CVI Valuation

CVR Energy Inc

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27.280

+0.44(1.639%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CVI Relative Valuation

CVI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CVI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

CVR Energy Inc (CVI) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.37 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 40.89. The fair price of CVR Energy Inc (CVI) is between 18.72 to 27.53 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

18.72-27.53

Current Price：27.25

Fair

91.14

Trailing

Forward

8.56

EV/EBITDA

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.56. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.21, Undervalued between 1.21 and 4.01, Fairly Valued between 9.60 and 4.01, Overvalued between 9.60 and 12.40, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.40. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.56 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

16.68

EV/EBIT

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) has a current EV/EBIT of 16.68. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -169.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2542.62, Undervalued between -2542.62 and -1356.06, Fairly Valued between 1017.06 and -1356.06, Overvalued between 1017.06 and 2203.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 2203.62. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 16.68 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.39

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) has a current PS of 0.39. The 5-year average PS is 0.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.18, Undervalued between 0.18 and 0.25, Fairly Valued between 0.40 and 0.25, Overvalued between 0.40 and 0.48, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.48. The current Forward PS of 0.39 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.98

P/OCF

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) has a current P/OCF of 6.98. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.44, Undervalued between -1.44 and 2.44, Fairly Valued between 10.20 and 2.44, Overvalued between 10.20 and 14.08, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.08. The current Forward P/OCF of 6.98 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

14.74

P/FCF

CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) has a current P/FCF of 14.74. The 5-year average P/FCF is 7.17. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -24.34, Undervalued between -24.34 and -8.59, Fairly Valued between 22.92 and -8.59, Overvalued between 22.92 and 38.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 38.68. The current Forward P/FCF of 14.74 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

CVR Energy Inc (CVI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 6.23. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 4.08 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 52.62% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.60, the current P/B ratio is about 73.13% higher. CVR Energy Inc (CVI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -9.35%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 14.22%, the current FCF yield is approximately -165.78% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 10.04% , the current FCF yield is about -193.18% lower.

5.79

P/B

Median3y

4.08

Median5y

3.60

-8.75

FCF Yield

Median3y

14.22

Median5y

10.04

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CVI's competitors is 0.24, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. CVR Energy Inc Corp (CVI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.39, which is 62.07% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -10.47%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Par Pacific Holdings Inc

Delek US Holdings Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CVI increased by 7.32% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.68 to -8.10.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -10.47%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CVI in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-10.47%

1.97B → 1.76B

Revenue Growth

-364.77%

1.93 → -5.11

Margin Expansion

382.56%

-1.68 → -8.10

P/E Change

7.32%