These Vanguard ETFs Rebounded After Trump's First Days Back in the White House. Should Investors Beware the Bounce?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 27 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Bond Market Reactions: Following Donald Trump's second inauguration, Vanguard bond ETFs initially declined due to concerns about inflation from proposed tariffs but rebounded shortly after his inauguration when no new tariffs were imposed.
Investment Recommendations: Investors are advised to be cautious with long-term bond funds and consider alternatives like the Vanguard Financials ETF, which may benefit from potential deregulation and tax cuts during Trump's presidency.
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Analyst Views on BAC
Wall Street analysts forecast BAC stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 52.200
Low
55.00
Averages
61.64
High
71.00
Current: 52.200
Low
55.00
Averages
61.64
High
71.00
About BAC
Bank of America Corporation is a bank holding company and a financial holding company. Its segments include Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management (GWIM), Global Banking and Global Markets. Consumer Banking segment offers a range of credit, banking and investment products and services to consumers and small businesses. The GWIM includes two businesses: Merrill Wealth Management, which provides tailored solutions to meet clients' needs through a full set of investment management, brokerage, banking and retirement products and Bank of America Private Bank, which provides comprehensive wealth management solutions. Global Banking segment provides a range of lending-related products and services, integrated working capital management and treasury solutions, and underwriting and advisory services. Global Markets segment offers sales and trading services and research services to institutional clients across fixed-income, credit, currency, commodity, and equity businesses.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Bank of America Projects 15% Increase in Q2 Trading Revenue
- Trading Revenue Outlook: Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan stated that trading revenue is expected to rise by 15% in Q2 compared to last year, primarily due to market volatility from increased U.S. tariffs, although caution is advised regarding year-over-year comparisons due to last year's unique conditions.
- Investment Banking Health: Moynihan emphasized that the investment banking sector is in “pretty good shape,” indicating stable market demand and the bank's competitive position in this area, which could lay the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Wealth Management Revenue Forecast: The wealth management division is projected to see revenue growth in the low teens year-over-year, reflecting ongoing demand for asset management and investment advisory services, highlighting clients' focus on wealth enhancement.
- Market Environment Impact: Despite the high base effect from last year's “liberation quarter,” the volatility in the market and shifts in client demand will significantly influence Bank of America's overall performance, prompting strategic adjustments by the company.
See More
Boston Marathon Fundraising Sets Record at $57.3 Million
- Record Fundraising Total: The 2026 Boston Marathon raised a record $57.3 million through the Bank of America Official Charity Program, representing a 13.7% increase from last year's $50.4 million, which not only sets a new single-year fundraising record but also provides direct support to 193 nonprofit organizations, highlighting the spirit of community and giving.
- Number of Participating Organizations: The event involved 193 organizations, demonstrating that since its inception in 1989, the Official Charity Program has raised over $675 million, further solidifying Bank of America's leadership in supporting social causes.
- BAA Team Contributions: The Boston Athletic Association (B.A.A.) team raised nearly $450,000 during the event to support its mission of promoting a healthy lifestyle through sports, particularly running, showcasing the positive impact of athletic activities on community engagement.
- Sustainability Initiatives: The B.A.A. Climate Crew raised $87,000 in its second year to support ongoing sustainability initiatives, indicating the organization's commitment to addressing environmental challenges while promoting community development.
See More
Buffett Era Ends, Attention Turns to Abel's New Strategies
- New CEO Strategy Shift: With Buffett's over sixty-year reign at Berkshire Hathaway ending, the focus is on new CEO Greg Abel's strategies, particularly as the company exited 16 investment positions, indicating a preference for traditional banks.
- Portfolio Restructuring: Berkshire's decision to exit multiple large investments, including Visa and Mastercard, while retaining an 8% stake in Bank of America signals confidence and importance placed on traditional banking.
- Significant Valuation Gap: Bank of America trades at a P/E ratio of 11.6, compared to Visa and Mastercard's 25.1 and 25.4, respectively, highlighting Berkshire's value judgment on traditional banks, which may attract long-term investors.
- Long-term Investment Advice: Despite Berkshire's sale of Visa and Mastercard, its commitment to Bank of America suggests a focus on stable income and reasonable valuations, recommending long-term investors to consider opportunities in Bank of America.
