and financing solutions to institutional clients, including mutual funds, collective investment funds and other investment pools, corporate and public retirement plans, insurance companies, investment managers, foundations and endowments worldwide. Through State Street Investment Services, State Street Markets and State Street Alpha, it offers a range of solutions, including transaction management, derivatives, collateral services, and others. Investment Management line of business provides a range of investment management solutions and products through State Street Investment Management.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.