VinFast (NasdaqGS:VFS): Assessing Valuation Following Q3 Growth and 2025 Delivery Goals Ignite New Interest
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 27 2025
0mins
Should l Buy VFS?
Source: Yahoo Finance
VinFast's Ambitious Goals: VinFast Auto aims to double its global EV deliveries by 2025, despite facing significant net losses and a -24.18% total shareholder return over the past year, raising concerns among investors.
Market Valuation Concerns: The company's stock is trading at $3.23, significantly below analyst price targets, indicating a valuation gap that could pose risks if growth expectations are not met.
Infrastructure and Growth Strategy: VinFast is focusing on building charging infrastructure and partnerships in Southeast Asia to enhance EV adoption, which is crucial for achieving its ambitious revenue growth targets.
Investment Risks: Persistent losses and reliance on founder support may jeopardize VinFast's growth narrative, especially if market sentiment shifts, highlighting the importance of evaluating key risks and market conditions.
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Analyst Views on VFS
Wall Street analysts forecast VFS stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 3.200
Low
5.50
Averages
5.83
High
6.00
Current: 3.200
Low
5.50
Averages
5.83
High
6.00
About VFS
VinFast Auto Ltd is a full-scale mobility platform focused on designing and manufacturing electric vehicles (EVs), e-scooters and e-buses. Its segments include Car, E-scooter and Ebus. The Car segment includes the design, development, manufacturing and sales of cars and related battery lease and battery charging services for cars. The E-scooter segment includes the design, development, manufacturing and sales of e-scooters and related battery lease and battery charging services for e-scooters. The Ebus segment includes the design, development, manufacturing and sales of Ebus. Its EV models include the VF 3, VF e34, VF 8, VF 9, VF 5, VF 6, VF 7, the Green series, which includes Minio Green, Herio Green, Nerio Green, Limo Green, and VF Wild. It offers two trims of the VF 8 model in North America, Europe, Vietnam and the Middle East, the Eco and Plus. The Eco trim offers a longer driving range. The Plus trim offers high horsepower and luxury features, including a power-assisted tailgate.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Emerging Investment Potential: The market share of Chinese automakers in Mexico has surged from zero in 2020 to approximately 10% last year, highlighting the rapid rise of Chinese brands in the Latin American market, which could create significant job opportunities in Mexico.
- Policy Challenges: The Mexican government faces a dilemma in trade negotiations with the U.S.; while it cannot block the sale of the factory, it is urging delays in Chinese investments until negotiations are completed to avoid escalating tensions with Washington.
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- Two-Wheeler Delivery Plan: The company targets its two-wheeler deliveries in 2026 to be at least 2.5 times that of 2025, demonstrating VinFast's proactive expansion strategy in the electric two-wheeler market to meet growing consumer demand.
- International Sales Growth: VinFast anticipates a significant boost in international sales in 2026, indicating that the company is actively expanding into overseas markets to enhance its global competitiveness and improve overall performance.
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- Comfort Design: The VF 9's second-row captain's seats rival those in luxury minivans, equipped with ventilation and massage functions, making long-distance travel more enjoyable and attracting families accustomed to highway travel, thereby enhancing the brand's competitive edge.
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- Intensifying Market Competition: Chinese automakers like BYD and Geely are competing to acquire the Nissan-Mercedes plant in Mexico, indicating a strategic intent to expand in the global automotive market, particularly as U.S. tariffs impact manufacturing dynamics in Mexico.
- Emerging Investment Potential: The market share of Chinese automakers in Mexico has surged from zero in 2020 to approximately 10% last year, highlighting the rapid rise of Chinese brands in the Latin American market, which could create significant job opportunities in Mexico.
- Policy Challenges: The Mexican government faces a dilemma in trade negotiations with the U.S.; while it cannot block the sale of the factory, it is urging delays in Chinese investments until negotiations are completed to avoid escalating tensions with Washington.
- Industry Transformation: The closures of Nissan and Mercedes factories are closely tied to U.S. tariff policies, and after three decades of growth, Mexico's auto industry is grappling with declining exports and job losses, necessitating new investments to sustain industry vitality.
See More
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- Global Delivery Target: VinFast has announced a global electric vehicle delivery target of 300,000 units for 2026, reflecting the company's expectation of continued strong momentum in Asian markets, aiming to enhance brand influence through increased market share.
