Lake Street Continues to Recommend Buying Evolv Technologies Holdings (EVLV)
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 15 2025
0mins
Should l Buy EVLV?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Analyst Recommendation: Lake Street has maintained a Buy recommendation for Evolv Technologies Holdings (NasdaqCM:EVLV), with an average one-year price target of $9.82/share, indicating a potential upside of 62.81% from its current price of $6.03/share.
Projected Revenue and EPS: Evolv Technologies is projected to achieve annual revenue of $196 million, reflecting a 43.35% increase, while the expected non-GAAP EPS is -0.20.
Institutional Ownership Trends: There has been a notable increase in institutional interest, with 376 funds reporting positions in EVLV, a 13.60% rise from the previous quarter, and total shares owned by institutions increasing by 30.33% to 116,781K shares.
Shareholder Activity: Significant changes in shareholder allocations include Data Collective IV GP reducing its holdings by 93.63%, while Millennium Management increased its stake by 66.06%, and other firms like VTSMX and Driehaus Capital Management also raised their allocations significantly.
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Analyst Views on EVLV
Wall Street analysts forecast EVLV stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 5.200
Low
9.50
Averages
9.83
High
10.00
Current: 5.200
Low
9.50
Averages
9.83
High
10.00
About EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. is a security technology company. The Company is developing artificial intelligence (AI)-based weapons detection to create safer experiences for venues and companies as well as schools, hospitals, and public spaces. Its solutions combine proprietary software and hardware, delivered as a long-term Security-as-a-Service (SaaS) subscription model and are designed to enhance security and improve the visitor experience. The Company offers two core solutions: Evolv Express and Evolv eXpedite, designed to efficiently screen high volumes of people and bags for concealed threats. Its flagship product, Evolv Express, uses advanced sensors, AI-powered software, and cloud services to not only consistently detect firearms, improvised explosives, and certain types of knives and distinguish them from many harmless items, such as cell phones and keys. In addition to screening capabilities, its solution includes Evolv Insights, a software analytics dashboard.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Evolv Technologies Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Significant Revenue Growth: Evolv Technologies reported Q4 2025 revenue of $38.5 million, a 32% year-over-year increase, with full-year revenue reaching $145.9 million, reflecting a 40% growth, indicating strong performance in its hardware subscription business and an expectation for continued acceleration in 2026.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Increase: The company achieved an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $120.5 million, up 21% year-over-year, with projections for 2026 ARR growth of 20% to 25%, which will further enhance financial stability and market competitiveness.
- Customer Base Expansion: In Q4, Evolv welcomed over 60 new customers, bringing the total to over 1,200, with notable expansions in the education and healthcare sectors, indicating an increasing market penetration across multiple industries.
- Strong Cash Flow Position: The company saw a sequential increase of $12.8 million in cash and cash equivalents, totaling $69 million, and achieved positive adjusted EBITDA for five consecutive quarters, demonstrating robust cash generation capabilities and a healthy financial status.
See More
Evolv Technologies Q4 Earnings Highlights
- Revenue Beat: Evolv Technologies reported Q4 revenue of $38.5 million, exceeding market expectations by $2.06 million, indicating strong performance amid recovering market demand and suggesting potential for future growth.
- Profitability Metrics: The company achieved a net income of $10.9 million in Q4, with a net profit margin of 28%, demonstrating significant progress in cost control and profitability enhancement, which boosts investor confidence.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Growth: As of Q4, Evolv's annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $120.5 million, up 21% year-over-year, reflecting ongoing expansion in customer base and market share, signaling a stable revenue stream for the future.
- Improved Cash Position: Evolv's total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities amounted to $69 million, an increase of $12.8 million sequentially, indicating improved financial health and providing stronger support for future investments and operations.
See More
Evolv Technologies Reports Q4 Earnings Miss with Revenue Beat
- Quarterly Financial Performance: Evolv Technologies reported a quarterly loss of three cents per share, missing the consensus estimate of a two-cent loss, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability.
- Revenue Growth: Quarterly revenue reached $38.5 million, exceeding Wall Street's estimate of $36.44 million and representing a 32% increase from $29.1 million in the same period last year, reflecting improved market demand.
