Shift4 Payments to Release Q4 2025 Earnings on February 26
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 06 2026
0mins
Should l Buy FOUR?
Source: Businesswire
Shift4 Payments Inc. shares rose 5.39% as the stock crossed above its 5-day SMA, reflecting positive investor sentiment.
The increase in share price follows the announcement that Shift4 will release its Q4 2025 financial results on February 26, 2026, before the market opens. This earnings report is expected to attract significant investor interest, especially as management will host a conference call to discuss the results, providing timely updates on the company's performance. Additionally, the University of Illinois Foundation's recent increase in its stake by 67,000 shares, valued at approximately $4.73 million, indicates confidence in Shift4's future growth prospects.
The upcoming earnings report and the foundation's investment suggest a positive outlook for Shift4 Payments, as investors anticipate strong financial performance amid a competitive payments market.
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Analyst Views on FOUR
Wall Street analysts forecast FOUR stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 56.260
Low
90.00
Averages
113.75
High
150.00
Current: 56.260
Low
90.00
Averages
113.75
High
150.00
About FOUR
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is engaged in commerce-enabling technology. The Company is an independent provider of software and payment processing solutions in the United States based on the total volume of payments processed. Its payments platform provides omni-channel card acceptance and processing solutions across multiple payment types, including credit, debit, contactless card, Europay, MasterCard and Visa (EMV), QR Pay, and mobile wallets, as well as alternative payment methods, such as Apple Pay, Google Pay, Alipay and WeChat Pay. Through its proprietary gateway, its payments platform is integrated with over 550 software suites. It enables connectivity with the payment processors, alternative payment rails and many different payment devices. Its suite of technology solutions includes SkyTab POS, SkyTab Mobile, SkyTab Venue, Lighthouse, The Giving Block, Shift4Shop and Marketplace. Its SkyTab POS offering helps its merchants scale their business and improve operational efficiency.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
University of Illinois Foundation Increases Shift4 Payments Stake
- Share Increase: According to an SEC filing dated February 13, 2026, the University of Illinois Foundation increased its holdings in Shift4 Payments by 67,000 shares during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $4.73 million, indicating confidence in the company's future growth.
- Stake Proportion Rise: Following this purchase, the foundation's stake in Shift4 Payments reached 3.95%, making it the seventh-largest holding, reflecting the foundation's recognition of the company's potential in the payments industry.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 12, 2026, Shift4 Payments shares were trading at $54.57, down 56% from their 52-week high, suggesting a current market undervaluation that may present a buying opportunity for investors.
- Future Cash Flow Expectations: Management anticipates generating approximately $500 million in adjusted free cash flow in 2025, and with a forward free cash flow multiple of just 10 times, this indicates that Shift4's growth potential remains strong despite having spent $5.5 billion on acquisitions since 2020.
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Illinois Foundation Increases Shift4 Payments Stake by 67,000 Shares
- Share Increase: The University of Illinois Foundation increased its stake in Shift4 Payments by 67,000 shares during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $4.73 million, reflecting confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Position Value Rise: Post-trade, the total stake in Shift4 Payments reached 182,848 shares, valued at approximately $11.51 million, indicating a strategic positioning within the payments sector by the fund.
- Market Performance Analysis: Shift4 Payments shares are currently trading at $54.57, down about 56% from their 52-week high, and the foundation's increase in holdings is seen as a buy-the-dip opportunity, suggesting optimism about the company's long-term potential.
- Financial Outlook: Shift4 Payments expects to generate approximately $500 million in adjusted free cash flow in 2025, indicating its ability to sustain growth in a highly competitive payments market.
See More
Shift4 Announces Q4 2025 Earnings Release Date
- Earnings Release Schedule: Shift4 will release its Q4 2025 financial results on February 26, 2026, before the market opens, with management hosting a conference call at 8:30 AM ET to discuss the results, which is expected to attract investor interest.
- Conference Call Access: Investors can join the call by dialing +1-800-343-4136 for toll-free access or +1-203-518-9843 for toll access, with Conference ID FOURQ425, ensuring timely updates on the company's performance.
- Webcast and X Spaces: The earnings call will be webcast live on Shift4's website, and the audio will also be simulcast via X Spaces, broadening the avenues for investor participation and engagement.
