Wall Street Analysts Predict a 32.6% Surge for ARKO (ARKO): Here's How to Invest
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 01 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ARKO?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ARKO Corp. Stock Performance and Analyst Insights
Recent Stock Gains: ARKO Corp. (ARKO) shares have increased by 25.3% over the past four weeks, closing at $5. Analysts suggest a potential upside, with a mean price target of $6.63 indicating a 32.6% increase from the current price.
Price Target Variability: The mean estimate is based on four short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $2.21. The lowest target is $4.50 (10% decline), while the highest is $9.00 (80% increase). A lower standard deviation suggests stronger agreement among analysts regarding price movement.
Analyst Credibility and Price Targets
Skepticism Towards Price Targets: Relying solely on price targets for investment decisions may be unwise, as analysts' ability to set accurate targets has been questioned. Research indicates that price targets often mislead investors rather than guide them.
Business Incentives: Analysts may set optimistic price targets to generate interest in stocks linked to their firms, which can lead to inflated estimates. However, a tight clustering of targets (low standard deviation) can indicate consensus on price direction.
Earnings Estimates and Stock Potential
Earnings Estimate Revisions: Analysts have shown growing optimism regarding ARKO's earnings, with a 112.5% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year. This trend is correlated with potential stock price movements.
Zacks Rank: ARKO holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates, suggesting a strong potential for upside.
Investment Recommendations
Caution with Price Targets: While price targets can provide directional guidance, they should be approached with skepticism. Investors are encouraged to consider other indicators, such as earnings revisions, for a more comprehensive analysis.
Emerging Investment Opportunities: Zacks Investment Research has identified five stocks with high potential for significant gains, including a satellite-based communications firm projected to thrive in the growing trillion-dollar space industry.
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Analyst Views on ARKO
About ARKO
Arko Corp. is operators of convenience stores and wholesalers of fuel in the United States. The Company operates through four segments: Retail Segment, Wholesale Segment, Fleet Fueling Segment, and GPMP Segment. The Retail segment includes the operation of a chain of retail stores, which includes convenience stores selling fuel products and other merchandise to retail customers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to dealers, on either a consignment or cost-plus basis. The Fleet Fueling segment includes the operation of proprietary and third-party cardlock locations, and issuance of proprietary fuel cards that provide customers access to a nationwide network of fueling sites. The GPMP segment includes the operations of GPM Petroleum LP (GPMP), which primarily sells and supplies fuel to GPM Investments, LLC (GPM). It operates its stores under more than 25 regional store brands, including 1-Stop, Admiral, Apple Market, BreadBox, Corner Mart, Handy Mart, Jetz, Jiffi Stop, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
ARKO Petroleum Successfully Prices IPO, Raising Nearly $200 Million
- IPO Pricing Details: ARKO Petroleum priced its initial public offering at $18 per share, selling 11.11 million shares to raise nearly $200 million, indicating a cautious market sentiment as the price falls at the lower end of its indicated range.
- Company Valuation: The IPO values ARKO Petroleum at approximately $819 million, reflecting market recognition of its growth potential despite challenges, particularly in the stable demand within the fuel distribution sector.
- Financial Performance: For the nine-month period ending September 30, ARKO Petroleum reported a profit of $24.7 million on revenues of $4.27 billion, a decline from the previous year's profit of $32.7 million on $4.92 billion in revenue, highlighting increasing competitive pressures.
- Use of Proceeds: The company plans to utilize the proceeds from the offering to pay down debt and for general corporate purposes, a strategy that not only aids in improving its financial health but also provides necessary funding for future expansion and operations.
See More
ARKO Petroleum Prices IPO at $18 per Share
- IPO Pricing: ARKO's subsidiary ARKO Petroleum has priced its initial public offering at $18 per share for approximately 11.11 million shares, with the offering expected to close on February 13, 2026, reflecting market confidence in its growth potential.
- Overallotment Option: The underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase an additional 1.67 million shares to cover overallotments, providing additional financial security for the IPO and enhancing market confidence.
- Equity Structure: Post-IPO, ARKO is expected to own 35 million shares of APC's Class B common stock, representing a 75.9% interest and 94.0% of the combined voting power, which will strengthen ARKO's control over APC.
- Market Impact: This IPO not only provides ARKO with crucial funding but may also elevate its position in the small-cap market, attracting more investors to its future growth potential.
