RSKD Valuation

Riskified Ltd

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4.730

+0.15(3.275%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

RSKD Relative Valuation

RSKD's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, RSKD is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Riskified Ltd (RSKD) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.98 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 57.28. The fair price of Riskified Ltd (RSKD) is between 1.36 to 15.73 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

1.36-15.73

Current Price：4.73

Fair

21.63

Trailing

Forward

12.07

EV/EBITDA

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) has a current EV/EBITDA of 12.07. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 1.44. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -78.86, Undervalued between -78.86 and -38.71, Fairly Valued between 41.59 and -38.71, Overvalued between 41.59 and 81.74, and Strongly Overvalued above 81.74. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 12.07 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-15.36

EV/EBIT

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) has a current EV/EBIT of -15.36. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -74.38. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -648.31, Undervalued between -648.31 and -361.35, Fairly Valued between 212.58 and -361.35, Overvalued between 212.58 and 499.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 499.54. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -15.36 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.98

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) has a current PS of 1.98. The 5-year average PS is 3.88. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.64, Undervalued between -3.64 and 0.12, Fairly Valued between 7.64 and 0.12, Overvalued between 7.64 and 11.40, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.40. The current Forward PS of 1.98 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

19.62

P/OCF

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) has a current P/OCF of 19.62. The 5-year average P/OCF is -11.10. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -189.69, Undervalued between -189.69 and -100.39, Fairly Valued between 78.20 and -100.39, Overvalued between 78.20 and 167.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 167.49. The current Forward P/OCF of 19.62 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

25.90

P/FCF

Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) has a current P/FCF of 25.90. The 5-year average P/FCF is -38.75. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -495.82, Undervalued between -495.82 and -267.29, Fairly Valued between 189.79 and -267.29, Overvalued between 189.79 and 418.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 418.33. The current Forward P/FCF of 25.90 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Riskified Ltd (RSKD) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.12. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.88 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 12.85% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.77, the current P/B ratio is about 19.89% higher. Riskified Ltd (RSKD) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.76%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 0.41%, the current FCF yield is approximately 1060.93% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -0.63% , the current FCF yield is about -859.70% lower.

2.12

P/B

Median3y

1.88

Median5y

1.77

4.76

FCF Yield

Median3y

0.41

Median5y

-0.63

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for RSKD's competitors is 2.05, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Riskified Ltd Corp (RSKD) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.98, which is -3.51% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 2.96%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Blacksky Technology Inc

4.77

-10.98%

679.50M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of RSKD decreased by 3.17% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -12.08 to -14.35.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 2.96%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of RSKD in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

2.96%

78.73M → 81.06M

Revenue Growth

18.79%

-12.08 → -14.35

Margin Expansion

-24.92%

-25.36 → -19.04

P/E Change

-3.17%