Two Most Affected Stocks Since the Start of the Iran War Decline Again, But There’s Reason for Optimism.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 11 hours ago
0mins
Source: Barron's
- Impact of Rising Oil Prices: Surging oil prices are negatively affecting the stock market, leading to broader economic concerns.
- Travel Industry Struggles: The travel sector is experiencing significant challenges, facing a harder hit compared to other industries due to rising fuel costs.
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Analyst Views on RCL
Wall Street analysts forecast RCL stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 278.080
Low
275.00
Averages
327.80
High
400.00
Current: 278.080
Low
275.00
Averages
327.80
High
400.00
About RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a cruise company, which owns and operates three global cruise brands: Royal Caribbean, Celebrity Cruises and Silversea Cruises. It also has an interest in TUI Cruises GmbH, which operates the German brands TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises. Its ships offer a selection of worldwide itineraries that call on approximately 1,000 destinations on all seven continents. Royal Caribbean offers cruises and land destinations that generally feature a casual ambiance, as well as a variety of activities and entertainment venues. Celebrity Cruises offers a range of itineraries to destinations, including Alaska, Asia, Australia, Bermuda, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, the Galapagos Islands, Hawaii, New Zealand, the Panama Canal and South America, with cruise lengths ranging from three to 14 nights. It also offers a range of private land destinations through Perfect Day at CocoCay and Royal Beach Club collection.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Surging Oil Prices Could Reclaim Energy Stocks' Market Leadership
- Oil Price Surge: With tensions escalating in the Middle East, West Texas Intermediate crude futures soared above $119 overnight, disrupting global energy supplies and potentially allowing energy stocks to reclaim market leadership.
- Production Declines: According to Reuters, Iraq's main southern oilfields have seen a 70% drop in production, while Kuwait has announced cuts, exacerbating market concerns over energy supply.
- Strong Energy Stock Performance: During the period from March to July 2022, when oil prices surpassed $100, energy stocks outperformed significantly, with four out of the five best-performing stocks belonging to the energy sector, indicating their resilience during oil price surges.
- Consumer Stocks Struggling: In contrast, consumer-related stocks like Carvana and Royal Caribbean Group performed poorly in 2022, with Carvana down 26% this year and Royal Caribbean facing profit pressures due to rising oil prices, trading 11% lower month-to-date.
See More
Oil Price Surge Drives Significant Stock Movements
- Oil Price Impact: Oil prices surged past $110 per barrel due to the ongoing Iran conflict, leading Chevron to hit an all-time high, while Talos Energy rose by 5%, and ConocoPhillips and Northern Oil gained 2% and 3% respectively, indicating strong performance among oil companies in a high-price environment.
- Hims & Hers Health Surge: The company's stock soared 39% after striking a deal with Novo Nordisk to sell its weight-loss drug, resolving a lawsuit over a copycat version, which is expected to significantly enhance its market share and brand reputation.
- Live Nation Settlement Near: Live Nation's shares rose 6% as it nears a settlement with the Department of Justice regarding monopoly allegations in the live concert industry, which, if successful, will stabilize and expand its future business operations.
- United Therapeutics Buyback Plan: The pharmaceutical company's shares increased by over 8% after its board authorized a $2 billion stock repurchase plan, with $1.5 billion allocated for accelerated buybacks, which is expected to boost investor confidence and enhance shareholder value.
See More
Cruise Stocks Plunge as Oil Prices Surge, Marking Seventh Day of Decline
- Oil Price Surge Impacts Cruise Stocks: Geopolitical tensions have pushed oil prices above the $100 per barrel mark, causing cruise stocks to decline for the seventh consecutive day, with shares of Carnival Corp. (CCL), Royal Caribbean (RCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) dropping by 7% to 8%.
- Rising Fuel Cost Pressure: Fuel typically accounts for 10% to 15% of a cruise operator's operating expenses, and with fuel prices surging 63% over the past three weeks, profitability for cruise companies is significantly impacted, particularly for Carnival and Royal Caribbean.
