Waste Connections Q4 Earnings Preview
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 10 2026
0mins
Should l Buy WCN?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Waste Connections is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 11 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.27, reflecting a 9.5% year-over-year growth, indicating stable profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $2.37 billion, representing a 16.7% year-over-year increase, which highlights the company's strong market demand and business expansion capabilities in the waste management sector.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Waste Connections has exceeded EPS and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating reliability in financial forecasting and bolstering market confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 8 downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced 3 upward and 3 downward revisions, indicating a divergence in market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
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Analyst Views on WCN
Wall Street analysts forecast WCN stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
16 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 165.540
Low
173.11
Averages
205.54
High
221.00
Current: 165.540
Low
173.11
Averages
205.54
High
221.00
About WCN
Waste Connections, Inc. is an integrated solid waste services company. It provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer and disposal services, including by rail, along with resource recovery primarily through recycling and renewable fuels generation. Its segments include Western, Southern, Eastern, Central, Canada and MidSouth. It serves approximately nine million residential, commercial and industrial customers in secondary markets across 46 states in the U.S. and six provinces in Canada. It also provides non-hazardous oilfield waste treatment, recovery and disposal services in several basins across the U.S. and Canada, as well as intermodal services for the movement of cargo and solid waste containers in the Pacific Northwest. Its residential services include garbage pickup, yard waste, recycling, dumpster rental, bulk pickup, and portable toilets. Its commercial services include business waste collection, commercial recycling, shredding, roll off dumpster rental, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Waste Connections Prices $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
- Bond Offering Size: Waste Connections has priced its 4.800% senior notes at 99.732% of face value, raising $600 million, with the offering set to close on March 16, 2026, indicating strong demand in the capital markets.
- Use of Net Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering are expected to be approximately $593 million after fees, which will be used alongside existing cash to repay part of the borrowings under its revolving credit facility, thereby optimizing the company's capital structure.
- Financial Strategy Adjustment: By repaying high-cost debt, Waste Connections aims to reduce financial expenses and enhance overall profitability, further supporting its revenue target of $9.9 billion to $9.95 billion for 2026.
- Market Reaction Expectations: This bond issuance reflects market confidence in Waste Connections' future growth potential, particularly against the backdrop of improved profit outlook driven by AI and acquisitions, which may positively impact the company's stock price.
See More
Waste Connections Prices $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
- Offering Size: Waste Connections has announced a public offering of $600 million in aggregate principal amount of 4.800% Senior Notes, priced at 99.732% of face value, with an expected closing date of March 16, 2026, indicating strong market demand for the company's debt instruments.
- Use of Proceeds: The offering is expected to generate approximately $593 million in net proceeds, primarily aimed at repaying a portion of outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility, thereby optimizing the company's capital structure and reducing financial costs.
- Underwriter Lineup: BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, PNC Capital Markets, and Truist Securities are acting as joint book-running managers for the offering, reflecting confidence and support from the market for Waste Connections' debt offerings.
- Market Positioning: As an integrated solid waste services company serving approximately nine million customers, Waste Connections emphasizes its commitment to environmental and social governance, aiming to enhance long-term value through sustainable development strategies.
See More
Waste Connections Plans to Offer Senior Notes in Public Offering
- Debt Management Strategy: Waste Connections has announced plans to issue senior unsecured notes, aiming to optimize its capital structure and manage existing debt obligations, which is expected to help reduce financial costs and enhance financial flexibility.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering will be used alongside existing cash to repay part of its revolving credit facility borrowings, thereby alleviating the company's financial burden and improving liquidity.
- Positive Market Reaction: This bond issuance plan reflects the company's robust financial management strategy in the face of market pressures, potentially boosting investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook: Waste Connections targets revenue of $9.9 billion to $9.95 billion in 2026, driven by margin improvements from AI and acquisitions, demonstrating the company's competitive position in the industry.
See More
Waste Connections Plans to Offer Senior Notes
- Senior Notes Offering: Waste Connections announced its intention to proceed with a public offering of senior notes, subject to market conditions, which is expected to enhance the company's liquidity and support its financial structure.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The company plans to utilize the net proceeds from the offering, combined with cash on hand, to repay a portion of its outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility, thereby reducing financial leverage and improving its capital structure.
- Strong Underwriter Lineup: The offering will be managed by a robust team of underwriters including BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, PNC Capital Markets, and Truist Securities, indicating strong market confidence in the transaction.
- Compliance and Transparency: The offering will be conducted under an effective shelf registration statement filed with the SEC on October 24, 2024, ensuring adherence to relevant regulations and enhancing investor trust.
See More
WASTE CONNECTIONS INC: UBS Lowers Price Target from $195 to $185
- Price Adjustment: UBS has cut its target price for a specific asset from $195 to $185.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects changes in market conditions and expectations for the asset's performance.