- Investor Conference Participation: Management will participate in fireside chats at the Raymond James and Wolfe FinTech conferences on March 3 and March 11, 2026, respectively, offering one-on-one and small group meetings to emphasize the company's commitment to investor relations.
See More
1492 Capital Management Fully Exits Shift4 Payments Stake
- Stake Change: 1492 Capital Management completely sold its 61,345 shares in Shift4 Payments during Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $4.75 million, indicating a strategic exit amid declining stock performance.
- Stock Performance: As of February 9, 2026, Shift4 Payments shares were priced at $58.61, reflecting a 52.1% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 67.15 percentage points, raising concerns about its future outlook.
- Company Overview: Shift4 Payments specializes in payment processing and commerce-enabling software, serving various sectors including hospitality and eCommerce; despite a 22% revenue growth year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025, it faces intense competition and uncertainty.
- Management Transition Impact: Following founder Jared Isaacman's resignation, Shift4 Payments is undergoing a leadership transition, and while new CEO Taylor Lauber may drive growth, market sentiment remains cautious regarding the company's future performance.
See More
1492 Capital Fully Exits Shift4 Payments Stake
- Share Sale Details: On February 10, 2026, 1492 Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold its entire holding of 61,345 shares in Shift4 Payments during Q4, with an estimated transaction value of $4.75 million, indicating a $4.75 million decline in the company's stake value during this period.
- Impact on Holdings: Prior to the sale, Shift4 Payments accounted for 1.9% of 1492 Capital's AUM, and following the divestment, the fund holds no shares, reflecting concerns about the company's future prospects amid ongoing market challenges.
- Market Competition Pressure: Although Shift4 carved out a lucrative niche in the hospitality fintech sector, its stock has struggled in a highly competitive environment, particularly following the resignation of its founder, which likely influenced 1492 Capital's decision to exit its position.
- Future Growth Expectations: Despite analysts forecasting a slowdown in revenue growth to 25% in 2026, the anticipated 35% growth for 2025 and a relatively low 28 P/E ratio for a rapidly growing stock suggest a complex market perception regarding Shift4's future potential.
See More
Discussion on Potential Merger Between SpaceX and xAI
- Merger Prospects: The potential merger between SpaceX and xAI has garnered market attention, particularly with SpaceX's anticipated IPO in 2026, as this merger could attract investor interest and enhance the IPO's appeal.
- Capital Market Competition: Currently, companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are also vying for entry into the capital markets, highlighting the fierce competition among large capital-intensive firms for IPOs, and the merger of SpaceX and xAI could enhance their market attractiveness in this context.
- Investor Confidence: Although the market remains cautious about mergers involving Elon Musk's companies, analysts believe that such a merger could provide these firms with greater resource and capital liquidity, helping them achieve better valuations ahead of their IPOs.
- Technological Integration Potential: If SpaceX and xAI successfully merge, it could create a powerful technological ecosystem that leverages AI to enhance innovation in aerospace and transportation, thereby gaining a competitive edge in future market dynamics.
See More
University of Illinois Foundation Increases Shift4 Payments Stake
- Share Increase: According to an SEC filing dated February 13, 2026, the University of Illinois Foundation increased its holdings in Shift4 Payments by 67,000 shares during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $4.73 million, indicating confidence in the company's future growth.
- Stake Proportion Rise: Following this purchase, the foundation's stake in Shift4 Payments reached 3.95%, making it the seventh-largest holding, reflecting the foundation's recognition of the company's potential in the payments industry.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 12, 2026, Shift4 Payments shares were trading at $54.57, down 56% from their 52-week high, suggesting a current market undervaluation that may present a buying opportunity for investors.
- Future Cash Flow Expectations: Management anticipates generating approximately $500 million in adjusted free cash flow in 2025, and with a forward free cash flow multiple of just 10 times, this indicates that Shift4's growth potential remains strong despite having spent $5.5 billion on acquisitions since 2020.
See More
Illinois Foundation Increases Shift4 Payments Stake by 67,000 Shares
- Share Increase: The University of Illinois Foundation increased its stake in Shift4 Payments by 67,000 shares during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $4.73 million, reflecting confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Position Value Rise: Post-trade, the total stake in Shift4 Payments reached 182,848 shares, valued at approximately $11.51 million, indicating a strategic positioning within the payments sector by the fund.