- Continued Downward Trend: Carnival Corporation (CCL) has seen its shares decline for two consecutive weeks, while Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) has experienced weekly declines for four straight weeks, indicating a broader weakness in the industry.
- Market Reaction: The cruise industry faces severe challenges, leading to diminished investor confidence in cruise stocks, which in turn weighs on the Dow Jones Transportation index, reflecting the negative impact of soaring fuel costs on the overall market.
See More
Oil Prices Surge, Boosting Oil Stocks Ahead of Market Open
- Oil Price Surge: Oil prices surged to $110 per barrel due to the ongoing Iran War, reaching levels not seen since mid-2022, which boosted oil stocks with Talos Energy rising 5%, and Northern Oil and Gas and ConocoPhillips gaining 3% and 2%, respectively.
- Hims & Hers Health: The stock skyrocketed 51% after a deal with Novo Nordisk was reported, allowing the sale of the pharmaceutical company's weight-loss drug on its platform, effectively ending a lawsuit aimed at blocking its sale of a copycat version, which is expected to significantly enhance its market share.
- Live Nation Entertainment: Shares rose 9% following reports that the company is nearing a settlement with the Department of Justice over alleged monopolistic practices in the live concert industry, which could improve its market position and reduce legal risks.
- Airline Stock Declines: Airline stocks fell as rising oil prices and the fallout from the Iran War impacted global travel, with Delta Air Lines down about 3%, and American Airlines and United Airlines shedding 4%, indicating the industry's cost pressures and operational challenges.
See More
Two Most Affected Stocks Since the Start of the Iran War Decline Again, But There’s Reason for Optimism.
- Impact of Rising Oil Prices: Surging oil prices are negatively affecting the stock market, leading to broader economic concerns.
- Travel Industry Struggles: The travel sector is experiencing significant challenges, facing a harder hit compared to other industries due to rising fuel costs.
See More
Market Comparison of Royal Caribbean and Viking Holdings
- Market Share Comparison: Royal Caribbean has achieved a higher market capitalization than Carnival despite serving fewer passengers, establishing itself as the second-largest cruise line globally, which highlights its brand strength and market positioning success.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In 2025, Royal Caribbean reported $18 billion in revenue, an 8% year-over-year increase, driven by an impressive 110% occupancy rate, indicating strong market demand and effective pricing strategies.
- Viking's Unique Positioning: Viking Holdings has carved out a niche by offering child-free upscale experiences and learning-focused vacations, achieving over $6.5 billion in revenue in 2025, a 22% increase, despite capturing only 4% of industry revenue, showcasing its market appeal.
- Future Expansion Plans: Viking aims to launch 27 new river ships by 2028 and 10 new ocean ships by 2031, reflecting its intent to expand in the high-end market and confidence in future growth prospects.
See More
Surging Oil Prices Could Reclaim Energy Stocks' Market Leadership
- Oil Price Surge: With tensions escalating in the Middle East, West Texas Intermediate crude futures soared above $119 overnight, disrupting global energy supplies and potentially allowing energy stocks to reclaim market leadership.
- Production Declines: According to Reuters, Iraq's main southern oilfields have seen a 70% drop in production, while Kuwait has announced cuts, exacerbating market concerns over energy supply.
- Strong Energy Stock Performance: During the period from March to July 2022, when oil prices surpassed $100, energy stocks outperformed significantly, with four out of the five best-performing stocks belonging to the energy sector, indicating their resilience during oil price surges.
- Consumer Stocks Struggling: In contrast, consumer-related stocks like Carvana and Royal Caribbean Group performed poorly in 2022, with Carvana down 26% this year and Royal Caribbean facing profit pressures due to rising oil prices, trading 11% lower month-to-date.
See More
Oil Price Surge Drives Significant Stock Movements
- Oil Price Impact: Oil prices surged past $110 per barrel due to the ongoing Iran conflict, leading Chevron to hit an all-time high, while Talos Energy rose by 5%, and ConocoPhillips and Northern Oil gained 2% and 3% respectively, indicating strong performance among oil companies in a high-price environment.