See More
Waste Connections Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings with Margin Expansion
- Strong Financial Performance: Waste Connections reported Q4 2025 revenue of $2.373 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $796 million, reflecting an 8.7% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's success in price-led organic growth and operational improvements.
- Robust Shareholder Returns: The company returned over $830 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends over the past year, demonstrating its commitment to capital returns while maintaining flexibility for growth.
- Active Acquisition Strategy: In 2025, Waste Connections completed 19 acquisitions totaling $330 million in annualized revenue, with an expected contribution of approximately $125 million in 2026, further solidifying its market position.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Revenue for 2026 is projected between $9.9 billion and $9.95 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected in the range of $3.30 billion to $3.325 billion, indicating strong confidence in future growth despite regulatory challenges at Chiquita Canyon.
See More
Waste Connections Prices $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
- Bond Offering Size: Waste Connections has priced its 4.800% senior notes at 99.732% of face value, raising $600 million, with the offering set to close on March 16, 2026, indicating strong demand in the capital markets.
- Use of Net Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering are expected to be approximately $593 million after fees, which will be used alongside existing cash to repay part of the borrowings under its revolving credit facility, thereby optimizing the company's capital structure.
- Financial Strategy Adjustment: By repaying high-cost debt, Waste Connections aims to reduce financial expenses and enhance overall profitability, further supporting its revenue target of $9.9 billion to $9.95 billion for 2026.
- Market Reaction Expectations: This bond issuance reflects market confidence in Waste Connections' future growth potential, particularly against the backdrop of improved profit outlook driven by AI and acquisitions, which may positively impact the company's stock price.
See More
Waste Connections Prices $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
- Offering Size: Waste Connections has announced a public offering of $600 million in aggregate principal amount of 4.800% Senior Notes, priced at 99.732% of face value, with an expected closing date of March 16, 2026, indicating strong market demand for the company's debt instruments.
- Use of Proceeds: The offering is expected to generate approximately $593 million in net proceeds, primarily aimed at repaying a portion of outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility, thereby optimizing the company's capital structure and reducing financial costs.
- Underwriter Lineup: BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, PNC Capital Markets, and Truist Securities are acting as joint book-running managers for the offering, reflecting confidence and support from the market for Waste Connections' debt offerings.
- Market Positioning: As an integrated solid waste services company serving approximately nine million customers, Waste Connections emphasizes its commitment to environmental and social governance, aiming to enhance long-term value through sustainable development strategies.
See More
Waste Connections Plans to Offer Senior Notes in Public Offering
- Debt Management Strategy: Waste Connections has announced plans to issue senior unsecured notes, aiming to optimize its capital structure and manage existing debt obligations, which is expected to help reduce financial costs and enhance financial flexibility.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering will be used alongside existing cash to repay part of its revolving credit facility borrowings, thereby alleviating the company's financial burden and improving liquidity.
- Positive Market Reaction: This bond issuance plan reflects the company's robust financial management strategy in the face of market pressures, potentially boosting investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook: Waste Connections targets revenue of $9.9 billion to $9.95 billion in 2026, driven by margin improvements from AI and acquisitions, demonstrating the company's competitive position in the industry.
See More
Waste Connections Plans to Offer Senior Notes
- Senior Notes Offering: Waste Connections announced its intention to proceed with a public offering of senior notes, subject to market conditions, which is expected to enhance the company's liquidity and support its financial structure.
- Clear Use of Proceeds: The company plans to utilize the net proceeds from the offering, combined with cash on hand, to repay a portion of its outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility, thereby reducing financial leverage and improving its capital structure.
- Strong Underwriter Lineup: The offering will be managed by a robust team of underwriters including BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, PNC Capital Markets, and Truist Securities, indicating strong market confidence in the transaction.
- Compliance and Transparency: The offering will be conducted under an effective shelf registration statement filed with the SEC on October 24, 2024, ensuring adherence to relevant regulations and enhancing investor trust.
See More
WASTE CONNECTIONS INC: UBS Lowers Price Target from $195 to $185
- Price Adjustment: UBS has cut its target price for a specific asset from $195 to $185.
- Market Impact: This adjustment reflects changes in market conditions and expectations for the asset's performance.
See More
Waste Connections Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings with Margin Expansion
- Strong Financial Performance: Waste Connections reported Q4 2025 revenue of $2.373 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $796 million, reflecting an 8.7% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's success in price-led organic growth and operational improvements.
- Robust Shareholder Returns: The company returned over $830 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends over the past year, demonstrating its commitment to capital returns while maintaining flexibility for growth.
- Active Acquisition Strategy: In 2025, Waste Connections completed 19 acquisitions totaling $330 million in annualized revenue, with an expected contribution of approximately $125 million in 2026, further solidifying its market position.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Revenue for 2026 is projected between $9.9 billion and $9.95 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected in the range of $3.30 billion to $3.325 billion, indicating strong confidence in future growth despite regulatory challenges at Chiquita Canyon.
See More
