RBC Capital Markets Initiates Semiconductor Coverage, Bullish on Nvidia and Others
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 15 2026
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Should l Buy AMD?
Source: stocktwits
- Coverage Initiation: RBC Capital Markets has initiated coverage on the semiconductor sector, assigning a ‘Sector Perform’ rating to most legacy chipmakers like Intel and AMD, citing a lack of near-term catalysts that could impact their stock performance.
- Bullish Forecasts: The brokerage rates Nvidia and Micron as ‘Outperform’, expecting Nvidia to benefit from gradually slowing hyperscaler capital expenditures, while Micron may gain strong profits due to a memory chip shortage.
- Stock Price Targets: RBC has set optimistic price targets for Arm, Astera Labs, and Marvell at $140, $225, and $105 respectively, anticipating these companies will benefit from data center growth and collaborations with Amazon.
- Dim Outlook for Legacy Chipmakers: While RBC expresses caution regarding the prospects of legacy chipmakers like Intel and AMD due to a lack of catalysts, it remains optimistic about the growth potential of emerging companies, reflecting market preference for innovative technologies.
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Analyst Views on AMD
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to rise
33 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 201.990
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
Current: 201.990
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is a global semiconductor company. The Company is focused on high-performance computing and artificial intelligence (AI). Its segments include Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Data Center segment includes AI accelerators, microprocessors (CPUs) for servers, graphics processing units (GPUs), accelerated processing units (APUs), data processing units (DPUs), Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), and Adaptive system-on-Chip (SoC) products for data centers. Client and Gaming segment includes CPUs, APUs, chipsets for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs, and semi-custom SoC products and development services. Embedded segment includes embedded CPUs, APUs, FPGAs, system on modules (SOMs), and Adaptive SoC products. It markets and sells its products under the AMD trademark. Its products include AMD EPYC, AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Virtex UltraScale+, among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Share Dominance: TSMC currently holds a 71% share of the global chip market and produces over 90% of advanced semiconductors, positioning itself to benefit significantly from the surging demand for AI chips, thereby reinforcing its market leadership.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4, TSMC reported revenue of $33.7 billion, a 26% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share rising 35% to $3.14, and gross margin improving to 62.3%, showcasing the company's exceptional ability to scale production and leverage its assets effectively.
- Future Growth Outlook: Management anticipates Q1 revenue of $35.2 billion, up 38%, and operating income of $19.36 billion, up 56%, indicating that the company is set to maintain robust growth momentum in the coming quarters.
- Expansive Market Potential: The semiconductor market is projected to reach nearly $1.6 trillion by 2030, and as an industry leader, TSMC is expected to continue benefiting from this long-term growth trend due to its cutting-edge process technology and strong customer base.
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- Divergent Market Performance: On Monday, the S&P 500 index fell by 0.39%, while the Nasdaq 100 hit a 7.75-month low, indicating market concerns over the Middle East situation, particularly exacerbated by a sell-off in chip stocks, which negatively impacted investor confidence.
- Declining Bond Yields: The 10-year T-note yield dropped by 8 basis points to 4.34%, reflecting market fears that the ongoing war in the Middle East could lead to fuel shortages, potentially suppressing expectations for Fed rate hikes and highlighting economic growth uncertainties.
- Rising Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices surged over 3% to a three-week high due to Iranian attacks on the Strait of Hormuz, indicating severe threats to global energy supply chains, which could lead to soaring prices in the future and impact the global economy.
- Weak Manufacturing Activity: The Dallas Fed manufacturing activity survey fell to -0.2, below the expected 2.0, reflecting signs of economic slowdown that could influence corporate investment decisions and future economic growth.
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- Market Leadership: TSMC currently has a market capitalization of $1.6 trillion and commands a 71% share of the global chip market, positioning itself to benefit significantly from the rapid growth in artificial intelligence and data centers, thereby solidifying its leadership in the semiconductor industry.
- Strong Financial Performance: In the fourth quarter, TSMC reported revenue of $33.7 billion, a 26% year-over-year increase, with earnings per American Depository share rising 35% to $3.14, and gross margin improving to 62.3%, indicating sustained profitability as the company scales its production.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management forecasts first-quarter revenue of $35.2 billion, up 38%, and operating income of $19.36 billion, up 56%, suggesting that the company will continue to maintain robust growth momentum in the coming quarters.
- Broad Industry Prospects: The semiconductor market is projected to reach nearly $1.6 trillion by 2030, and with TSMC's advanced process technology and strong customer base, it is expected to capture a significant share of this growth, further driving its market capitalization towards the $3 trillion target.
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- Stock Decline: AMD's stock has fallen 8% this year, with a market cap around $320 billion, reflecting a cooling investor enthusiasm despite a stellar 77% rise in 2025, raising concerns over its high valuation.
- Growth Potential: Although AMD's growth rate exceeds 30%, it needs to enhance its performance to attract growth investors, with several catalysts expected in the latter half of the year, particularly the launch of the Helios AI rack.
- New Product Launch: CEO Lisa Su anticipates that the new MI450 chip will start generating revenue in Q3, and if it performs well, it could encourage investors to load up on AMD stock, driving the price higher.
- Earnings Outlook: AMD's revenue grew by 34% last year, up from 14% the previous year, and if it can maintain this growth and improve margins, its current 30x P/E ratio could become more attractive, although its margin performance remains to be seen.
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- Revenue Growth Outlook: CEO Lisa Su indicates that revenue from the MI450 chip is expected to ramp up starting in Q3, and an acceleration in growth could positively impact AMD's stock price, even though it currently trades at a premium.
- Market Performance Review: AMD's stock has declined by 8% this year, contrasting sharply with a 77% surge in 2025, as investor excitement has cooled despite a growth rate exceeding 30% annually.
- AI Chip Opportunities: The company plans to launch its Helios AI rack in the latter half of 2026, which is expected to drive revenue from new chips, and successfully capturing market share from Nvidia could trigger a sustained rally in stock prices.
- Valuation and Growth Relationship: With a forward P/E ratio of 30, AMD's valuation appears high; however, if growth rates and margins improve, it could enhance attractiveness, leading to potential upgrades in analyst expectations.
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- Significant Stock Drop: Micron Technology's shares fell 10% on Monday, marking a 30% decline since its strong earnings report on March 18, indicating market concerns about its future performance.
- Surge in AI Demand: Despite a robust second-quarter earnings report driven by high demand for AI chips, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra noted that key customers are receiving only “half to two-thirds” of their requirements, highlighting ongoing supply chain constraints.
- Industry-Wide Impact: The stock declines across tech companies, including Micron, were exacerbated by rising oil prices amid the ongoing Iran conflict, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Annual Performance Review: While Micron's stock is up 270% year-over-year, most of those gains have been eroded in 2026, with only a 2% increase year-to-date, suggesting cautious market sentiment regarding its future growth.
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