CVR Energy Inc's stock fell by 4.30%, hitting a 20-day low. This decline occurs despite the Nasdaq-100 rising by 0.96% and the S&P 500 gaining 0.63%, indicating a potential sector rotation.
The drop in CVR Energy's stock price is attributed to the company's recent announcement regarding its financial strategy, including the prepayment of $75 million of its term loan, which reduces its outstanding principal significantly. This move reflects the company's commitment to deleveraging and enhancing financial stability, but it may have raised concerns among investors about future capital expenditures, estimated between $200 million to $240 million for 2026, focusing on the petroleum segment.
Investors are likely weighing the implications of these financial maneuvers against the backdrop of broader market gains. While the company's efforts to improve its balance sheet are commendable, the market's positive sentiment towards other sectors may have contributed to the stock's underperformance.
Wall Street analysts forecast CVI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVI is 28.50 USD with a low forecast of 25.00 USD and a high forecast of 35.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CVI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVI is 28.50 USD with a low forecast of 25.00 USD and a high forecast of 35.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
3 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 21.990
Low
25.00
Averages
28.50
High
35.00
Current: 21.990
Low
25.00
Averages
28.50
High
35.00
JPMorgan
Underweight
downgrade
$22 -> $21
2026-01-27
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$22 -> $21
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
New
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on CVR Energy to $21 from $22 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The analyst updated the company's model post earnings.
Scotiabank
Underperform
downgrade
$26 -> $25
2026-01-16
Reason
Scotiabank
Price Target
$26 -> $25
2026-01-16
downgrade
Underperform
Reason
Scotiabank lowered the firm's price target on CVR Energy to $25 from $26 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for U.S. Integrated Oil, Refining, and Large Cap Exploration & Production, E&P, stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. Scotiabank expects earnings for the quarter to be straightforward due to the absence of major winter weather disruptions. Additionally, looking ahead, the firm expects investors to focus on whether recent market turmoil will cause changes to 2026 guidance and if any E&P companies will adopt cost reduction programs.
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Goldman Sachs
Sell
maintain
$19 -> $25
2025-10-22
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$19 -> $25
2025-10-22
maintain
Sell
Reason
Goldman Sachs raised the firm's price target on CVR Energy to $25 from $19 and keeps a Sell rating on the shares. The firm continues to monitor incremental updates on CVR Energy's path towards deleveraging and the potential dividend reinstatement, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
UBS
Manav Gupta
Neutral
maintain
$27 -> $35
2025-09-29
Reason
UBS
Manav Gupta
Price Target
$27 -> $35
2025-09-29
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Manav Gupta raised the firm's price target on CVR Energy to $35 from $27 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm cites sector tailwinds for the higher price target ahead the company's Q3 results as global outages to support cracks. It believes CVR Energy could reinstate a dividend by year end.
About CVI
CVR Energy, Inc. is a diversified holding company primarily engaged in the renewable fuels and petroleum refining and marketing businesses, as well as in the nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing business through its interest in CVR Partners, LP. The Company's segments include Petroleum Segment, Renewables Segment and Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment. Petroleum Segment includes the refining and marketing of high value transportation fuels which consist of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and distillates. The Petroleum Segment also includes activities related to crude gathering and logistics that support the refinery operations. Renewables Segment includes the refining of renewable feedstocks, such as soybean oil, corn oil, and other renewable feedstocks, into renewable diesel and marketing of renewables products. Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment includes the production and distribution of nitrogen fertilizer products, primarily in the form of ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate, for the farming industry.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