See More
ARKO Petroleum Corp. Prices Initial Public Offering at $18.00 per Share
- IPO Pricing Announcement: ARKO Petroleum Corp. has priced its initial public offering (IPO) at $18.00 per share for 11,111,111 shares, with trading expected to commence on February 12, 2026, reflecting strong market confidence in its business model.
- Over-Allotment Option: The company has granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase an additional 1,666,666 shares, enhancing market liquidity and investor confidence in the offering's success.
- Control Structure: Upon completion of the IPO, ARKO is set to own 35,000,000 shares of APC's Class B common stock, representing 75.9% of economic interests and 94.0% of voting power, ensuring significant influence over corporate decisions and bolstering investor trust in governance.
- Underwriter Lineup: The IPO is being led by UBS Investment Bank, Raymond James, and Stifel, showcasing a robust presence in the capital markets that is likely to attract further investor interest in ARKO's growth trajectory.
See More
ARKO Opens New Convenience Store in North Carolina
- New Store Opening: ARKO Corp. has opened its latest Handy Mart store in Garner, North Carolina, marking the second NTI store featuring the fas craves food concept, which enhances the company's competitive edge in the convenience retail market.
- Menu Expansion: The new store offers a wide range of hot and cold grab-and-go options, including Nathan's hot dogs, breakfast sandwiches, and various beverages, aimed at meeting the modern customer's demand for quick, high-quality food, thereby increasing customer satisfaction and retention.
- Customer Experience Optimization: The store features a contemporary layout and digital menu boards designed to enhance shopping flow, making it easy for customers to quickly grab meals and beverages, which further strengthens brand appeal.
- Loyalty Program Benefits: Through the fas REWARDS program, customers can save up to $2.50 per gallon at the pump, attracting more customers and boosting overall sales, reflecting the company's commitment to delivering value to its customers.
See More
ARKO Corp Announces Preliminary Financial Results for 2025
- Financial Estimates: ARKO Corp. anticipates a net income for Q4 2025 ranging from a loss of $1.8 million to a profit of $0.4 million, indicating challenges in profitability while reflecting increased market competition pressures.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The expected Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 is projected between $63.1 million and $66.1 million, demonstrating operational resilience despite losses, which may instill confidence in potential investors.
- Annual Performance Outlook: For the full year 2025, net income is expected to range from $19.1 million to $21.3 million, suggesting stability in overall business performance, with positive growth anticipated despite market fluctuations.
- IPO Roadshow Launch: ARKO's subsidiary, ARKO Petroleum Corp., has initiated a roadshow for its initial public offering, which is expected to bring in new capital inflows, further supporting the company's expansion and investment plans while enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
ARKO Subsidiary Launches IPO Roadshow
- IPO Offering Size: ARKO's subsidiary APC plans to offer 10,500,000 shares of Class A common stock in its IPO, with an expected price range of $18.00 to $20.00 per share, which will provide crucial funding for future expansion initiatives.
- Underwriter Arrangement: UBS Investment Bank, Raymond James, and Stifel are serving as lead underwriters, expected to provide strong market support for the IPO, thereby enhancing ARKO's influence in the capital markets.
- Additional Share Option: APC plans to grant underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,575,000 shares of Class A common stock at the IPO price, a strategy that will offer the company flexible capital-raising options.
- Market Listing Plans: APC has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “APC,” a move that will not only enhance the company's market visibility but also lay the groundwork for its future growth strategy.
See More
ARKO Petroleum Successfully Prices IPO, Raising Nearly $200 Million
- IPO Pricing Details: ARKO Petroleum priced its initial public offering at $18 per share, selling 11.11 million shares to raise nearly $200 million, indicating a cautious market sentiment as the price falls at the lower end of its indicated range.
- Company Valuation: The IPO values ARKO Petroleum at approximately $819 million, reflecting market recognition of its growth potential despite challenges, particularly in the stable demand within the fuel distribution sector.
- Financial Performance: For the nine-month period ending September 30, ARKO Petroleum reported a profit of $24.7 million on revenues of $4.27 billion, a decline from the previous year's profit of $32.7 million on $4.92 billion in revenue, highlighting increasing competitive pressures.
