Mondelez Reports Strong Q3 Results: Is the Revised Guidance a Cause for Concern?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 27 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CHEF?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Mondelez International's Q3 Performance: Mondelez reported better-than-expected revenues and earnings for Q3 2025 but lowered its organic net revenue growth forecast from 5% to 4% due to specific headwinds like U.S. retailer inventory reductions and challenges in Europe.
Cautious Outlook: The company anticipates a steeper decline in adjusted EPS of 15% on a constant-currency basis, influenced by tariff uncertainties and soft demand in Europe, while emphasizing that these issues are temporary and not indicative of long-term trends.
Stock Performance: Mondelez shares have decreased by 6.6% over the past three months, underperforming both the industry and broader Consumer Staples sector, with a current P/E ratio of 18.18, which is above the industry average.
Other Companies' Performance: United Natural Foods, Lamb Weston, and The Chefs' Warehouse are highlighted as strong performers with positive growth estimates and Zacks rankings, indicating a favorable outlook in their respective markets.
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Analyst Views on CHEF
Wall Street analysts forecast CHEF stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 58.870
Low
66.00
Averages
76.71
High
85.00
Current: 58.870
Low
66.00
Averages
76.71
High
85.00
About CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a distributor of specialty food products in the United States, the Middle East, and Canada. The Company offers stock-keeping units (SKUs), ranging from specialty foods and ingredients to basic ingredients and staples, produce and center-of-the-plate proteins. Its product categories include center-of-the-plate, dry goods, pastry, cheeses and charcuterie, produce, dairy and eggs, oils and vinegars and kitchen supplies. It operates through the foodservice distribution segment, which is concentrated primarily in the United States. The Company’s customer base consists primarily of menu-driven independent restaurants, fine dining establishments, country clubs, hotels, caterers, culinary schools, bakeries, patisseries, chocolateries, cruise lines, casinos and specialty food stores. Its center-of-the-plate products include custom cut beef, seafood and hormone-free poultry, as well as produce and food products, such as cooking oils, butter, eggs, milk, and flour.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Chefs' Warehouse Executive Stock Transaction Overview
- Executive Stock Sale: Tim McCauley, Chief Accounting Officer of Chefs' Warehouse, sold 551 shares of common stock on March 4, 2026, for approximately $34,450, indicating proactive management amid market volatility.
- Tax Withholding Context: The transaction involved withholding shares to cover taxes on previously restricted common stock units that vested, reflecting the company's transparency in compliance and tax management.
- Market Performance Volatility: As of March 21, 2026, Chefs' Warehouse's stock price has fallen 16.50% in March alone, highlighting the high volatility of its shares, which necessitates cautious risk assessment by investors.
- Financial Health Status: Despite stock price fluctuations, the latest earnings report shows the company generated $4.15 billion in revenue and $72.36 million in net income, indicating robust performance in the premium food distribution market.
See More
Chef's Warehouse CFO Executes Stock Sales Amid Volatility
- Executive Stock Sales: Tim McCauley, Chief Accounting Officer of Chef's Warehouse, sold 551 shares of common stock for approximately $34,450 on March 4, 2026, indicating active insider trading within the company.
- Large Share Sale: Prior to this, McCauley sold 7,500 shares at an average price of $70 each on February 18, 2026, totaling around $525,000, with this transaction being part of a 10b5-1 plan, reflecting expectations for future stock performance.
- Market Volatility: Despite Chef's Warehouse holding a niche in the luxury food market, its stock exhibits significant volatility, currently having a beta of 1.28, indicating higher risk compared to the S&P 500, which necessitates caution from investors.
- Financial Performance Outlook: The latest Q4 FY 2024 earnings report shows strong financials for Chef's Warehouse, particularly following the acquisition of Italco Food Products in October 2025, suggesting a promising operational outlook ahead.
See More
The Chefs' Warehouse Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Significant Sales Growth: The Chefs' Warehouse reported net sales of $1.143 billion for Q4 2025, reflecting a 10.5% increase from $1.034 billion in Q4 2024, demonstrating strong demand and continued market share growth in the upscale dining sector.
- Profit Improvement: Gross profit for Q4 reached $276.6 million, up 10.2% from $251 million in the same quarter last year, although gross margin slightly decreased to 24.2%, indicating robust overall profitability despite margin pressures.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management projects net sales for 2026 to range between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, reflecting confidence in market demand, with an expected year-over-year growth rate of 6% to 8%, showcasing ongoing business expansion potential.
- Strategic Investments and Acquisitions: The company acquired Italco Specialty Foods in Colorado and plans to invest in new markets and facility consolidation, enhancing its competitive position and financial flexibility.
See More
Chefs' Warehouse Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Chefs' Warehouse reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 68 cents, surpassing the analyst estimate of 63 cents, indicating strong profitability in a competitive market.
- Significant Sales Growth: Quarterly sales reached $1.143 billion, up 10.5% year-over-year, not only exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.098 billion but also reflecting robust demand in the upscale dining sector.
- Operating Income Decline: While adjusted EBITDA increased from $68.2 million to $80.3 million, operating income for the fourth quarter fell to $43.2 million from $46.5 million year-over-year, primarily due to a $10.5 million rise in other operating expenses.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company affirmed its fiscal year 2026 sales guidance of $4.350 billion to $4.450 billion, expecting gross profit to range between $1.053 billion and $1.076 billion, demonstrating management's confidence in future market demand.
