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KMX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Carmax Inc (KMX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
40.110
1 Day change
-1.84%
52 Week Range
82.790
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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CarMax Inc (KMX) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's financial performance is declining, and there are no significant positive catalysts or strong trading signals to justify an immediate purchase. While hedge funds are buying, the lack of recent news, weak financials, and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding (0.131), indicating a potential upward trend. RSI is neutral at 56.986, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level (42.096), with resistance at 43.585 and support at 40.606. Overall, the technical indicators are neutral to slightly positive.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are increasing their buying activity, with a 179.34% increase in the last quarter. The MACD is showing positive momentum.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q3 2026 shows a significant decline in revenue (-6.90% YoY), net income (-50.40% YoY), EPS (-46.91% YoY), and gross margin (-8.73% YoY). Analyst ratings are mixed, with some price targets below the current pre-market price. The stock has a 70% chance to decline in the next week (-2.93%).

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, CarMax reported a revenue drop to $5.79 billion (-6.90% YoY), net income fell to $62.2 million (-50.40% YoY), EPS dropped to $0.43 (-46.91% YoY), and gross margin decreased to 8.99% (-8.73% YoY). These figures indicate a significant decline in the company's financial health.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. Evercore ISI raised its price target to $39 and $42 in recent months but maintained an In Line rating. Baird raised its price target to $48 with an Outperform rating. Barclays raised its target to $28 but kept an Underweight rating, citing soft auto sales. Overall, analysts have differing views, with no strong consensus for a buy.

Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
0 Buy
10 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 39.990
sliders
Low
24
Averages
33.6
High
37
Current: 39.990
sliders
Low
24
Averages
33.6
High
37
Evercore ISI
In Line
maintain
$37 -> $39
AI Analysis
2026-03-17
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$37 -> $39
AI Analysis
2026-03-17
maintain
In Line
Reason
Evercore ISI raised the firm's price target on CarMax to $39 from $37 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares.
Baird
Craig Kennison
Outperform
maintain
$44 -> $48
2026-02-18
Reason
Baird
Craig Kennison
Price Target
$44 -> $48
2026-02-18
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst Craig Kennison raised the firm's price target on CarMax to $48 from $44 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following the company's investor meeting.
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