Rigetti Computing Stock Volatility Analysis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 24 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Stock Price Plunge: Rigetti Computing's stock fell sharply by 9.2% by 2:55 p.m. ET on Wednesday, reflecting the high volatility in the quantum computing market, despite earlier gains from government support.
- Options Trading Surge: According to StreetInsider.com, the call options purchased on Tuesday outnumbered puts by 10.4 to 1, indicating strong bullish sentiment among investors, but this may have led to excessive speculation in the short term.
- Government Support Outlook: President Trump's signed order aims to build a powerful quantum computer by 2029, presenting potential market opportunities for Rigetti; however, analysts warn that profitability may not be achieved until 2031, adding uncertainty to investments.
- Market Volatility Risks: The absence of negative news driving the stock's decline suggests that day traders opted to cash out due to a lack of further positive developments, highlighting the high-risk nature of quantum computing stocks that investors should approach with caution.
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Analyst Views on RGTI
Wall Street analysts forecast RGTI stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 16.550
Low
30.00
Averages
39.75
High
51.00
Current: 16.550
Low
30.00
Averages
39.75
High
51.00
About RGTI
Rigetti Computing, Inc. is a full-stack quantum computing company. The Company operates quantum computers over the cloud and serves global enterprise, government, and research clients through its Rigetti Quantum Cloud Services platform. The Company’s quantum-classical infrastructure provides high-performance integration with public and private clouds for practical quantum computing. It has developed a multi-chip quantum processor for scalable quantum computing systems. Through the Company’s Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) platform, its machines can be integrated into any public, private or hybrid cloud. It is also engaged in the sale of quantum processing units (QPUs) and custom computing components, and development contracts and other services. Its QPUs contain fabricated silicon-based chips featuring superconducting qubits. The Company designs and manufactures its chips in-house at Fab-1, an integrated quantum device manufacturing facility.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Cash Flow and Dilution Risks: As the race to 2028 unfolds, the sustainability of cash flow and the risk of equity dilution will be critical factors determining which companies survive, thereby impacting potential investor returns.
- Investment Recommendations: While IBM was not included in the current list of top investment stocks, the other 10 stocks recommended by the analyst team could yield substantial returns in the coming years, reflecting a cautious market sentiment towards the quantum computing sector.
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See More
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- Government Stake Proposal: OpenAI proposed granting a 5% stake to the Trump administration, yet Kalshi traders estimate less than a 30% chance of this deal occurring, indicating market skepticism regarding government involvement.
- Quantum Computing Investment Opportunities: Kalshi traders see over a 60% likelihood of government stakes in quantum computing firms like Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum, highlighting the administration's focus on emerging technologies.
- Drone Company Collaborations: The Trump administration may establish equity deals with drone companies such as Performance Drone Works and Neros Technologies, with over a 50% chance for Performance and less than 40% for Neros, reflecting varying levels of market interest.
- Fiscal Support Initiatives: The U.S. Commerce Department plans to award $2 billion in grants to nine firms in the quantum computing sector, underscoring the government's proactive investment strategy in technological innovation.
See More
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- Cognizant Partnership Expansion: Cognizant Technology Solutions saw its stock rise over 6% after announcing an expansion of its partnership with Google Cloud, aimed at accelerating enterprise adoption of Gemini AI, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving AI market.
- USA Rare Earth Inquiry Intensifies: USA Rare Earth shares dropped more than 7% following a Wall Street Journal report that Democratic lawmakers are expanding their inquiry into the government's $1.6 billion investment, seeking information on potential conflicts of interest involving Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, which could impact the company's reputation and future financing capabilities.
- Adobe Stock Surge: Despite Bank of America downgrading Adobe to underperform, the stock rose over 5%, indicating market confidence in its long-term growth potential, although analysts warned that generative AI could increase competitive pressures on the company.
- Rivian's Significant Decline: Rivian's stock plummeted 14% after announcing a sale of 75 million new shares for a major capital raise, even though its revenue and delivery guidance exceeded market expectations, raising investor concerns about future growth prospects.