- Use of Proceeds: The company plans to utilize the proceeds from the offering to pay down debt and for general corporate purposes, a strategy that not only aids in improving its financial health but also provides necessary funding for future expansion and operations.
See More
ARKO Petroleum Prices IPO at $18 per Share
- IPO Pricing: ARKO's subsidiary ARKO Petroleum has priced its initial public offering at $18 per share for approximately 11.11 million shares, with the offering expected to close on February 13, 2026, reflecting market confidence in its growth potential.
- Overallotment Option: The underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase an additional 1.67 million shares to cover overallotments, providing additional financial security for the IPO and enhancing market confidence.
- Equity Structure: Post-IPO, ARKO is expected to own 35 million shares of APC's Class B common stock, representing a 75.9% interest and 94.0% of the combined voting power, which will strengthen ARKO's control over APC.
- Market Impact: This IPO not only provides ARKO with crucial funding but may also elevate its position in the small-cap market, attracting more investors to its future growth potential.
See More
ARKO Petroleum Corp. Prices Initial Public Offering at $18.00 per Share
- IPO Pricing Announcement: ARKO Petroleum Corp. has priced its initial public offering (IPO) at $18.00 per share for 11,111,111 shares, with trading expected to commence on February 12, 2026, reflecting strong market confidence in its business model.
- Over-Allotment Option: The company has granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase an additional 1,666,666 shares, enhancing market liquidity and investor confidence in the offering's success.
- Control Structure: Upon completion of the IPO, ARKO is set to own 35,000,000 shares of APC's Class B common stock, representing 75.9% of economic interests and 94.0% of voting power, ensuring significant influence over corporate decisions and bolstering investor trust in governance.
- Underwriter Lineup: The IPO is being led by UBS Investment Bank, Raymond James, and Stifel, showcasing a robust presence in the capital markets that is likely to attract further investor interest in ARKO's growth trajectory.
See More
ARKO Opens New Convenience Store in North Carolina
- New Store Opening: ARKO Corp. has opened its latest Handy Mart store in Garner, North Carolina, marking the second NTI store featuring the fas craves food concept, which enhances the company's competitive edge in the convenience retail market.
- Menu Expansion: The new store offers a wide range of hot and cold grab-and-go options, including Nathan's hot dogs, breakfast sandwiches, and various beverages, aimed at meeting the modern customer's demand for quick, high-quality food, thereby increasing customer satisfaction and retention.
- Customer Experience Optimization: The store features a contemporary layout and digital menu boards designed to enhance shopping flow, making it easy for customers to quickly grab meals and beverages, which further strengthens brand appeal.
- Loyalty Program Benefits: Through the fas REWARDS program, customers can save up to $2.50 per gallon at the pump, attracting more customers and boosting overall sales, reflecting the company's commitment to delivering value to its customers.
See More
ARKO Corp Announces Preliminary Financial Results for 2025
- Financial Estimates: ARKO Corp. anticipates a net income for Q4 2025 ranging from a loss of $1.8 million to a profit of $0.4 million, indicating challenges in profitability while reflecting increased market competition pressures.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The expected Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 is projected between $63.1 million and $66.1 million, demonstrating operational resilience despite losses, which may instill confidence in potential investors.
- Annual Performance Outlook: For the full year 2025, net income is expected to range from $19.1 million to $21.3 million, suggesting stability in overall business performance, with positive growth anticipated despite market fluctuations.
- IPO Roadshow Launch: ARKO's subsidiary, ARKO Petroleum Corp., has initiated a roadshow for its initial public offering, which is expected to bring in new capital inflows, further supporting the company's expansion and investment plans while enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
ARKO Subsidiary Launches IPO Roadshow
- IPO Offering Size: ARKO's subsidiary APC plans to offer 10,500,000 shares of Class A common stock in its IPO, with an expected price range of $18.00 to $20.00 per share, which will provide crucial funding for future expansion initiatives.
- Underwriter Arrangement: UBS Investment Bank, Raymond James, and Stifel are serving as lead underwriters, expected to provide strong market support for the IPO, thereby enhancing ARKO's influence in the capital markets.
- Additional Share Option: APC plans to grant underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,575,000 shares of Class A common stock at the IPO price, a strategy that will offer the company flexible capital-raising options.
- Market Listing Plans: APC has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “APC,” a move that will not only enhance the company's market visibility but also lay the groundwork for its future growth strategy.
See More
