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KMX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Carmax Inc (KMX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
53.660
1 Day change
13.14%
52 Week Range
71.990
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

CarMax Inc (KMX) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock has shown strong positive momentum following its Q1 earnings report, which exceeded expectations. Analysts have upgraded their ratings and raised price targets, hedge funds are increasing their positions, and technical indicators are bullish. While there are some concerns about market share pressure and operational challenges, the company's focus on digital transformation and improving customer experience provides a solid foundation for long-term growth.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positively expanding, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 68.392, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading above its pivot level of 49.953, with resistance levels at 52.986 and 54.86, suggesting potential for further upside.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
12

Positive Catalysts

  • Q1 earnings beat expectations with $8.01 billion in revenue and $1.31 EPS.

  • Analysts have upgraded ratings and raised price targets, with the highest target at $

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 179.34% increase in buying activity.

  • The company is focusing on digital transformation and customer experience improvements, which are likely to drive long-term growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Some analysts remain cautious, citing market share pressure from competitors like Carvana.

  • Earnings per share declined 5.1% year-over-year, reflecting some operational challenges.

  • No recent congress trading data or insider buying activity to further validate confidence.

Financial Performance

CarMax reported Q1 revenue of $8.01 billion, exceeding expectations. However, EPS declined 5.1% year-over-year, highlighting some ongoing challenges. The company is in the early stages of a turnaround, focusing on improving price competitiveness and customer experience.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed but leaning positive. Stephens upgraded the stock to Overweight with a price target of $66, citing a favorable setup. Baird raised the target to $55, highlighting an early-stage turnaround. However, some analysts like JPMorgan and Barclays remain cautious, maintaining Underweight ratings due to competitive pressures and operational concerns.

Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
0 Buy
10 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 47.430
sliders
Low
24
Averages
33.6
High
37
Current: 47.430
sliders
Low
24
Averages
33.6
High
37
Stephens
Stephens
Equal Weight
to
Overweight
upgrade
$43 -> $66
AI Analysis
2026-06-18
New
Reason
Stephens
Stephens
Price Target
$43 -> $66
AI Analysis
2026-06-18
New
upgrade
Equal Weight
to
Overweight
Reason
Stephens upgraded CarMax to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $66, up from $43. The firm, which is adjusting estimates after yesterday's fiscal Q1 report, sees the stock set up as "quite favorable/bullish." While the firm fully believes CarMax believes it can be the number one used car retailer in America, Stephens argues "they do not need to be for its shares to work nicely," CarMax "just needs to be the best version of itself right now." The Q1 results highlighted "just how low the low-hanging fruit is," the analyst added.
Stephens
Equal Weight
to
Overweight
upgrade
$43 -> $66
2026-06-18
New
Reason
Stephens
Price Target
$43 -> $66
2026-06-18
New
upgrade
Equal Weight
to
Overweight
Reason
Stephens upgraded CarMax to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $66, up from $43.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for KMX
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