Should You Buy Riskified Ltd (RSKD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
RSKD is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The stock is deeply oversold (RSI~18), which can produce a short bounce, but the prevailing trend is still clearly bearish (MACD weakening, bearish moving-average stack). Without a near-term catalyst and with weakening profitability, the risk of further downside or choppy price action outweighs the upside for an immediate entry. A higher-quality buy setup would require at least reclaiming the ~$4.48 pivot and holding above it.
Technical Analysis
Trend remains bearish. Moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating persistent downside momentum. MACD histogram is negative (-0.0403) and expanding lower, which supports continued weakness. RSI_6 at 18.3 signals extreme oversold conditions—this increases the odds of a reflex bounce, but oversold alone is not a trend reversal signal. Key levels: near-term support is S2 ~$4.17 then ~$4.00 psychological; immediate resistance is the pivot ~$4.48, then R1 ~$4.67. A sustained move back above ~$4.48 would be the first technical improvement; until then, rallies are more likely to fade.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Street trend turned less negative: JPMorgan upgraded to Neutral from Underweight with a $6 PT (citing accelerating Q3 volume/revenue/gross profit growth, upsell success, and cost discipline), and UBS kept Neutral while raising PT to $5.50. Wall Street pros: improving execution narrative, margin expansion potential, and upside to targets from ~$4.28. Cons: both firms remain Neutral (not Buy), reflecting limited conviction and the need for sustained profitable growth.
Trading/positioning checks: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no notable recent trend. No recent congress trading data is available, and there are no reported politician/influential-figure transactions in the provided data.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Wall Street analysts forecast RSKD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RSKD is 5.95 USD with a low forecast of 5 USD and a high forecast of 8 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast RSKD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RSKD is 5.95 USD with a low forecast of 5 USD and a high forecast of 8 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 4.340
Current: 4.340