See More
Quantum Computing Gains Government Funding Support
- Government Funding Injection: In May 2026, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced approximately $2 billion in funding for the quantum industry under the CHIPS and Science Act, with direct equity investments for several companies, significantly boosting quantum stock performance and indicating strong governmental support for the sector.
- Diverse Quantum Computing Architectures: Companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum are pursuing different technological paths in quantum computing, with IonQ focusing on trapped-ion systems and Rigetti developing modular superconducting chips, highlighting the market's demand for diverse technologies amid future uncertainties.
- Urgency of Encryption Security: With the NSA's CNSA 2.0 framework establishing a timeline for adopting quantum-safe algorithms, enterprises and governments must rapidly replace existing encryption technologies before quantum computers become powerful enough to break current systems, emphasizing the critical need for timely action.
- Market Risks and Opportunities: Despite government backing, the quantum sector remains in the NISQ era, lacking mature commercial applications, prompting investors to approach with caution and consider quantum investments as small, diversified long-term positions rather than expecting immediate returns.
See More
Congress Members Disclose SpaceX Stock Purchases Post-IPO
- Congressional Trading Disclosure: Representatives Dan Meuser and Gil Cisneros disclosed stock purchases in SpaceX following its IPO, with Meuser's dependent child buying between $15,001 and $50,000 on June 15, and Cisneros purchasing between $1,001 and $15,000 on June 18, indicating confidence in the company's future prospects.
- IPO Market Response: SpaceX went public on June 12 with a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, marking the largest IPO in history, opening at $150 and quickly pushing its valuation past $2 trillion, reflecting strong market demand for Musk's ventures and artificial intelligence initiatives.
- Political Sensitivity: The trades are politically sensitive due to the members' committee assignments, with Meuser serving on the Financial Services Committee overseeing securities and exchanges, while Cisneros is on the Armed Services Committee, which oversees the Defense Department, a major SpaceX customer.
- Future Trading Expectations: More disclosures from Congress members are anticipated in the coming weeks, with ethics watchdogs suggesting this may only be the tip of the iceberg, as many lawmakers are likely to have engaged in trading related to SpaceX's IPO, highlighting ongoing interest in tech company listings.
See More
Intense Competition Among Quantum Computing Firms
- Changing Competitive Landscape: Companies like IonQ, IBM, D-Wave, Rigetti, and Quantum Computing Inc. are vying for market attention in quantum computing, indicating an intensifying competition that could influence investor decisions.
- Dual Challenge of Technology and Funding: While technological advancements are crucial, the outcome of the race to 2028 may increasingly depend on cash runway and dilution risks, making financial management a key factor for survival.
- Market Dynamics Analysis: Market prices as of June 24, 2026, reveal fluctuations in quantum computing stocks, reflecting varying investor expectations about future technological developments, which may lead to a reassessment of these companies' valuations.
- Investor Focus: With technology still maturing, investors need to pay close attention to the financial health of these companies to determine which ones can survive and achieve profitability in the future competition.
See More
Intense Competition Among Quantum Computing Firms
- Competitive Landscape: Companies like IonQ, IBM, D-Wave, Rigetti, and Quantum Computing Inc. are vying for attention in the quantum computing sector, indicating an intensifying competition that could influence investor decisions and market dynamics.
- Cash Flow and Dilution Risks: As the race to 2028 unfolds, the sustainability of cash flow and the risk of equity dilution will be critical factors determining which companies survive, thereby impacting potential investor returns.
- Investment Recommendations: While IBM was not included in the current list of top investment stocks, the other 10 stocks recommended by the analyst team could yield substantial returns in the coming years, reflecting a cautious market sentiment towards the quantum computing sector.
- Market Performance Comparison: With Stock Advisor's total average return at 902%, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 209%, it highlights the higher risks and uncertainties that quantum computing companies may face when selecting investments.
See More
