"Reddit Stock Surges Over 260% in the Last Year: Is It Still a Good Time to Invest?"
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 02 2025
0mins
Should l Buy RDDT?
Source: Fool
Reddit's Growth and Valuation: Reddit has experienced significant growth, with its stock rising over 260% in the past year, leading to a market cap of $45 billion. The company reported a 78% increase in revenue and a 21% rise in daily active users in its latest quarter.
Investment Risks: Despite its strong performance, Reddit's high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of over 100 raises concerns about potential overvaluation and market corrections. Analysts suggest a downside risk of 17% from current trading levels, indicating caution for short-term investors.
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Analyst Views on RDDT
Wall Street analysts forecast RDDT stock price to rise
22 Analyst Rating
14 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 131.070
Low
207.00
Averages
260.00
High
325.00
Current: 131.070
Low
207.00
Averages
260.00
High
325.00
About RDDT
Reddit, Inc. operates a social platform, Reddit. Reddit is a community of communities. It is built on shared interests, passion, and trust and is home to open and authentic conversations on the Internet. Reddit is a global, digital city where anyone in the world can join a community to learn from one another, engage in authentic conversations, explore passions, research new hobbies, exchange goods and services, create new communities and experiences, share a few laughs, and find belonging. Reddit has thousands of communities, endless conversations, and authentic human connections. Communities on Reddit are organized based on specific interests and are called subreddits. Reddit offers real-time access to evolving and dynamic topics, such as sports, movies, news, fashion, and the latest trends. On Reddit, users can submit, vote, and comment on the topics they care about. It has approximately 100,000+ active communities and approximately 101+ million daily active visitors.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong User Growth: Reddit's Q4 2025 results indicate solid growth in users, advertising revenue, and EBITDA, with Goldman Sachs cutting its price target from $236 to $206 while maintaining a Neutral rating, reflecting cautious optimism about its future performance.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: The company reported Q4 revenue of $726 million, a 70% increase year-over-year, with diluted earnings per share at $1.24, beating estimates by 28 cents, showcasing its robust profitability in the social media sector.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Reddit forecasts Q1 2026 revenue between $595 million and $605 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of $577.2 million, indicating that its AI-enhanced advertising platform is attracting more marketers, further driving revenue growth.
- Investment Potential Analysis: Despite the price target cut, the revised target still represents an 81% upside from the current closing price of $131.07, indicating a positive market sentiment towards Reddit's mid-term investment potential, especially in light of long-term trends in digital advertising and artificial intelligence.
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- Director's Share Purchase: Reddit director Sarah Farrell purchased 50,500 shares for $7.48M between February 10 and 11, with prices ranging from $139.27 to $149.79, reflecting confidence in the company's future and driving a 6% share price increase.
- Increased Holdings: Following this transaction, Farrell's total holdings rose to 58,399 shares, indicating her commitment to the company's long-term growth, which may enhance market trust in Reddit.
- CFO's Share Divestment: In the same week, Reddit CFO Christopher Slowe divested 11,464 shares for $1.72M under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, raising concerns about insider trading despite the regulatory safeguards in place.
- Market Reaction: The contrast between Farrell's purchase and Slowe's sale has led to a positive market response, potentially increasing investor interest and confidence in Reddit in the short term.
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- Price Target Reduction: Evercore ISI has cut Pinterest's price target from $40 to $25 and downgraded its rating from 'Outperform' to 'In Line', indicating a clear deterioration in the company's fundamentals as revenue growth continues to slow.
- Revenue Growth Deceleration: Pinterest's revenue growth rate fell from 17% in Q2 to 16% in Q3, and further down to 13% in Q4, highlighting the severe challenges the company faces in an increasingly competitive market.
- Market Reaction: Following the Q4 revenue miss against Wall Street expectations, Pinterest's stock dropped over 21% in pre-market trading on Friday, and has declined nearly 33% over the past month, reflecting a significant loss of investor confidence.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: Analysts noted rising competitive intensity from AI-driven rivals like Google and Meta, compounded by the impact of tariffs from the Trump administration on major retailers' advertising budgets, which has further exacerbated Pinterest's market challenges.
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- Insider Buying: Director Sarah Farrell purchased 50,500 shares at around $148 over two days, boosting her ownership by over 600%, indicating strong confidence in the company's future and potentially influencing market perception of RDDT.
- Market Bounce: RDDT recently closed near $131 and bounced more than 4% in premarket trading, suggesting that the market's reaction to the stock's decline may have been overdone, reflecting an improvement in investor sentiment.
- Technical Analysis: RDDT is currently trading well below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a clear downtrend; however, the relative strength index (RSI) is near 26, firmly in oversold territory, which often signals the beginning of reflex rallies.
- Psychological Shift: Following a brutal 46% drawdown, the insider buying behavior may change market psychology, suggesting that smart money sees value where the market perceives risk, although a breakout above the $142 resistance level is needed to confirm a rebound in the short term.
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- Disappointing Earnings Report: Pinterest reported Q4 revenue of $1.32 billion and adjusted profit of $0.56 per share, both falling short of analysts' expectations of $1.33 billion and $0.67, indicating ongoing pressure in advertising revenue amidst competition from Meta and Snapchat.
- Gloomy Q1 Outlook: The company forecasts Q1 revenue between $951 million and $971 million, below the average analyst estimate of $980.6 million, reflecting market concerns about its future growth potential, which may further erode investor confidence.
- Stock Price Volatility: Following the earnings report, Pinterest shares plummeted over 18% in after-hours trading, and have already declined about 28% since the beginning of the year, indicating significant market unease regarding its financial health, reminiscent of the nearly 22% drop after its Q3 report last year.
- Layoffs and Restructuring Plans: Pinterest announced it would lay off under 15% of its workforce and reduce office space to redirect resources towards artificial intelligence, aiming to enhance competitiveness through transformation initiatives, although the effectiveness of this strategy remains to be seen.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Reddit achieved a 70% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $726 million, surpassing analysts' expectations of $665 million, with ad revenue soaring 75% to $690 million, indicating a strong enhancement in advertising effectiveness and solidifying its position in the competitive social media landscape.
- Strong User Growth: Daily active users rose by 19% to 121.4 million, while weekly active users increased by 24% to 471.6 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of 120 million daily active users, demonstrating Reddit's success in attracting new users and further driving ad revenue growth.
- Improved Profitability: Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled from $154 million last year to $327 million, while earnings per share surged from $0.36 to $1.24, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.94, showcasing a remarkable improvement in the company's profitability.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Reddit projects Q1 revenue between $595 million and $605 million, representing a 52% to 54% growth, and announced a $1 billion stock buyback program, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth and commitment to shareholder returns.
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