Riskified surpasses revenue and earnings expectations; revises FY25 forecast
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 12 2025
0mins
Should l Buy RSKD?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Q3 Financial Performance: Riskified reported a Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.04, beating expectations by $0.01, with revenue of $81.86 million, a 3.8% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates by $1.61 million.
Profit Margins and Cash Flow: The company achieved a Non-GAAP gross profit margin of 51%, up from 50% the previous year, with operating cash inflow of $13.5 million and free cash inflow of $13.4 million for the quarter.
Updated Financial Outlook: For the year ending December 31, 2025, Riskified expects revenue between $338 million and $346 million, slightly adjusted from previous estimates, with an adjusted EBITDA forecast of $21 million to $27 million.
Market Context: The press release indicates a cautious optimism regarding growth acceleration, suggesting limited downside potential for Riskified's stock.
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Analyst Views on RSKD
Wall Street analysts forecast RSKD stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.460
Low
5.00
Averages
5.95
High
8.00
Current: 4.460
Low
5.00
Averages
5.95
High
8.00
About RSKD
Riskified Ltd an Israel-based company engaged software publishing industry. The Company provides eCommerce risk management platform Riskfield which offers to it's customer security solutions. The Platform uses machine learning, which generates savings while ensuring transaction security. The platform of the Company analyzes hundreds of data points per transaction to deliver real-time decisions, enabling merchants to approve more legitimate orders while mitigating fraud and policy abuse. By identifying the individuals behind online interactions, its technology enables merchants to provide frictionless customer experiences, no matter how quickly business is growing. The Company uses a network of historical transaction data to support its model -over one billion historical transactions and 400 million unique consumer profiles-to continuously adapt to evolving fraud patterns.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Riskified Reports 2025 Financials Exceeding Expectations
- Profitability Milestone: Riskified's 2025 financial report reveals an EPS of $0.12, surpassing the expected $0.10, marking the company's first-ever GAAP profitability in Q4 with quarterly revenues of approximately $100 million, indicating strong financial performance.
- Retention Rate Improvement: The annual dollar retention rate reached 100%, while net dollar retention climbed to 105%, demonstrating significant progress in customer satisfaction and business expansion, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- New Business Growth: Since its IPO, Riskified has recorded a record volume of new business partnerships, including collaborations with major brands like Nintendo, Temu, and Ace Hardware, leveraging its decade-old AI ecosystem to navigate the complexities of the fraud landscape.
- Future Outlook: The company issued a revenue guidance of $372 million to $384 million for 2026, representing an 8% to 11% growth rate, and expects to generate approximately $40 million in free cash flow, showcasing ongoing growth potential and financial health.
See More
Riskified Partners with Radial to Enhance Fraud Protection
- Strategic Partnership: Riskified has partnered with Radial to integrate its AI-powered platform for payment fraud, refund claims, and return abuse protection, aiming to help merchants increase legitimate order approvals and reduce payment fraud losses, particularly for those using Shopify.
- Global Network Support: With over 20 ecommerce fulfillment centers across North America, Radial supports many recognized retail brands, and by incorporating Riskified's decision-making system, merchants can adjust the checkout experience according to risk without delaying fulfillment, facilitating brand expansion into new markets.
- Real-Time Decisioning: Riskified empowers Radial's customers with accurate, real-time fraud decisions at checkout, approving or declining transactions while assuming full financial liability for fraud chargebacks, achieved through advanced machine learning and a vast global merchant network.
- Policy Protection and Dispute Resolution: The partnership also enables Radial to leverage Riskified's Policy Protect solution to uncover true identities and purchase histories behind orders and claims, allowing for effective fraud prevention policies, while the Dispute Resolve platform streamlines chargeback management, enhancing revenue recovery efficiency.
See More
Riskified Partners with Radial to Enhance Fraud Protection
- Strategic Partnership: Riskified has partnered with Radial to integrate its AI-powered platform for payment fraud, refund claims, and return abuse protection into Radial's global merchant network, which is expected to significantly enhance merchants' order approval rates and reduce payment fraud losses.
- Global Network Support: With over 20 ecommerce fulfillment centers across North America, Radial supports many recognized retail brands, and by integrating Riskified's technology, merchants can adjust the checkout experience according to risk without slowing down fulfillment, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- Real-Time Decisioning: Riskified empowers Radial's customers with accurate, real-time fraud decisions, enabling quick approval or decline of transactions at checkout while assuming full financial liability for fraud chargebacks, which will enhance merchants' confidence and lower risks.
- Policy Protection Solution: This partnership also allows Radial to leverage Riskified's Policy Protect solution to uncover true identities and abuse patterns behind orders and claims, helping merchants implement effective policies to prevent fraud and abuse while rewarding loyal customers.
See More
Riskified Files Annual Report for Fiscal Year 2025
- Annual Report Filing: Riskified Ltd. (NYSE:RSKD) has filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to transparency and compliance.
- Report Access: Investors can access the annual report via the company's investor relations website or the SEC's site, and the company offers free hard copies of the report to shareholders, enhancing communication with investors.
- Business Context: As a leader in eCommerce fraud and risk intelligence, Riskified protects numerous well-known brands globally, helping them combat fraud and policy abuse, thereby improving customer retention rates.
- Technological Edge: Riskified's AI-powered platform analyzes the identity behind each interaction to provide real-time decisions and robust identity-based insights, showcasing its technological leadership in the industry.
See More
Riskified Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Profitability Improvement: Riskified reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.12, beating expectations by $0.02, indicating ongoing enhancements in profitability despite facing macroeconomic challenges.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $99.33 million, a 6.2% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $2.12 million, demonstrating its ability to maintain growth in a competitive landscape.
