COSTCO STOCK RISES 1% FOLLOWING STRONG Q2 SALES AND PROFIT RESULTS
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 06 2026
0mins
Should l Buy COST?
Source: moomoo
Sales Performance: The company reported a 1% increase in sales for the second quarter, indicating steady growth in revenue.
Profitability: The profits exceeded expectations, showcasing effective cost management and operational efficiency.
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Analyst Views on COST
Wall Street analysts forecast COST stock price to rise
24 Analyst Rating
19 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1008.790
Low
769.00
Averages
1061
High
1205
Current: 1008.790
Low
769.00
Averages
1061
High
1205
About COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation (Costco) operates membership warehouses and e-commerce sites that offer a selection of nationally branded and private-label products in a wide range of categories. The Company buys the majority of its merchandise directly from suppliers and route it to cross-docking consolidation points (depots) or directly to its warehouses. It operates 891 warehouses, including 614 in the United States and Puerto Rico, 108 in Canada, 40 in Mexico, 35 in Japan, 29 in the United Kingdom, 19 in Korea, 15 in Australia, 14 in Taiwan, seven in China, five in Spain, two in France, and one each in Iceland, New Zealand and Sweden. It also operates e-commerce sites in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Korea, Taiwan, Japan and Australia. The Company provides wide selection of merchandise, plus the convenience of specialty departments and exclusive member services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Rising Gas Prices Impact Spending: Gas prices have surged to $4.55 per gallon due to the Iran war, the highest since 2022, which may lead lower-income consumers to cut back on spending, negatively affecting the retail sector.
- Costco Outperforms Competitors: Costco's stock has risen about 17% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 index and matching major competitor Walmart, indicating strong competitive positioning in the retail market.
- High-Income Membership Supports Spending: Research shows that 40% of Costco members have household incomes over $125,000, suggesting that high-income consumers continue to spend despite pressures on lower-income households, providing a buffer for Costco's performance.
- Gas Business Drives Membership Growth: Costco's gasoline sales accounted for about 10% of total net sales in 2025, and higher gas prices may attract more consumers, driving membership growth and repeat business, thereby enhancing the company's resilience in an economic downturn.
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- Member Income Advantage: Research from Northwestern University shows that Costco members have an average household income of $81,200, significantly higher than Walmart+ at $61,500 and Amazon Prime at $66,200, indicating Costco's strong appeal among high-income consumers and enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Gasoline Business Contribution: In 2025, Costco's gasoline sales accounted for about 10% of total net sales, providing a stable revenue source that not only supports overall sales performance but also attracts more consumers to shop at its warehouses.
- High Member Loyalty: As of the end of fiscal 2025, Costco's membership renewal rate in the U.S. and Canada reached 92.3%, demonstrating strong customer loyalty, which allows the company to maintain a steady revenue stream even during economic fluctuations.
- Economic Resilience: Although rising gas prices exert pressure on the economy, Costco's affluent member base is better positioned to handle inflation, allowing the company to remain competitive in the retail market and continue attracting consumers.
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- Earnings Beat: monday.com (MNDY) reported Q1 revenue of $351.3 million, a 24% year-over-year increase that exceeded analyst expectations, showcasing the company's strong performance and growth potential in the market.
- Strategic Shift: Leadership highlighted the transition to consumption-based pricing and the successful rollout of its AI Work Platform as key drivers, which not only enhanced customer satisfaction but also strengthened competitive positioning in the market.
- Operational Leverage: CFO Eliran Glazer noted that internal AI productivity gains allow the company to scale revenue without increasing headcount, indicating a higher operational efficiency achieved in a complex environment.
- Strong Cash Flow: The firm generated over $102 million in adjusted free cash flow, providing substantial capital to further invest in autonomous AI agents, thereby enhancing the sustainability of future growth.
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- Sales Growth: Costco reported total net sales of $23.92 billion for April, reflecting a 13% year-over-year increase, indicating strong consumer spending amidst economic uncertainty and reinforcing its market position.
- High Membership Renewal Rate: The membership renewal rate reached 92.1%, up 4.8% year-over-year, demonstrating the company's strong customer loyalty and pricing power, which helps maintain stable growth under economic pressure.
- Accelerated Digital Sales: Digital sales grew 18.4% in April, outpacing physical business, showcasing the effectiveness of its personalized recommendation technology that drove over $470 million in e-commerce sales, establishing a new growth engine for the company.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Costco plans to open over 30 new warehouses annually, and with strong sales data and membership growth, it is expected to maintain a competitive edge in the market, especially in an environment where defensive growth is scarce.
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- Cloud Growth Acceleration: Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 28% revenue increase in Q1, reaching $37.6 billion, marking its fastest growth in nearly four years, indicating a strong recovery in the cloud market that is expected to drive overall performance.
- Chip Business Surge: Amazon's chip division is on a $20 billion annual run-rate, projected to reach $50 billion with internal usage, as data center spending rises, attracting investor attention and enhancing the company's competitive edge in AI infrastructure.
- Agentic AI Advantage: Amazon is well-positioned in both hardware and platform for agentic AI, particularly with its collaboration with OpenAI on the Amazon BedRock platform, which enables customers to build AI agents, likely boosting its e-commerce leadership in smart commerce.
- E-commerce Efficiency Gains: Amazon's e-commerce operations are benefiting from robotics and AI, leading to significant operating leverage where profit growth outpaces revenue growth, further solidifying its market position and potential for future expansion.
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- Accelerating Cloud Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 28% revenue increase in Q1, reaching $37.6 billion, marking its fastest growth in nearly four years, indicating a robust recovery in the cloud market that is expected to drive overall company performance.
- Chip Business Gains Attention: Amazon's chip division has reached a $20 billion annual run-rate, with projections of $50 billion when including internal usage, which, while not counted in sales, significantly reduces inference costs and enhances capital expenditure efficiency, boosting investor confidence.
- E-commerce Efficiency Gains: Amazon is leveraging robotics and AI to drive operational efficiency in its e-commerce business, leading to profitability growth that outpaces revenue growth; should investors recognize its robotics capabilities, this could trigger a stock price surge.
- Attractive Valuation: With a forward P/E ratio of 32, Amazon is positioned favorably compared to Walmart and Costco, which trade above 40 times, suggesting significant room for stock price appreciation in the coming year.
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