Surge in Defense Spending Benefits Kraken and Lockheed Martin
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 08 2026
0mins
Should l Buy LMT?
Source: Fool
- Surge in Defense Spending: The ongoing conflict in Iran has highlighted the importance of missile defense systems, leading to a projected significant increase in defense spending over the next decade, particularly with the U.S. Golden Dome project budgeted at $185 billion, benefiting defense contractors.
- Kraken Robotics Advantage: As the lead supplier of subsea batteries to Anduril, Kraken Robotics reported a 60% revenue growth year-over-year, reaching $31 million, and is expected to further expand its market share through collaborations with over ten customers across five countries.
- Lockheed Martin Stability: One of the largest defense contractors globally, Lockheed Martin's backlog reached a record $194 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting its strong position in aerospace and missile defense, which is expected to provide stable cash flow for shareholders.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Both Kraken and Lockheed Martin are well-positioned for growth in the defense sector, with Kraken enhancing its product line through the acquisition of Covelya Group, while Lockheed commits to increasing production capacity for missile defense products, laying a solid foundation for future expansion.
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Analyst Views on LMT
Wall Street analysts forecast LMT stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 611.580
Low
430.00
Averages
535.50
High
605.00
Current: 611.580
Low
430.00
Averages
535.50
High
605.00
About LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation is a global aerospace and defense company. The Company is engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products and services. Its segments include Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS) and Space. Aeronautics segment is engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, sustainment, support and upgrade of advanced military aircraft. MFC segment provides air and missile defense systems, manned and unmanned ground vehicles, energy management solutions, and others. RMS segment designs, manufactures, services and supports various military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, and others. Its Space segment is engaged in the research and design, development, engineering and production of satellites, space transportation systems, and strategic, advanced strike, and defensive systems.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Contract Value: Lockheed Martin Space has secured an $850.41 million contract modification for the TRIDENT II (D5) Life Extension 2 program, showcasing the company's robust position in the defense sector.
- Project Completion Timeline: The work is expected to be completed by September 30, 2030, providing ample time for high-quality R&D to meet the long-term strategic needs of the U.S. Navy.
- Clear Funding Source: The $850.41 million will be obligated from FY2026 U.S. Navy weapons procurement funds, with no risk of fund expiration in the current fiscal year, ensuring financial stability for the company.
- Strategic Systems Programs: The contract is managed by the Strategic Systems Programs, indicating Lockheed Martin's ongoing leadership in critical defense projects and potentially paving the way for future contract opportunities.
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- Market Surge: Global equities have surged, with the S&P 500 rising 0.80% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 1.59%, both reaching record highs amid optimism surrounding the first direct talks between Israel and Lebanon in over 30 years, indicating strong investor confidence in market prospects.
- Japan's Performance: The Nikkei 225 index hit a new high, driven by a broader rally in Asian markets, particularly in technology and consumer cyclical stocks, reflecting investor confidence in the region's economic recovery.
- China's Economic Growth: China's GDP grew by 5% in the first quarter, exceeding economists' forecast of 4.8%, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics, showcasing the resilience of the Chinese economy despite potential global demand shocks from the Iran conflict.
- World Bank Caution: The World Bank president cautioned in an interview that economic disruptions related to conflicts could last for months, even if the current fragile ceasefire holds, posing a potential threat to global economic recovery.
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- Budget Overview: President Trump's $1.5 trillion budget request for 2027, which includes a $1.15 trillion base request and $350 billion in reconciliation, marks a significant increase from the $1 billion enacted for 2026 and nearly $900 billion in 2025, indicating strong support for the defense sector.
- Contract Outlook: This budget request is expected to boost order backlogs for defense contractors like Lockheed Martin, particularly with the landmark seven-year framework agreement for PAC-3 MSE interceptors, which is likely to provide stable revenue streams and long-term investment opportunities.
- Margin Challenges: Despite the increase in defense spending, Lockheed Martin has faced challenges in improving profit margins over the past decade, primarily due to complex and costly fixed-price development programs that have resulted in multibillion-dollar losses for many defense companies.
- Strategic Transformation Impact: The Department of Defense's new Acquisition Transformation Strategy (ATS) aims to encourage investment through longer contracts, but it also means companies must be accountable for contract performance, prompting investors to closely monitor Lockheed Martin's margin performance.
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- Order Growth Outlook: Lockheed Martin's backlog continues to soar, driven by the Department of Defense's new strategic approach, which is expected to enhance the company's revenue growth prospects, particularly with the $1.5 trillion budget request for 2027 providing robust support.
- Long-Term Contract Benefits: The landmark seven-year framework agreement with the Department of Defense, especially for PAC-3 MSE interceptors, encourages Lockheed Martin to invest more, thereby ensuring stable revenue and enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Margin Challenges: Despite the increase in defense spending, Lockheed Martin faces challenges in improving profit margins, primarily due to complex fixed-price development programs that have led to multibillion-dollar losses, potentially impacting its long-term financial performance.
- Strategic Double-Edged Sword: While the increase in defense budgets and the new Acquisition Transformation Strategy (ATS) present opportunities for the company, they also impose greater accountability on contract performance, necessitating investors to closely monitor changes in profit margins.
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- Market Recovery: The S&P 500 has erased all declines since the onset of the Iran war and is nearing an all-time high, reflecting investor optimism about potential progress in US-Iran negotiations, which could drive further stock market gains.
- Economic Blockade Impact: The full implementation of the US blockade on Iranian ports has cut off international sea trade that powers about 90% of Iran's economy, potentially leading to further economic deterioration in Iran while also creating ripple effects in the global energy market.
- International Relations Strain: The US's maximum pressure campaign not only affects Iran but also strains relationships with China and India, particularly as nearly all Iranian oil exports are directed to China, complicating regional dynamics.
- Corporate Developments: European chip manufacturing giant ASML has exceeded first-quarter revenue expectations with sales topping 8.8 billion euros, indicating that the tech sector continues to show robust growth amid global economic uncertainties, likely attracting more investor interest.
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- Stock Market Surge: The S&P 500 index has rallied for nine out of the last ten trading sessions, nearing its all-time high, driven by investor optimism regarding U.S.-Iran negotiations, indicating strong confidence in future economic recovery.
- Strait of Hormuz Blockade: President Trump announced a new blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, impacting about 20% of global oil supply, with over 10,000 U.S. military personnel and several warships enforcing it, further complicating the uncertain situation in the Middle East.
- Aviation Industry Crisis: Experts warn that if the blockade persists, Europe's airline industry could face a
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