- GMV Performance: The total gross merchandise volume (GMV) for Q4 was $46.6 million, reflecting the company's continued penetration in the e-commerce sector and steady market share growth, even amid overall market uncertainties.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the earnings release, Riskified's shares rose by 1.5%, indicating increased investor confidence in the company's future profitability and market strategies, which may attract more investor interest.
See More
Riskified Scheduled to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 4
- Earnings Announcement: Riskified is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 4 before the market opens, with investors keenly awaiting its performance amid current macroeconomic pressures.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.10, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 66.7%, indicating significant improvements in the company's profitability.
- Revenue Projections: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $97.21 million, representing a 3.9% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's stability in revenue growth despite market challenges.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Riskified has exceeded EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, highlighting its reliability in performance forecasting and bolstering market confidence.
See More
Riskified Reports 2025 Financials Exceeding Expectations
- Profitability Milestone: Riskified's 2025 financial report reveals an EPS of $0.12, surpassing the expected $0.10, marking the company's first-ever GAAP profitability in Q4 with quarterly revenues of approximately $100 million, indicating strong financial performance.
- Retention Rate Improvement: The annual dollar retention rate reached 100%, while net dollar retention climbed to 105%, demonstrating significant progress in customer satisfaction and business expansion, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- New Business Growth: Since its IPO, Riskified has recorded a record volume of new business partnerships, including collaborations with major brands like Nintendo, Temu, and Ace Hardware, leveraging its decade-old AI ecosystem to navigate the complexities of the fraud landscape.
- Future Outlook: The company issued a revenue guidance of $372 million to $384 million for 2026, representing an 8% to 11% growth rate, and expects to generate approximately $40 million in free cash flow, showcasing ongoing growth potential and financial health.
See More
Riskified Partners with Radial to Enhance Fraud Protection
- Strategic Partnership: Riskified has partnered with Radial to integrate its AI-powered platform for payment fraud, refund claims, and return abuse protection, aiming to help merchants increase legitimate order approvals and reduce payment fraud losses, particularly for those using Shopify.
- Global Network Support: With over 20 ecommerce fulfillment centers across North America, Radial supports many recognized retail brands, and by incorporating Riskified's decision-making system, merchants can adjust the checkout experience according to risk without delaying fulfillment, facilitating brand expansion into new markets.
- Real-Time Decisioning: Riskified empowers Radial's customers with accurate, real-time fraud decisions at checkout, approving or declining transactions while assuming full financial liability for fraud chargebacks, achieved through advanced machine learning and a vast global merchant network.
- Policy Protection and Dispute Resolution: The partnership also enables Radial to leverage Riskified's Policy Protect solution to uncover true identities and purchase histories behind orders and claims, allowing for effective fraud prevention policies, while the Dispute Resolve platform streamlines chargeback management, enhancing revenue recovery efficiency.
See More
Riskified Partners with Radial to Enhance Fraud Protection
- Strategic Partnership: Riskified has partnered with Radial to integrate its AI-powered platform for payment fraud, refund claims, and return abuse protection into Radial's global merchant network, which is expected to significantly enhance merchants' order approval rates and reduce payment fraud losses.
- Global Network Support: With over 20 ecommerce fulfillment centers across North America, Radial supports many recognized retail brands, and by integrating Riskified's technology, merchants can adjust the checkout experience according to risk without slowing down fulfillment, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- Real-Time Decisioning: Riskified empowers Radial's customers with accurate, real-time fraud decisions, enabling quick approval or decline of transactions at checkout while assuming full financial liability for fraud chargebacks, which will enhance merchants' confidence and lower risks.
- Policy Protection Solution: This partnership also allows Radial to leverage Riskified's Policy Protect solution to uncover true identities and abuse patterns behind orders and claims, helping merchants implement effective policies to prevent fraud and abuse while rewarding loyal customers.
See More
Riskified Files Annual Report for Fiscal Year 2025
- Annual Report Filing: Riskified Ltd. (NYSE:RSKD) has filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to transparency and compliance.
- Report Access: Investors can access the annual report via the company's investor relations website or the SEC's site, and the company offers free hard copies of the report to shareholders, enhancing communication with investors.
- Business Context: As a leader in eCommerce fraud and risk intelligence, Riskified protects numerous well-known brands globally, helping them combat fraud and policy abuse, thereby improving customer retention rates.
- Technological Edge: Riskified's AI-powered platform analyzes the identity behind each interaction to provide real-time decisions and robust identity-based insights, showcasing its technological leadership in the industry.
See More
Riskified Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Profitability Improvement: Riskified reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.12, beating expectations by $0.02, indicating ongoing enhancements in profitability despite facing macroeconomic challenges.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $99.33 million, a 6.2% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $2.12 million, demonstrating its ability to maintain growth in a competitive landscape.
- GMV Performance: The total gross merchandise volume (GMV) for Q4 was $46.6 million, reflecting the company's continued penetration in the e-commerce sector and steady market share growth, even amid overall market uncertainties.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the earnings release, Riskified's shares rose by 1.5%, indicating increased investor confidence in the company's future profitability and market strategies, which may attract more investor interest.
See More
Riskified Scheduled to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 4
- Earnings Announcement: Riskified is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 4 before the market opens, with investors keenly awaiting its performance amid current macroeconomic pressures.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.10, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 66.7%, indicating significant improvements in the company's profitability.
- Revenue Projections: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $97.21 million, representing a 3.9% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's stability in revenue growth despite market challenges.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Riskified has exceeded EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, highlighting its reliability in performance forecasting and bolstering market confidence.
See More