See More
Berkshire Hathaway Adjusts Portfolio Post-Buffett Era
- Portfolio Restructuring: Following Warren Buffett's departure, Berkshire Hathaway has completely divested its stakes in Visa and Mastercard, indicating a preference for traditional banks, particularly Bank of America, which constitutes 8% of its portfolio.
- Significant Valuation Gap: With Visa and Mastercard's projected P/E ratios at 25.1 and 25.4 respectively, compared to Bank of America's 11.6, Berkshire's choice highlights its strategy of favoring reasonably valued traditional banks over high-valuation fintech companies.
- Long-term Stability: Berkshire's decision to retain Bank of America despite selling high-valuation fintech stocks underscores its recognition of the long-term stability and above-average income (with a current dividend yield of approximately 2.1%) that traditional banks offer.
- Investor Strategy Insights: For long-term investors seeking value, Bank of America presents a solid option, while those interested in fintech expansion should consider Visa or Mastercard, illustrating the diversity of investment goals.
See More
U.S. Stocks Face Risk of Summer Pullback
- Market Pullback Warning: Bank of America strategists indicate that the S&P 500 has reached its annual target of 7,430, suggesting limited room for further gains, prompting investors to prepare for a summer pullback to protect existing profits.
- Deteriorating Risk-Reward: The strategists noted in a client report that the risk-reward profile is deteriorating, with multiple technical indicators showing that the upward momentum is becoming stretched, leading investors to shift from chasing gains to protecting them.
- Weakening Market Breadth: Despite a sharp rebound in U.S. stocks during the recent Middle East conflict, the weakening market breadth and diverging momentum signals suggest that the next upward leg could be more challenging, necessitating caution among investors.
- Optimistic Long-Term Outlook: Despite the near-term pullback risk, Bank of America still forecasts that the market will rebound to 8,000 by the end of 2026, aligning with the second year of the U.S. presidential cycle, reflecting confidence in future market recovery.
See More
Wall Street Rises with Strong Tech Stock Performance
- Strong Market Rally: Futures indicate an up day for Wall Street as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs, driven by AI-related stocks like Micron, which surged 19% and surpassed a $1 trillion market cap, reflecting robust demand for AI chips.
- Micron's Continued Ascent: Micron's stock rose another 7% in premarket trading, achieving a remarkable increase from $500 billion to $1 trillion in just 48 days, the fastest on record, highlighting the ongoing shortage and insatiable demand for memory chips, suggesting significant future growth potential.
- SK Hynix Joins the $1 Trillion Club: South Korean memory giant SK Hynix also crossed the $1 trillion market cap threshold in today's trading, underscoring the strong growth in the global memory market and the increasing demand driven by the AI era.
- Upgrades for FedEx and Danaher: JPMorgan upgraded FedEx from hold to buy with a price target raised to $460, citing attractive risk/reward ahead of its freight unit separation; meanwhile, Citi reinstated Danaher with a buy rating and a $230 price target, reflecting optimism in the bioprocessing sector.
See More
Bank of America Projects 15% Increase in Q2 Trading Revenue
- Trading Revenue Outlook: Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan stated that trading revenue is expected to rise by 15% in Q2 compared to last year, primarily due to market volatility from increased U.S. tariffs, although caution is advised regarding year-over-year comparisons due to last year's unique conditions.
- Investment Banking Health: Moynihan emphasized that the investment banking sector is in “pretty good shape,” indicating stable market demand and the bank's competitive position in this area, which could lay the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Wealth Management Revenue Forecast: The wealth management division is projected to see revenue growth in the low teens year-over-year, reflecting ongoing demand for asset management and investment advisory services, highlighting clients' focus on wealth enhancement.
- Market Environment Impact: Despite the high base effect from last year's “liberation quarter,” the volatility in the market and shifts in client demand will significantly influence Bank of America's overall performance, prompting strategic adjustments by the company.
See More
Boston Marathon Fundraising Sets Record at $57.3 Million
- Record Fundraising Total: The 2026 Boston Marathon raised a record $57.3 million through the Bank of America Official Charity Program, representing a 13.7% increase from last year's $50.4 million, which not only sets a new single-year fundraising record but also provides direct support to 193 nonprofit organizations, highlighting the spirit of community and giving.
- Number of Participating Organizations: The event involved 193 organizations, demonstrating that since its inception in 1989, the Official Charity Program has raised over $675 million, further solidifying Bank of America's leadership in supporting social causes.