- Market Performance Analysis: Shift4 Payments shares are currently trading at $54.57, down about 56% from their 52-week high, and the foundation's increase in holdings is seen as a buy-the-dip opportunity, suggesting optimism about the company's long-term potential.
- Financial Outlook: Shift4 Payments expects to generate approximately $500 million in adjusted free cash flow in 2025, indicating its ability to sustain growth in a highly competitive payments market.
See More
Shift4 Announces Q4 2025 Earnings Release Date
- Earnings Release Schedule: Shift4 will release its Q4 2025 financial results on February 26, 2026, before the market opens, with management hosting a conference call at 8:30 AM ET to discuss the results, which is expected to attract investor interest.
- Conference Call Access: Investors can join the call by dialing +1-800-343-4136 for toll-free access or +1-203-518-9843 for toll access, with Conference ID FOURQ425, ensuring timely updates on the company's performance.
- Webcast and X Spaces: The earnings call will be webcast live on Shift4's website, and the audio will also be simulcast via X Spaces, broadening the avenues for investor participation and engagement.
- Investor Conference Participation: Management will participate in fireside chats at the Raymond James and Wolfe FinTech conferences on March 3 and March 11, 2026, respectively, offering one-on-one and small group meetings to emphasize the company's commitment to investor relations.
See More
1492 Capital Management Fully Exits Shift4 Payments Stake
- Stake Change: 1492 Capital Management completely sold its 61,345 shares in Shift4 Payments during Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $4.75 million, indicating a strategic exit amid declining stock performance.
- Stock Performance: As of February 9, 2026, Shift4 Payments shares were priced at $58.61, reflecting a 52.1% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 67.15 percentage points, raising concerns about its future outlook.
- Company Overview: Shift4 Payments specializes in payment processing and commerce-enabling software, serving various sectors including hospitality and eCommerce; despite a 22% revenue growth year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025, it faces intense competition and uncertainty.
- Management Transition Impact: Following founder Jared Isaacman's resignation, Shift4 Payments is undergoing a leadership transition, and while new CEO Taylor Lauber may drive growth, market sentiment remains cautious regarding the company's future performance.
See More
1492 Capital Fully Exits Shift4 Payments Stake
- Share Sale Details: On February 10, 2026, 1492 Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold its entire holding of 61,345 shares in Shift4 Payments during Q4, with an estimated transaction value of $4.75 million, indicating a $4.75 million decline in the company's stake value during this period.
- Impact on Holdings: Prior to the sale, Shift4 Payments accounted for 1.9% of 1492 Capital's AUM, and following the divestment, the fund holds no shares, reflecting concerns about the company's future prospects amid ongoing market challenges.
- Market Competition Pressure: Although Shift4 carved out a lucrative niche in the hospitality fintech sector, its stock has struggled in a highly competitive environment, particularly following the resignation of its founder, which likely influenced 1492 Capital's decision to exit its position.
- Future Growth Expectations: Despite analysts forecasting a slowdown in revenue growth to 25% in 2026, the anticipated 35% growth for 2025 and a relatively low 28 P/E ratio for a rapidly growing stock suggest a complex market perception regarding Shift4's future potential.
See More
Discussion on Potential Merger Between SpaceX and xAI
- Merger Prospects: The potential merger between SpaceX and xAI has garnered market attention, particularly with SpaceX's anticipated IPO in 2026, as this merger could attract investor interest and enhance the IPO's appeal.
- Capital Market Competition: Currently, companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are also vying for entry into the capital markets, highlighting the fierce competition among large capital-intensive firms for IPOs, and the merger of SpaceX and xAI could enhance their market attractiveness in this context.
- Investor Confidence: Although the market remains cautious about mergers involving Elon Musk's companies, analysts believe that such a merger could provide these firms with greater resource and capital liquidity, helping them achieve better valuations ahead of their IPOs.
- Technological Integration Potential: If SpaceX and xAI successfully merge, it could create a powerful technological ecosystem that leverages AI to enhance innovation in aerospace and transportation, thereby gaining a competitive edge in future market dynamics.
See More