- Annual Recurring Revenue: The ending ARR for Q4 stood at $120.5 million, up 21% year-over-year, indicating a sustained enhancement in the company's customer base and revenue stability.
- Cash Flow Position: The company reported a net income of $10.9 million for Q4, with a net profit margin of 28%, while cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $69.0 million, up $12.8 million sequentially, demonstrating effective liquidity management.
See More
Evolv Technologies to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 10
- Earnings Announcement Date: Evolv Technologies is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 10 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at -$0.02 and revenue estimate at $36.44 million, indicating the company's commitment to financial transparency.
- Performance Expectation Analysis: Over the past two years, Evolv has exceeded EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating strong performance in managing market expectations, which could bolster investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, both EPS and revenue estimates for Evolv have seen one upward revision with no downward adjustments, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially impacting stock prices positively.
- Market Attention: As the earnings report approaches, Evolv Technologies' quant rating has garnered significant market attention, with investors closely monitoring its financial performance to assess the company's ongoing growth potential in a competitive landscape.
See More
Evolv Technology Renews Agreement with Bank of America Stadium for Enhanced Security Solutions
- Security Technology Upgrade: Evolv Technology has renewed its multi-year agreement with Bank of America Stadium, upgrading nearly 20 Evolv Express® systems to the latest Gen2 hardware and introducing Evolv eXpedite™, which is expected to significantly enhance security screening efficiency and improve guest entry experiences for the upcoming MLS season.
- Visitor Flow Optimization: The new systems utilize advanced sensors and AI technology to effectively detect potential threats without slowing down the flow of people, thereby reducing congestion at entry points and enhancing the overall event experience, aligning with the demands of the 2026 MLS season.
- Market Expansion: This renewal brings Evolv's customer count to 14 in professional soccer and 13 in professional football in the U.S., further solidifying its leadership position in the sports venue security technology market and demonstrating widespread recognition of its products.
- Strengthened Safety Mission: Since 2019, Evolv has screened over 3 billion people, committed to enhancing safety in public spaces through AI-powered security solutions, showcasing its determination to transform security experiences globally.
See More
FourWorld Capital Increases Stake in Sable Offshore Corp.
- Increased Holdings: FourWorld Capital Management LLC acquired 8,105,608 shares of Sable Offshore Corp. in Q4 2025, valued at $73.11 million, making it the fund's largest holding at 62.89% of AUM.
- Stock Performance: As of February 27, 2026, Sable Offshore shares were priced at $8.25, down 72.92% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 86.44 percentage points, indicating severe competitiveness issues in the market.
- Legal Challenges: Sable Offshore faces major legal hurdles; despite federal approval for the restart of its Las Flores pipeline in California, environmental groups filed lawsuits to halt it, and a recent court ruling against the company could increase stock volatility.
- Investment Risks: While the significant drop in Sable Offshore's stock price makes it a relatively cheap investment, its future success will heavily depend on resolving ongoing legal issues, categorizing it as a high-risk buy at this time.
See More
Evolv Technologies Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Significant Revenue Growth: Evolv Technologies reported Q4 2025 revenue of $38.5 million, a 32% year-over-year increase, with full-year revenue reaching $145.9 million, reflecting a 40% growth, indicating strong performance in its hardware subscription business and an expectation for continued acceleration in 2026.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Increase: The company achieved an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $120.5 million, up 21% year-over-year, with projections for 2026 ARR growth of 20% to 25%, which will further enhance financial stability and market competitiveness.
- Customer Base Expansion: In Q4, Evolv welcomed over 60 new customers, bringing the total to over 1,200, with notable expansions in the education and healthcare sectors, indicating an increasing market penetration across multiple industries.
- Strong Cash Flow Position: The company saw a sequential increase of $12.8 million in cash and cash equivalents, totaling $69 million, and achieved positive adjusted EBITDA for five consecutive quarters, demonstrating robust cash generation capabilities and a healthy financial status.