- Hims & Hers Health Surge: The company's stock soared 39% after striking a deal with Novo Nordisk to sell its weight-loss drug, resolving a lawsuit over a copycat version, which is expected to significantly enhance its market share and brand reputation.
- Live Nation Settlement Near: Live Nation's shares rose 6% as it nears a settlement with the Department of Justice regarding monopoly allegations in the live concert industry, which, if successful, will stabilize and expand its future business operations.
- United Therapeutics Buyback Plan: The pharmaceutical company's shares increased by over 8% after its board authorized a $2 billion stock repurchase plan, with $1.5 billion allocated for accelerated buybacks, which is expected to boost investor confidence and enhance shareholder value.
See More
Cruise Stocks Plunge as Oil Prices Surge, Marking Seventh Day of Decline
- Oil Price Surge Impacts Cruise Stocks: Geopolitical tensions have pushed oil prices above the $100 per barrel mark, causing cruise stocks to decline for the seventh consecutive day, with shares of Carnival Corp. (CCL), Royal Caribbean (RCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) dropping by 7% to 8%.
- Rising Fuel Cost Pressure: Fuel typically accounts for 10% to 15% of a cruise operator's operating expenses, and with fuel prices surging 63% over the past three weeks, profitability for cruise companies is significantly impacted, particularly for Carnival and Royal Caribbean.
- Continued Downward Trend: Carnival Corporation (CCL) has seen its shares decline for two consecutive weeks, while Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) has experienced weekly declines for four straight weeks, indicating a broader weakness in the industry.
- Market Reaction: The cruise industry faces severe challenges, leading to diminished investor confidence in cruise stocks, which in turn weighs on the Dow Jones Transportation index, reflecting the negative impact of soaring fuel costs on the overall market.
See More
Oil Prices Surge, Boosting Oil Stocks Ahead of Market Open
- Oil Price Surge: Oil prices surged to $110 per barrel due to the ongoing Iran War, reaching levels not seen since mid-2022, which boosted oil stocks with Talos Energy rising 5%, and Northern Oil and Gas and ConocoPhillips gaining 3% and 2%, respectively.
- Hims & Hers Health: The stock skyrocketed 51% after a deal with Novo Nordisk was reported, allowing the sale of the pharmaceutical company's weight-loss drug on its platform, effectively ending a lawsuit aimed at blocking its sale of a copycat version, which is expected to significantly enhance its market share.
- Live Nation Entertainment: Shares rose 9% following reports that the company is nearing a settlement with the Department of Justice over alleged monopolistic practices in the live concert industry, which could improve its market position and reduce legal risks.
- Airline Stock Declines: Airline stocks fell as rising oil prices and the fallout from the Iran War impacted global travel, with Delta Air Lines down about 3%, and American Airlines and United Airlines shedding 4%, indicating the industry's cost pressures and operational challenges.
See More
Two Most Affected Stocks Since the Start of the Iran War Decline Again, But There’s Reason for Optimism.
- Impact of Rising Oil Prices: Surging oil prices are negatively affecting the stock market, leading to broader economic concerns.
- Travel Industry Struggles: The travel sector is experiencing significant challenges, facing a harder hit compared to other industries due to rising fuel costs.
See More
Market Comparison of Royal Caribbean and Viking Holdings
- Market Share Comparison: Royal Caribbean has achieved a higher market capitalization than Carnival despite serving fewer passengers, establishing itself as the second-largest cruise line globally, which highlights its brand strength and market positioning success.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In 2025, Royal Caribbean reported $18 billion in revenue, an 8% year-over-year increase, driven by an impressive 110% occupancy rate, indicating strong market demand and effective pricing strategies.
- Viking's Unique Positioning: Viking Holdings has carved out a niche by offering child-free upscale experiences and learning-focused vacations, achieving over $6.5 billion in revenue in 2025, a 22% increase, despite capturing only 4% of industry revenue, showcasing its market appeal.
- Future Expansion Plans: Viking aims to launch 27 new river ships by 2028 and 10 new ocean ships by 2031, reflecting its intent to expand in the high-end market and confidence in future growth prospects.
See More