- Two-Wheeler Delivery Plan: The company targets its two-wheeler deliveries in 2026 to be at least 2.5 times that of 2025, demonstrating VinFast's proactive expansion strategy in the electric two-wheeler market to meet growing consumer demand.
- International Sales Growth: VinFast anticipates a significant boost in international sales in 2026, indicating that the company is actively expanding into overseas markets to enhance its global competitiveness and improve overall performance.
- Delivery Growth Target Achieved: VinFast successfully met its delivery growth target in 2025, further solidifying its position in the electric vehicle industry and laying a solid foundation for future expansion.
See More
VinFast Drives EV Sales with 10-Year Warranty Strategy
- Warranty Innovation: VinFast's industry-leading 10-year or 200,000-kilometre warranty significantly reduces consumer risk perception regarding EVs, thereby attracting more potential buyers, particularly in the Canadian market.
- Price Competitiveness: The VinFast VF 8 starts at approximately CAD 47,206, offering a more appealing option compared to the average new car price of CAD 65,000 in Canada, making the economic case for EVs more persuasive.
- Service Accessibility Enhancement: VinFast's mobile app integrates with about 95% of public charging stations in North America, providing access to over 100,000 chargers, simplifying the charging and service appointment process, and boosting consumer confidence in usage.
- Market Education Strategy: VinFast addresses consumer concerns about EVs by providing clear information on total cost of ownership and warranty coverage, helping them assess the long-term value of EVs more rationally and fostering market maturity.
See More
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- Capital Raise: Black Spade Acquisition III successfully raised $150 million by offering 15 million units at $10 each, establishing a solid financial foundation for investments in the leisure, entertainment, and digital asset sectors.
- Management Team: The SPAC is led by Co-CEO and Chairman Dennis Tam, along with Co-CEOs Kester Ng and Richard Taylor, all of whom bring extensive investment management experience, enhancing investor confidence in the venture.
- Investment Focus: Black Spade Acquisition III aims to target opportunities at the intersection of entertainment and digital financial infrastructure, with potential targets including digital assets, Web3 technologies, and blockchain-driven business models, demonstrating keen insight into future market trends.
- Historical Performance: The predecessor, Black Spade Acquisition, merged with Vinfast Auto in 2023, experiencing a 66% decline from its offer price, yet the management team's experience provides a strong assurance for the new SPAC's success.
See More
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- Superior Space Design: The VinFast VF 8 features a 116.1-inch wheelbase and 187-inch length, providing ample interior space that enhances family travel comfort, particularly for children and bulky child seats.
- Smart Tech Features: Equipped with a 15.6-inch central touchscreen that integrates navigation and vehicle controls, the VF 8 improves user experience, while the Plus trim's panoramic glass roof brightens the cabin, making it ideal for long trips.
- Powerful Performance: The VF 8 Eco configuration delivers 349 horsepower, while the Plus version boosts output to 402 horsepower, ensuring stability and acceleration performance even when fully loaded, which enhances family travel confidence.
- Comprehensive Safety Systems: With up to 11 airbags and various driving assistance features like adaptive cruise control and blind spot detection, the VF 8 aims to reduce mental strain during long-distance driving, thereby improving family travel safety.
See More
VinFast VF 9 Enters Canadian Market with 518 km Range
- Market Opportunity: As interest in spacious electric travel rises in Canada, the VinFast VF 9, a seven-seater electric SUV, is gaining traction among families, filling the gap in the market for full-size electric SUVs and meeting consumer demands for space and comfort.
- Comfort Design: The VF 9's second-row captain's seats rival those in luxury minivans, equipped with ventilation and massage functions, making long-distance travel more enjoyable and attracting families accustomed to highway travel, thereby enhancing the brand's competitive edge.
- Charging Convenience: VinFast's mobile app connects with most public charging networks in Canada and the U.S., simplifying the charging process and alleviating consumer concerns about electric vehicle charging, thus promoting wider adoption of EVs.
- Long Warranty Policy: The VF 9 offers a 10-year or 200,000-kilometer comprehensive warranty along with unlimited mileage on the battery, addressing consumer concerns about EV longevity and boosting confidence for families transitioning from traditional gasoline SUVs.
See More
