Rigetti Computing Faces Earnings Viability Risks
Rigetti Computing's stock has fallen 9.17% as it crosses below the 5-day SMA, reflecting investor concerns about its future profitability.
The company is projected to remain unprofitable for several years, with analysts indicating no earnings until at least 2030, raising significant doubts about its business model and potentially undermining investor confidence. Rigetti incurs annual losses of approximately $350 million, with losses increasing each year, placing it at a disadvantage in the competitive quantum computing market. Despite these challenges, Rigetti has around $450 million in cash reserves, providing a buffer for survival and allowing investors time to assess its potential for becoming commercially viable.
The implications of these financial struggles are significant, as Rigetti's technological lag and sustained heavy losses may hinder its ability to attract investment and compete effectively in the quantum computing sector.
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- BB Stock Performance: BlackBerry (BB) shares surged nearly 19% on Friday and continued to climb over the weekend as the leadership announced a new growth phase, resulting in the best weekly performance in nearly 1.5 years, reflecting strong market confidence in its transformation into a profitable software business.
- SIDU Earnings Momentum: Sidus Space (SIDU) reported a 51% year-over-year revenue increase to $359,372 in its Q1 2026 results, with net loss narrowing to $5.21 million, and after completing a $58.5 million registered direct offering, its liquidity position significantly improved, with analysts projecting a potential 95% upside in stock price.
- RGTI Government Funding: Rigetti Computing (RGTI) shares rose after the Trump administration announced $100 million in grants for the quantum computing sector, with funding expected over the next three years to help the company tackle key technical challenges and advance next-generation quantum computing architectures.
- Market Sentiment Extremely Bullish: All three companies saw retail sentiment on Stocktwits enter 'extremely bullish' territory, with BB experiencing a surge in message volume, indicating strong investor confidence in its growth potential, while RGTI and SIDU exhibited similar market enthusiasm.
- Significant Order Growth: D-Wave's first-quarter bookings surged 1,994% year-over-year to $33.4 million, including a $20 million system sale to Florida Atlantic University, indicating strong demand in the quantum computing market and enhancing future revenue visibility.
- Substantial Performance Obligations Increase: Remaining performance obligations jumped 563% year-over-year to $42.4 million, reflecting increased confidence in future revenue recognition, with a substantial portion expected in the second half of 2026, further solidifying market position.
- Strategic Acquisition Impact: Following the acquisition of Quantum Circuits, D-Wave has positioned itself as the only quantum computing firm with both annealing and gate-model systems, targeting approximately 175 physical qubits by 2028, enhancing its technological competitiveness and market appeal.
- Expansion of Commercial Applications: D-Wave's annealing systems are increasingly applied in AI and blockchain, with a collaboration with Shionogi resulting in a tenfold increase in drug-like molecules, showcasing the technology's potential in real-world applications and boosting investor confidence.

- New Quantum Unit: GlobalFoundries has announced the establishment of its Quantum Technology Solutions business unit, focusing on manufacturing technologies for the quantum computing industry, marking a strategic move into cutting-edge technology.
- Government Investment Support: The company secured a $375 million investment commitment from the U.S. Department of Commerce, which will be used to enhance its manufacturing capabilities for quantum technology, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the rapidly evolving quantum market.
- Significant Stock Surge: Following the announcement of new quantum initiatives and government support, GlobalFoundries' stock surged 20.6% this week, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Industry Recognition: TD Cowen named GlobalFoundries one of the three biggest winners of the U.S. government's quantum investment push, further solidifying its leading position in the quantum computing space and attracting investor interest.
- Significant Stock Surge: GlobalFoundries' stock price surged by 20.6% this week, contrasting with the S&P 500's 0.9% increase, indicating strong performance in the quantum computing sector that is likely to enhance its market position.
- New Quantum Business Unit: On May 21, the company announced the launch of its Quantum Technology Solutions business unit, focusing on manufacturing technologies for the quantum computing industry, marking a strategic move into cutting-edge technology.
- Government Investment Support: GlobalFoundries secured a $375 million letter of intent from the U.S. Department of Commerce, which will be used to bolster its manufacturing capabilities for quantum technology, further solidifying its competitive edge in the quantum computing market.
- Increased Industry Recognition: TD Cowen named GlobalFoundries one of the three biggest winners of the U.S. government's latest quantum investment push, highlighting its potential in the quantum space and likely attracting more investor interest.
- Market Growth Potential: Grand View Research forecasts that the global quantum computing market will expand at a 20.5% CAGR from 2025 to 2030, indicating significant commercial application prospects, particularly in AI processing, supply chain optimization, and cybersecurity.
- Government Investment Incentives: The U.S. Department of Commerce has signed nine letters of intent to provide $2.01 billion in federal incentives under the CHIPS and Science Act, including substantial investments in IBM and GlobalFoundries, which are expected to drive growth in their quantum computing businesses.
- IBM Business Diversification: IBM is set to receive $1 billion for building new quantum computing foundries, further enhancing its hybrid cloud and AI business expansion, thereby offsetting the slower growth of its traditional software and hardware sectors.
- Support for Emerging Competitors: The Department of Commerce will allocate up to $100 million for companies like Atom Computing, D-Wave, Infleqtion, PsiQuantum, Quantinuum, and Rigetti, aiming to foster diverse investments that could propel the quantum computing market's growth beyond its current niche.
- Government Investment Incentives: The U.S. Department of Commerce has signed nine letters of intent to provide $2.01 billion in federal incentives under the CHIPS and Science Act to nine quantum computing companies, a move that could attract more retail and institutional investors into this niche market.
- IBM and GlobalFoundries Benefit: The Department has earmarked $1 billion for IBM and $375 million for GlobalFoundries to establish new domestic quantum computing foundries, which could breathe new life into both companies, especially as IBM expands its hybrid cloud and AI businesses.
- Diversified Investment Strategy: The Department will also allocate up to $100 million per company for firms like Atom Computing and D-Wave, aiming to drive market expansion through diversified investments, even as the quantum computing market remains speculative.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: According to Grand View Research, the global quantum computing market is expected to grow at a 20.5% CAGR from 2025 to 2030, and the new investments could accelerate this growth, pushing quantum computing technology into broader applications.










