HubSpot's Q4 Earnings Report Drives Stock Surge
HubSpot Inc (HUBS) shares surged 17.1% following a strong Q4 earnings report, reaching a 5-day high.
The company's Q4 revenue reached $846.7 million, a 20% year-over-year increase, surpassing analysts' expectations of $830 million. Additionally, HubSpot reported an adjusted EPS of $3.10, up 28%, and a customer count of 288,706, reflecting a 16% increase year-over-year. The positive outlook for Q1 revenue, projected at $862.5 million, further fueled investor confidence.
This strong performance indicates a recovery in market sentiment towards HubSpot, despite previous declines in stock price. The robust earnings and growth projections suggest a promising future for the company.
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- Market Selectivity: UBS analysts highlight that despite the slump in software stocks in 2026 due to AI disruption fears, Microsoft, ServiceNow, Autodesk, and HubSpot are expected to thrive, indicating selective opportunities in the market.
- International Revenue Potential: These software companies not only excel in the U.S. market but also benefit from a weaker dollar, making them significant sources of international earnings and enhancing their competitiveness in the global economy.
- Valuation Advantages: UBS notes that all four recommended stocks have price-to-earnings ratios below their historical averages, while the entire software group is oversold by 6.1 standard deviations, indicating potential for a rebound.
- Positive Earnings Revisions: The quartet of recommended stocks has all received positive earnings revisions and appears decoupled from AI credit spreads, demonstrating resilience amid market volatility, particularly with Oracle's stable credit default swap rate.
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- Market Reaction: Since its IPO last summer, Figma's stock has plummeted approximately 85% from its 52-week high of $142.92, reflecting the broader malaise in the SaaS sector amid what traders are calling the 'SaaSpocalypse'.
- Industry Impact: As AI tools continue to advance, the design refinement step may be skipped altogether, posing a challenge to Figma's market positioning and potentially affecting its future user retention and market share.
- Upcoming Earnings Report: Figma is set to release its earnings report after market close on Wednesday, with high investor interest in how the company plans to navigate current market pressures and competitive dynamics.
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- Pause on Tech Security Measures: Ahead of the Trump-Xi Jinping meeting, the Trump administration reportedly paused several critical technology security measures targeting China, a decision that could influence the future trajectory of U.S.-China tech relations and reduce market uncertainties.
- Apple Court Victory: Apple secured a courtroom win as a jury rejected claims from Optis Wireless that it infringed on 4G wireless patents, a result that will help protect Apple's intellectual property and strengthen its market position.
- AI Industry Developments: Elon Musk criticized AI startup Anthropic for alleged bias while announcing a $30 billion funding round that pushed its valuation to $380 billion, highlighting the intense competition and rapid evolution within the AI sector.
Market Volatility: There is an unusual increase in stock price movements, with many stocks experiencing significant gains and losses.
Investor Sentiment: The heightened volatility may indicate changing investor sentiment and market dynamics, prompting closer scrutiny of stock performance.
- Inflation Data Decline: The annual inflation rate fell from 2.7% to 2.4% in January, undershooting the expected 2.5%, marking the lowest level since May 2025, indicating a potential economic slowdown that may prompt the Fed to consider interest rate cuts, thus impacting market liquidity.
- Core Inflation Eases: Core inflation, excluding food and energy, decreased from 2.7% to 2.5%, the lowest since March 2021, which could influence investor expectations regarding future interest rate policies and subsequently affect stock market performance.
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- Rivian Stock Surge: Rivian Automotive Inc. shares jumped 27%, marking the strongest day in the company's history, after reporting a narrower-than-expected quarterly loss, which may attract more investor interest in the electric vehicle market.
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- Earnings Beat: Despite the revenue drop, Coinbase's adjusted earnings per share were 66 cents, surpassing the Street consensus estimate of 64 cents, demonstrating the company's strong performance in cost management and operational efficiency.
- Stock Price Surge: Coinbase shares jumped 13% to $159.44 on Friday, reflecting investor confidence in the company's profitability, even though overall revenue fell short of expectations.
- Market Environment Impact: The broader U.S. stock market declined, with the Dow Jones falling around 0.2% on Friday, indicating macroeconomic pressures on tech stocks that may affect Coinbase's future market performance.












