KMX Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, KMX remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q4 project quarter revenue of 5.62B and an EPS of 0.18.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Downward by -1.89%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -18.23%. For the upcoming Q4 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -4.55% . These revisions correlate with a 4.77% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in KMX long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
-1.89%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
-18.23%
In Past 3 Month
Unlock the reason behind revisions!
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2026
Revise Downward
-4.55%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
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+4.77%
In Past 3 Month
Earnings Forecast
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EPS
Currency: USD
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how KMX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, KMX sees a +4.65% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.13% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.65%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in NOV/2025, the stock changed -2.21% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 2.49% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of KMX's latest earnings report for FY2026Q3?
KMX reported its FY2026Q3 earnings on 2025-12-18, showcasing a revenue of 5.79B against an estimate of 5.63B, resulting in a 2.87% surprise. The EPS was 0.51, surpassing the expected 0.32 by 59.38% . The stock experienced a -4.21% price change on the earnings day and a -6.38% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did KMX's stock price react after the FY2026Q3 earnings release?
Following KMX's FY2026Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-12-18, the stock price moved by -4.21% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -6.38% change. Historically, KMX's stock price tends to shift by an average of +4.65% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -3.13% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for KMX for 2026/Q4?
For 2026/Q4, analysts estimate KMX’s annual revenue to reach 5.62B, while the EPS is projected at 0.18. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.89% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -4.55% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does KMX's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between KMX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Downward by -1.89%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -4.55% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from KMX's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, KMX's stock price typically moves by +4.65% in the 10 days before its earnings and -3.13% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.18 and revenue of 5.62B.
What is the sentiment in Carmax Inc (KMX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call summary reveals strong financial performance expectations, optimistic guidance, and strategic initiatives, particularly in cost reductions and marketing. The Q&A section supports this sentiment, highlighting management's focus on competitive pricing, digital transformation, and strategic adjustments to drive sales. Despite some vague responses, the overall tone is positive, especially with the emphasis on SG&A reductions and market strategy improvements. The positive sentiment is further reinforced by optimistic guidance and strategic focus on growth opportunities, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.