See More
The Chefs' Warehouse Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Earnings Performance: The Chefs' Warehouse reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.68, beating expectations by $0.06, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that bolster investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved $1.14 billion in revenue for Q4, a 10.7% year-over-year increase that surpassed market expectations by $40 million, reflecting strong market performance and rising customer demand.
- Organic Sales Increase: Organic sales rose by $99.9 million, or 9.7%, demonstrating robust growth in core business areas, while acquisitions contributed an additional $9.1 million to sales growth.
- Future Financial Guidance: The company projects fiscal 2026 net sales between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, with gross profit expected between $1.053 billion and $1.076 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $276 million and $286 million, indicating a positive outlook for future performance.
See More
The Chefs' Warehouse to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 11
- Earnings Announcement: The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 11 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.62, reflecting a 12.7% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.1 billion, representing a 6.4% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's stable growth in the market despite competitive pressures.
- Historical Performance: Over the last two years, CHEF has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, reinforcing investor confidence through consistent performance.
- Estimate Revisions: In the past three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have had one upward revision with no downward adjustments, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook from analysts regarding the company's future performance.
See More
Chefs' Warehouse Executive Stock Transaction Overview
- Executive Stock Sale: Tim McCauley, Chief Accounting Officer of Chefs' Warehouse, sold 551 shares of common stock on March 4, 2026, for approximately $34,450, indicating proactive management amid market volatility.
- Tax Withholding Context: The transaction involved withholding shares to cover taxes on previously restricted common stock units that vested, reflecting the company's transparency in compliance and tax management.
- Market Performance Volatility: As of March 21, 2026, Chefs' Warehouse's stock price has fallen 16.50% in March alone, highlighting the high volatility of its shares, which necessitates cautious risk assessment by investors.
- Financial Health Status: Despite stock price fluctuations, the latest earnings report shows the company generated $4.15 billion in revenue and $72.36 million in net income, indicating robust performance in the premium food distribution market.
See More
Chef's Warehouse CFO Executes Stock Sales Amid Volatility
- Executive Stock Sales: Tim McCauley, Chief Accounting Officer of Chef's Warehouse, sold 551 shares of common stock for approximately $34,450 on March 4, 2026, indicating active insider trading within the company.
- Large Share Sale: Prior to this, McCauley sold 7,500 shares at an average price of $70 each on February 18, 2026, totaling around $525,000, with this transaction being part of a 10b5-1 plan, reflecting expectations for future stock performance.
- Market Volatility: Despite Chef's Warehouse holding a niche in the luxury food market, its stock exhibits significant volatility, currently having a beta of 1.28, indicating higher risk compared to the S&P 500, which necessitates caution from investors.
- Financial Performance Outlook: The latest Q4 FY 2024 earnings report shows strong financials for Chef's Warehouse, particularly following the acquisition of Italco Food Products in October 2025, suggesting a promising operational outlook ahead.
See More
The Chefs' Warehouse Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Significant Sales Growth: The Chefs' Warehouse reported net sales of $1.143 billion for Q4 2025, reflecting a 10.5% increase from $1.034 billion in Q4 2024, demonstrating strong demand and continued market share growth in the upscale dining sector.
- Profit Improvement: Gross profit for Q4 reached $276.6 million, up 10.2% from $251 million in the same quarter last year, although gross margin slightly decreased to 24.2%, indicating robust overall profitability despite margin pressures.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management projects net sales for 2026 to range between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, reflecting confidence in market demand, with an expected year-over-year growth rate of 6% to 8%, showcasing ongoing business expansion potential.
- Strategic Investments and Acquisitions: The company acquired Italco Specialty Foods in Colorado and plans to invest in new markets and facility consolidation, enhancing its competitive position and financial flexibility.
See More
Chefs' Warehouse Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Chefs' Warehouse reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 68 cents, surpassing the analyst estimate of 63 cents, indicating strong profitability in a competitive market.
- Significant Sales Growth: Quarterly sales reached $1.143 billion, up 10.5% year-over-year, not only exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.098 billion but also reflecting robust demand in the upscale dining sector.
- Operating Income Decline: While adjusted EBITDA increased from $68.2 million to $80.3 million, operating income for the fourth quarter fell to $43.2 million from $46.5 million year-over-year, primarily due to a $10.5 million rise in other operating expenses.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company affirmed its fiscal year 2026 sales guidance of $4.350 billion to $4.450 billion, expecting gross profit to range between $1.053 billion and $1.076 billion, demonstrating management's confidence in future market demand.
See More
The Chefs' Warehouse Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Earnings Performance: The Chefs' Warehouse reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.68, beating expectations by $0.06, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that bolster investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved $1.14 billion in revenue for Q4, a 10.7% year-over-year increase that surpassed market expectations by $40 million, reflecting strong market performance and rising customer demand.
- Organic Sales Increase: Organic sales rose by $99.9 million, or 9.7%, demonstrating robust growth in core business areas, while acquisitions contributed an additional $9.1 million to sales growth.
- Future Financial Guidance: The company projects fiscal 2026 net sales between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, with gross profit expected between $1.053 billion and $1.076 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $276 million and $286 million, indicating a positive outlook for future performance.
See More
The Chefs' Warehouse to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 11
- Earnings Announcement: The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 11 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.62, reflecting a 12.7% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.1 billion, representing a 6.4% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's stable growth in the market despite competitive pressures.
- Historical Performance: Over the last two years, CHEF has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, reinforcing investor confidence through consistent performance.
- Estimate Revisions: In the past three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have had one upward revision with no downward adjustments, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook from analysts regarding the company's future performance.
See More
