NuScale Power Faces Critical Growth Opportunities Ahead
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 51 minutes ago
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Should l Buy SMR?
Source: Fool
- Slow Nuclear Project Progress: NuScale Power is the only company in the U.S. to have received approval for a small modular reactor (SMR) design, yet despite 74 SMR projects under development globally, its first nuclear plant may not be operational until 2030, which could hinder its competitive edge in the market.
- Collaboration with TVA: NuScale is working on a 6-gigawatt utility-scale project with the Tennessee Valley Authority, set to begin construction by late 2028 and complete by 2032; if successful, this could significantly enhance the company's market position, but the market remains cautious about its ability to deliver on time.
- Worrisome Financials: In 2025, NuScale reported a net loss of $664 million, the largest in its history, forcing the company to sell large blocks of stock to fill financing gaps, resulting in a roughly 1500% increase in share count since going public, which dilutes existing shareholders' equity.
- Uncertain Future: The future trajectory of NuScale's stock will depend on its ability to successfully build reactors and secure funding without further diluting shareholders, with current market sentiment adopting a wait-and-see approach regarding its growth potential.
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Analyst Views on SMR
Wall Street analysts forecast SMR stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 12.580
Low
18.50
Averages
32.77
High
60.00
Current: 12.580
Low
18.50
Averages
32.77
High
60.00
About SMR
NuScale Power Corporation is a provider of proprietary advanced small modular reactor (SMR) nuclear technology. The NuScale Power Module, the Company's SMR technology, is a small pressurized water reactor that can generate approximately 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe) or 250 megawatts thermal (gross) and can be scaled to meet customer needs through an array of flexible configurations of up to 924 MWe (12 modules) of output. In addition to the sale of NPMs, it offers a diversified suite of services throughout the development and operating life of the power plant. The Company's suite of services is planned to include licensing support, testing, training, fuel supply services and program management, among others. It serves a range of customers consisting of domestic and international governments, utilities, state-owned enterprises and technology and industrial companies in need of carbon-free, reliable energy.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Opportunity: NuScale Power is pursuing a $10 trillion market opportunity, yet its slow project progress means the first operational plant may not be completed until 2030 at the earliest, which could impact its competitive position.
- Regulatory Advantage: As the first company to receive approval for a small modular reactor (SMR) design in the U.S., NuScale holds a competitive edge, but the lack of operational plants leaves the market in a wait-and-see mode regarding its future performance.
- Financial Challenges: In 2025, NuScale reported a net loss of $664 million, the largest in its history, forcing the company to sell large blocks of stock to fill financing gaps, significantly diluting shareholder equity.
- Project Progress: Although the 6-gigawatt project for the Tennessee Valley Authority is the largest SMR project in the U.S. and is set to begin construction by late 2028, NuScale has faced cancellations of large orders in the past, raising doubts about its ability to deliver on time.
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- Slow Nuclear Project Progress: NuScale Power is the only company in the U.S. to have received approval for a small modular reactor (SMR) design, yet despite 74 SMR projects under development globally, its first nuclear plant may not be operational until 2030, which could hinder its competitive edge in the market.
- Collaboration with TVA: NuScale is working on a 6-gigawatt utility-scale project with the Tennessee Valley Authority, set to begin construction by late 2028 and complete by 2032; if successful, this could significantly enhance the company's market position, but the market remains cautious about its ability to deliver on time.
- Worrisome Financials: In 2025, NuScale reported a net loss of $664 million, the largest in its history, forcing the company to sell large blocks of stock to fill financing gaps, resulting in a roughly 1500% increase in share count since going public, which dilutes existing shareholders' equity.
- Uncertain Future: The future trajectory of NuScale's stock will depend on its ability to successfully build reactors and secure funding without further diluting shareholders, with current market sentiment adopting a wait-and-see approach regarding its growth potential.
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- Market Performance Decline: NuScale Power's stock has plummeted from $57 last October to $12 today, reducing its market cap from approximately $17 billion to $4 billion, indicating market concerns over its future profitability.
- Revenue Growth Requirement: To support a $40 billion market cap, NuScale must increase its 2025 revenue from $31.5 million to $1.7 billion, a daunting 54-fold increase, especially given the lack of actual sales.
- Slow Project Progress: While NuScale is advancing its partnership with ENTRA1 Energy to deploy 6GW of small modular reactors in Tennessee, it has yet to deploy a single reactor, adding to investor uncertainty.
- Profitability Comparison: Compared to Constellation Energy's $115 billion and GE Vernova's $290 billion market valuations, NuScale's lack of profitability and ongoing cash burn make its future market performance even more uncertain.
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- Significant Stock Decline: NuScale Power's stock has plummeted 75% from its October high of $57 to approximately $12, resulting in a market cap of $4 billion, raising concerns about its future profitability despite still being considered expensive by conventional standards.
- Revenue Growth Challenge: With projected revenue of only $31.5 million in 2025, NuScale would need to increase its annual revenue to $1.7 billion to support a $120 stock price, representing a daunting 54-fold increase that poses substantial commercial hurdles.
- Positive Project Developments: The company is nearing the launch of its first project in Romania and plans to deploy up to 6 gigawatts of its small modular reactor technology in partnership with ENTRA1 Energy for the Tennessee Valley Authority, indicating potential market opportunities for its technology.
- Market Valuation Comparison: Unlike profitable competitors such as Constellation Energy and GE Vernova, NuScale has yet to achieve profitability or complete any SMR sales, creating significant uncertainty regarding its future market valuation and investor confidence.
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- Electricity Demand Surge: Between 2000 and 2020, electricity demand increased by 9%, with projections indicating a 50% rise from 2020 to 2040, highlighting a renaissance in nuclear energy as a reliable, carbon-free source, thus creating investment opportunities in the sector.
- Supplier Investment Options: Brookfield Renewable Partners, with its globally diversified clean energy portfolio, including a 50% stake in Westinghouse, offers a 4.7% dividend yield, making it an attractive option for conservative investors looking to enter the nuclear space.
- Plant Operator Insights: Southern Company's recently constructed Vogtle nuclear plants, despite delays and budget overruns, are now connected to the grid and expected to provide decades of reliable clean energy, complemented by a 3.1% dividend yield appealing to conservative investors.
- New Technology Risk Investments: NuScale Power and Oklo are developing small modular nuclear reactors, and while neither has a commercial plant operational yet, they represent high-risk, high-reward opportunities for aggressive investors willing to bet on cutting-edge technology in the nuclear sector.
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- Growing Electricity Demand: Between 2000 and 2020, electricity demand increased by 9%, with projections indicating a potential 50% rise by 2040, driving a renaissance in nuclear energy as a reliable, carbon-free power source with significant market potential.
- Diverse Investment Options: Investors can choose from various nuclear-related companies with differing risk profiles, such as Brookfield Renewable Partners, which boasts a globally diversified clean energy portfolio, and Cameco, which focuses on uranium mining and has seen its stock surge 150% over the past year.
- Southern Company Case Study: The Southern Company, the latest U.S. utility to construct a nuclear power plant, faced budget overruns and delays with its Vogtle project, but now that it is connected to the grid, it is expected to provide decades of reliable clean energy, appealing to conservative investors with its 3.1% dividend yield.
- High-Risk Investments: Companies like NuScale Power and Oklo are developing small modular nuclear reactors, and while they have yet to operate commercially, their innovative technologies could drive industry advancements, making them suitable for aggressive investors willing to take on high risks.
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