- BAA Team Contributions: The Boston Athletic Association (B.A.A.) team raised nearly $450,000 during the event to support its mission of promoting a healthy lifestyle through sports, particularly running, showcasing the positive impact of athletic activities on community engagement.
- Sustainability Initiatives: The B.A.A. Climate Crew raised $87,000 in its second year to support ongoing sustainability initiatives, indicating the organization's commitment to addressing environmental challenges while promoting community development.
See More
Buffett Era Ends, Attention Turns to Abel's New Strategies
- New CEO Strategy Shift: With Buffett's over sixty-year reign at Berkshire Hathaway ending, the focus is on new CEO Greg Abel's strategies, particularly as the company exited 16 investment positions, indicating a preference for traditional banks.
- Portfolio Restructuring: Berkshire's decision to exit multiple large investments, including Visa and Mastercard, while retaining an 8% stake in Bank of America signals confidence and importance placed on traditional banking.
- Significant Valuation Gap: Bank of America trades at a P/E ratio of 11.6, compared to Visa and Mastercard's 25.1 and 25.4, respectively, highlighting Berkshire's value judgment on traditional banks, which may attract long-term investors.
- Long-term Investment Advice: Despite Berkshire's sale of Visa and Mastercard, its commitment to Bank of America suggests a focus on stable income and reasonable valuations, recommending long-term investors to consider opportunities in Bank of America.
See More
Berkshire Hathaway Adjusts Portfolio Post-Buffett Era
- Portfolio Restructuring: Following Warren Buffett's departure, Berkshire Hathaway has completely divested its stakes in Visa and Mastercard, indicating a preference for traditional banks, particularly Bank of America, which constitutes 8% of its portfolio.
- Significant Valuation Gap: With Visa and Mastercard's projected P/E ratios at 25.1 and 25.4 respectively, compared to Bank of America's 11.6, Berkshire's choice highlights its strategy of favoring reasonably valued traditional banks over high-valuation fintech companies.
- Long-term Stability: Berkshire's decision to retain Bank of America despite selling high-valuation fintech stocks underscores its recognition of the long-term stability and above-average income (with a current dividend yield of approximately 2.1%) that traditional banks offer.
- Investor Strategy Insights: For long-term investors seeking value, Bank of America presents a solid option, while those interested in fintech expansion should consider Visa or Mastercard, illustrating the diversity of investment goals.
See More
U.S. Stocks Face Risk of Summer Pullback
- Market Pullback Warning: Bank of America strategists indicate that the S&P 500 has reached its annual target of 7,430, suggesting limited room for further gains, prompting investors to prepare for a summer pullback to protect existing profits.
- Deteriorating Risk-Reward: The strategists noted in a client report that the risk-reward profile is deteriorating, with multiple technical indicators showing that the upward momentum is becoming stretched, leading investors to shift from chasing gains to protecting them.
- Weakening Market Breadth: Despite a sharp rebound in U.S. stocks during the recent Middle East conflict, the weakening market breadth and diverging momentum signals suggest that the next upward leg could be more challenging, necessitating caution among investors.
- Optimistic Long-Term Outlook: Despite the near-term pullback risk, Bank of America still forecasts that the market will rebound to 8,000 by the end of 2026, aligning with the second year of the U.S. presidential cycle, reflecting confidence in future market recovery.
See More
Wall Street Rises with Strong Tech Stock Performance
- Strong Market Rally: Futures indicate an up day for Wall Street as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs, driven by AI-related stocks like Micron, which surged 19% and surpassed a $1 trillion market cap, reflecting robust demand for AI chips.
- Micron's Continued Ascent: Micron's stock rose another 7% in premarket trading, achieving a remarkable increase from $500 billion to $1 trillion in just 48 days, the fastest on record, highlighting the ongoing shortage and insatiable demand for memory chips, suggesting significant future growth potential.
- SK Hynix Joins the $1 Trillion Club: South Korean memory giant SK Hynix also crossed the $1 trillion market cap threshold in today's trading, underscoring the strong growth in the global memory market and the increasing demand driven by the AI era.
- Upgrades for FedEx and Danaher: JPMorgan upgraded FedEx from hold to buy with a price target raised to $460, citing attractive risk/reward ahead of its freight unit separation; meanwhile, Citi reinstated Danaher with a buy rating and a $230 price target, reflecting optimism in the bioprocessing sector.
See More
