ConocoPhillips anticipates nearly doubling free cash flow by 2029
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 02 2026
0mins
Should l Buy COP?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ConocoPhillips shares have surged by 6.06% in pre-market trading, reaching a 52-week high, amid a broader market decline with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.37% and the S&P 500 down 0.98%.
The company expects to nearly double its free cash flow by 2029, primarily driven by its low-cost resource base and an ongoing share repurchase program. This anticipated growth is supported by the startup of the Willow oil project in Alaska, which is projected to add $4 billion to annual free cash flow. Additionally, rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions could further enhance cash flow, indicating strong market confidence in ConocoPhillips' long-term financial stability.
This positive outlook reflects the company's strategic initiatives and market conditions that favor its growth trajectory. The expected increase in free cash flow and share buybacks could significantly boost investor confidence and stock performance in the coming years.
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Analyst Views on COP
Wall Street analysts forecast COP stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 117.030
Low
98.00
Averages
115.67
High
133.00
Current: 117.030
Low
98.00
Averages
115.67
High
133.00
About COP
ConocoPhillips is an exploration and production company. Its Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and NGLs. The Lower 48 segment consists of operations located in the 48 contiguous states in the United States and the Gulf of Mexico. Canadian operations consist of the Surmont oil sands development in Alberta, the liquids-rich Montney unconventional play in British Columbia and commercial operations. The Europe, Middle East and North Africa segment consists of operations principally located in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea, Qatar, Libya, Equatorial Guinea and commercial and terminalling operations in the United Kingdom. Asia Pacific segment has exploration and production operations in China, Malaysia, Australia and commercial operations in China, Singapore and Japan. Other International segment includes interests in Colombia as well as contingencies associated with prior operations in other countries.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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