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CVI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy CVR Energy Inc (CVI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
28.370
1 Day change
10.30%
52 Week Range
41.660
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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CVR Energy Inc (CVI) is not a strong buy for a beginner long-term investor at this time. The company's financial performance is weak, with significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS in the latest quarter. Analyst sentiment is negative, with lowered price targets and underperform ratings. While hedge funds are increasing their positions, insider activity is neutral, and no significant political or congress trading data is available. Technical indicators suggest the stock is overbought, and options data reflects a low put-call ratio, indicating bullish sentiment, but this is not enough to outweigh the financial and analyst concerns.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. However, the RSI of 86.212 shows the stock is overbought. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 26.833, R2: 28.599), which could limit further upward movement.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
11

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are increasing their positions significantly, with a 114.07% increase in buying activity over the last quarter. The MACD indicates bullish momentum.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 is poor, with significant declines in revenue (-7.04% YoY), net income (-479.31% YoY), and EPS (-475.86% YoY). Analysts have lowered price targets and maintain underperform ratings. The RSI indicates the stock is overbought, and the stock is trading near resistance levels, limiting upside potential.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, CVR Energy's revenue dropped by 7.04% YoY to $1.81 billion. Net income fell drastically to -$110 million (-479.31% YoY), and EPS decreased to -1.09 (-475.86% YoY). Gross margin also declined significantly to -3.26 (-213.19% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have a negative outlook on CVR Energy. JPMorgan recently lowered the price target to $21 from $22 and maintained an underweight rating. Scotiabank also reduced the price target to $25 from $26 and kept an underperform rating, citing concerns about market turmoil and cost reduction programs in the industry.

Wall Street analysts forecast CVI stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CVI stock price to rise
0 Buy
1 Hold
3 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 25.720
sliders
Low
25
Averages
28.5
High
35
Current: 25.720
sliders
Low
25
Averages
28.5
High
35
JPMorgan
Underweight
downgrade
$22 -> $21
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$22 -> $21
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on CVR Energy to $21 from $22 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The analyst updated the company's model post earnings.
Scotiabank
Underperform
downgrade
$26 -> $25
2026-01-16
Reason
Scotiabank
Price Target
$26 -> $25
2026-01-16
downgrade
Underperform
Reason
Scotiabank lowered the firm's price target on CVR Energy to $25 from $26 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for U.S. Integrated Oil, Refining, and Large Cap Exploration & Production, E&P, stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. Scotiabank expects earnings for the quarter to be straightforward due to the absence of major winter weather disruptions. Additionally, looking ahead, the firm expects investors to focus on whether recent market turmoil will cause changes to 2026 guidance and if any E&P companies will adopt cost reduction programs.
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