Thursday's ETF with Unusual Volume: RPV
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 23 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Trading Highlights: On Thursday, Ford Motor saw a 0.6% increase with over 20 million shares traded, while Intel experienced a 2.1% decline with more than 17.8 million shares exchanged; Carmax was the top performer, rising by 2.8%.
Market Commentary: The opinions expressed in the article reflect the author's views and do not necessarily align with those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on KMX
Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
10 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 52.110
Low
24.00
Averages
33.60
High
37.00
Current: 52.110
Low
24.00
Averages
33.60
High
37.00
About KMX
CarMax, Inc. is a retailer of used autos. The Company operates through two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance (CAF). The CarMax Sales Operations segment consists of all aspects of its auto merchandising and service operations. The CarMax Sales Operations segment sells used vehicles, purchases used vehicles from customers and other sources, sells related products and services, and arranges financing options for customers. The CAF segment consists solely of its own finance operation that provides financing for customers buying retail vehicles from the Company. The CAF segment also services all auto loans, it originates and is responsible for providing billing statements, collecting payments, maintaining contact with delinquent customers, and arranging for the repossession of vehicles securing defaulted loans. It provides customers with a range of other related products and services, including extended protection plan (EPP) products and vehicle repair services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Date: CarMax (KMX) is scheduled to release its Q1 earnings on June 17 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.98, reflecting a significant 29% year-over-year decline, indicating potential profitability challenges.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $7.43 billion, down 1.6% year-over-year, which suggests a weakening overall market demand that could impact the company's sales strategies and inventory management.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, CarMax has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating some resilience amid market fluctuations, although recent estimate revisions may affect investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced six upward revisions and one downward, indicating a divergence in analysts' outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Revenue Growth: CarMax reported a 6.2% increase in net revenues to $8.0 billion for Q1, indicating robust performance despite competitive pressures in the automotive retail sector.
- Unit Sales Performance: Combined retail and wholesale unit sales reached 392,357, up 3.3%, with wholesale unit sales increasing by 8.4%, reflecting effective inventory management and sales strategies.
- Cost Control: SG&A expenses decreased by 3.7% to $635.2 million, primarily due to ongoing cost reduction efforts, which will enhance the company's profitability and operational efficiency moving forward.
- Strategic Framework: CEO Keith Barr introduced a four-pillar strategy aimed at improving customer experience and operational efficiency, thereby driving sustainable growth and strengthening the company's competitive position in the used car market.
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- Earnings Beat: CarMax's first fiscal quarter earnings per share reached $1.31, surpassing the expected $0.95, with revenue hitting $8.01 billion against a forecast of $7.42 billion; however, shares fell about 8%, indicating market concerns about future growth.
- Profit Decline: The company's total gross profit was $854.4 million, down 4.4% year-over-year, with retail used vehicle gross profit decreasing by 9.5%, and gross profit per retail used unit at $2,177, reflecting a $230 drop from last year's record, highlighting increasing market pressures.
- New CEO Strategy: New CEO Keith Barr's long-term strategy focuses on enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency, with more details expected in the fall; however, the market remains cautious about the execution of this plan.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: Carvana's shares also dropped over 7% as it announced plans for new franchised stores to enhance service capabilities, intensifying the competitive landscape for CarMax, even as its customers still prefer to see vehicles in person before purchasing.
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- Earnings Beat: CarMax reported Q1 earnings per share of $1.31, exceeding expectations of $0.95, with revenue of $8.01 billion surpassing the $7.42 billion forecast, yet concerns linger about the company's growth potential under current market conditions.
- Declining Margins: The company's total gross profit fell to $854.4 million, down 4.4% year-over-year, with retail used vehicle gross profit decreasing by 9.5%, and gross profit per retail unit dropping to $2,177, indicating significant pressure on profitability amid challenging market dynamics.
- New CEO Strategy: CEO Keith Barr outlined a long-term turnaround strategy focused on enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency, acknowledging that the plan will take years to implement while navigating a tougher market landscape.
- Stock Volatility: Despite a 25% increase in CarMax's stock this year, shares dropped approximately 8% during midday trading on Wednesday following the announcement of the turnaround plan, reflecting investor concerns regarding the company's ability to achieve sustainable growth and cost management.
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- Consumer Stock Performance: On Wednesday afternoon, consumer stocks broadly declined, reflecting a cautious market sentiment towards the consumer goods sector, likely influenced by expectations of economic slowdown.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Investor confidence in consumer goods weakened, leading to a drop in the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector Index, indicating concerns over future consumer spending.
- Industry Impact: The weak performance of the consumer goods sector may affect the earnings outlook for related companies, potentially exerting negative pressure on stock prices, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty.
- Investment Strategy Adjustment: In light of the decline in consumer stocks, investors may need to reassess their portfolios and consider reallocating funds to more defensive assets to mitigate potential market volatility.
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- SpaceX Stock Fluctuation: After soaring nearly 50% post-IPO, SpaceX's stock dropped over 3% on Wednesday, reflecting short-term volatility around its $135 per share IPO price, which may impact investor confidence.
- Strong Bank Performance: The Invesco KBW Bank ETF reached an all-time high, with JPMorgan, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs hitting new intraday records, indicating a bull market expansion into previously lagging bank stocks, potentially signaling a recovery in the financial sector.
- CarMax Earnings Beat: CarMax reported first-quarter earnings of $1.31 per share, exceeding analysts' expectations of $0.95, although the stock fell 7%, it remains up 31% over the past month, indicating market confidence in its long-term growth.
- Aehr Test Systems New Order: Aehr Test Systems announced a follow-on production order from a major customer, leading to a 12% stock increase, with the fully automated wafer-level burn-in system scheduled for delivery in six months, potentially driving future revenue growth.
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