See More
Evolv Technologies Q4 Earnings Highlights
- Revenue Beat: Evolv Technologies reported Q4 revenue of $38.5 million, exceeding market expectations by $2.06 million, indicating strong performance amid recovering market demand and suggesting potential for future growth.
- Profitability Metrics: The company achieved a net income of $10.9 million in Q4, with a net profit margin of 28%, demonstrating significant progress in cost control and profitability enhancement, which boosts investor confidence.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Growth: As of Q4, Evolv's annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $120.5 million, up 21% year-over-year, reflecting ongoing expansion in customer base and market share, signaling a stable revenue stream for the future.
- Improved Cash Position: Evolv's total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities amounted to $69 million, an increase of $12.8 million sequentially, indicating improved financial health and providing stronger support for future investments and operations.
See More
Evolv Technologies Reports Q4 Earnings Miss with Revenue Beat
- Quarterly Financial Performance: Evolv Technologies reported a quarterly loss of three cents per share, missing the consensus estimate of a two-cent loss, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability.
- Revenue Growth: Quarterly revenue reached $38.5 million, exceeding Wall Street's estimate of $36.44 million and representing a 32% increase from $29.1 million in the same period last year, reflecting improved market demand.
- Annual Recurring Revenue: The ending ARR for Q4 stood at $120.5 million, up 21% year-over-year, indicating a sustained enhancement in the company's customer base and revenue stability.
- Cash Flow Position: The company reported a net income of $10.9 million for Q4, with a net profit margin of 28%, while cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $69.0 million, up $12.8 million sequentially, demonstrating effective liquidity management.
See More
Evolv Technologies to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 10
- Earnings Announcement Date: Evolv Technologies is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 10 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at -$0.02 and revenue estimate at $36.44 million, indicating the company's commitment to financial transparency.
- Performance Expectation Analysis: Over the past two years, Evolv has exceeded EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating strong performance in managing market expectations, which could bolster investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, both EPS and revenue estimates for Evolv have seen one upward revision with no downward adjustments, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially impacting stock prices positively.
- Market Attention: As the earnings report approaches, Evolv Technologies' quant rating has garnered significant market attention, with investors closely monitoring its financial performance to assess the company's ongoing growth potential in a competitive landscape.
See More
Evolv Technology Renews Agreement with Bank of America Stadium for Enhanced Security Solutions
- Security Technology Upgrade: Evolv Technology has renewed its multi-year agreement with Bank of America Stadium, upgrading nearly 20 Evolv Express® systems to the latest Gen2 hardware and introducing Evolv eXpedite™, which is expected to significantly enhance security screening efficiency and improve guest entry experiences for the upcoming MLS season.
- Visitor Flow Optimization: The new systems utilize advanced sensors and AI technology to effectively detect potential threats without slowing down the flow of people, thereby reducing congestion at entry points and enhancing the overall event experience, aligning with the demands of the 2026 MLS season.
- Market Expansion: This renewal brings Evolv's customer count to 14 in professional soccer and 13 in professional football in the U.S., further solidifying its leadership position in the sports venue security technology market and demonstrating widespread recognition of its products.
- Strengthened Safety Mission: Since 2019, Evolv has screened over 3 billion people, committed to enhancing safety in public spaces through AI-powered security solutions, showcasing its determination to transform security experiences globally.
See More
FourWorld Capital Increases Stake in Sable Offshore Corp.
- Increased Holdings: FourWorld Capital Management LLC acquired 8,105,608 shares of Sable Offshore Corp. in Q4 2025, valued at $73.11 million, making it the fund's largest holding at 62.89% of AUM.
- Stock Performance: As of February 27, 2026, Sable Offshore shares were priced at $8.25, down 72.92% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 86.44 percentage points, indicating severe competitiveness issues in the market.
- Legal Challenges: Sable Offshore faces major legal hurdles; despite federal approval for the restart of its Las Flores pipeline in California, environmental groups filed lawsuits to halt it, and a recent court ruling against the company could increase stock volatility.
- Investment Risks: While the significant drop in Sable Offshore's stock price makes it a relatively cheap investment, its future success will heavily depend on resolving ongoing legal issues, categorizing it as a high-risk buy at this time.
See More
