Raymond James Financial downgraded amid market weakness
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 02 2025
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Should l Buy RJF?
Raymond James Financial Inc's stock fell 3.03% and hit a 20-day low, reflecting broader market trends as the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 both declined significantly.
The decline in Raymond James' stock is attributed to sector rotation, as the overall market sentiment weakened with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.01% and the S&P 500 down 0.81%. This market environment has led to a cautious approach among investors, impacting stocks across various sectors, including financial services.
As the market continues to face challenges, Raymond James may need to navigate through this volatility. Investors will be closely monitoring upcoming earnings reports and market conditions to assess potential recovery strategies.
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Analyst Views on RJF
Wall Street analysts forecast RJF stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 154.540
Low
176.00
Averages
184.00
High
196.00
Current: 154.540
Low
176.00
Averages
184.00
High
196.00
About RJF
Raymond James Financial, Inc. is a diversified financial services company that provides services to individuals, corporations and municipalities. The Company's segments include Private Client Group (PCG), Capital Markets, Asset Management, Bank and Other. PCG segment provides financial planning, investment advisory, and securities transaction services to clients through financial advisors. Capital Markets segment conducts investment banking, institutional sales, securities trading, equity research, and the syndication and management of investments in low-income housing funds and funds of a similar nature. Asset Management segment provides asset management, portfolio management and related administrative services to retail and institutional clients. Bank segment includes Raymond James Bank, a Florida-chartered state member bank, and TriState Capital Bank, a Pennsylvania-chartered state member bank. Other segment includes corporate cash balances and its private equity investments.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Quarterly Performance: Raymond James achieved record revenues of $3.86 billion and pretax income of $735 million in Q2, demonstrating resilience and profitability despite a volatile market environment.
- Asset Management Growth: The firm reported quarterly domestic net new assets of $23 billion, indicating strong adviser recruitment momentum, with trailing 12-month production totaling $141 million, enhancing its competitive position.
- Ongoing Technology Investment: Raymond James plans to invest over $1.1 billion in automation and AI, rolling out an AI operations agent to improve adviser efficiency, aiming to drive long-term growth through technological innovation.
- Optimistic Outlook: The CFO expects asset management and related administrative fees to increase by approximately 1% in Q3 compared to Q2, while maintaining a target for non-compensation expenses at around $2.3 billion, reflecting confidence in future performance.
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- Profit Growth: Raymond James reported a net profit of $542 million for Q2, translating to $2.72 per share, which marks a significant increase from last year's $493 million and $2.36 per share, indicating sustained profitability improvements.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding items, the adjusted earnings reached $564 million or $2.83 per share, showcasing strong performance in core operations and further bolstering investor confidence.
- Revenue Increase: The company's revenue rose by 10.8% to $4.262 billion from $3.845 billion last year, reflecting robust market demand and business expansion.
- Market Impact: This positive earnings report not only enhances the company's competitiveness in the financial services sector but may also attract more investor attention, potentially driving up the stock price.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Raymond James Financial (RJF) is set to release its Q2 earnings on April 22nd after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $2.76, reflecting a 16.9% year-over-year growth, indicating sustained profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q2 stands at $3.85 billion, representing a 13.2% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's robust growth and rising market demand in the financial services sector.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, RJF has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, demonstrating reliability in earnings forecasts and bolstering market confidence.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates saw no upward revisions and 10 downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced 2 upward revisions and 5 downward adjustments, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Market Rebound: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reached all-time highs this week, with the S&P 500 surpassing 7,100 for the first time, reflecting strong investor confidence in economic recovery and suggesting further upward momentum for equities.
- Earnings Expectations: According to FactSet, the S&P 500 is projected to have a blended growth rate of 12.5% in Q1, with 78% of reporting companies exceeding expectations, providing a positive backdrop for the upcoming earnings season that could further bolster market confidence.
- Oil Price Volatility: While oil prices have fallen to around $80 per barrel, significantly below the $110 peak during the conflict, the market must remain vigilant regarding the potential impacts of U.S.-Iran tensions on global supply chains, particularly concerning the safety of transit through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Technical Fragility: Despite the market's strong short-term performance, analyst Craig Johnson warns that the rapid transition from oversold to overbought conditions masks underlying macroeconomic risks, urging investors to remain cautious and focus on high-quality investment opportunities.
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- Market Pressure Intensifies: The spot price of Brent crude reached $131.97 per barrel on Thursday afternoon, up over 7% from the previous session but still below Tuesday's record high of $144.42, indicating heightened concerns over tight oil supplies.
- Geopolitical Risks: Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz affect approximately 20% of global oil and gas flows, and while the ceasefire has temporarily eased tensions, market participants remain cautious about future supply recovery.
- Significant Price Discrepancies: An unprecedented gap has emerged between dated Brent and front-month Brent futures, suggesting that even in a de-escalating geopolitical environment, actual oil supplies remain constrained, potentially exacerbating product tightness.
- Changing Trading Patterns: Analysts note that traditional trading patterns have broken down due to supply disruptions, with Russian Urals crude prices exceeding Brent by $30 at times, highlighting unprecedented uncertainty and stress in the market.
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