Global Space Economy Booms to $613 Billion by 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 11 2026
0mins
Should l Buy RKLB?
Source: Fool
- Market Growth: According to McKinsey estimates, the global space economy is projected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 11%, indicating significant commercial potential in the space sector that is attracting substantial investor interest.
- Rocket Lab's Market Positioning: Rocket Lab has established itself as the second-largest rocket launch company in the U.S., having completed 85 launches to date, and plans to introduce its new medium-lift rocket Neutron to meet larger payload demands, thereby enhancing profit margins and competitive positioning.
- Planet Labs' AI Integration: Planet Labs is leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance its satellite imagery platform, and through its partnership with Nvidia, it can process and analyze data in real-time, providing rapid insights to customers and solidifying its position in the defense sector.
- Lockheed Martin's Industry Leadership: As a top defense contractor, Lockheed Martin plays a crucial role in the space economy, boasting a backlog of $194 billion and ensuring stable cash flow through long-term government contracts, making it an attractive option for investors.
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Analyst Views on RKLB
Wall Street analysts forecast RKLB stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 84.800
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
Current: 84.800
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
About RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation is an end-to-end space company. The Company designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets, spacecraft and spacecraft components, and related software and services to support the space economy. The Company delivers reliable launch services, satellite manufacture, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions that make it easier to access space. Its Launch Services segment provides launch and launch-related services to customers on a dedicated mission or ride-share basis. Its Space Systems segment comprises the design and manufacture of spacecraft components and spacecraft program management services, space data applications, and mission operations. Its space systems solutions are the building blocks for spacecraft, which include composite structures, reaction wheels, star trackers, solar solutions, radios, separation systems, and command and control spacecraft software.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Stock Surge: Rocket Lab's stock has surged nearly 250% over the past year, climbing from around $21 to over $73, indicating strong market confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Record Revenue Achievement: The company posted a record revenue of $602 million in 2025, up 38% year-over-year, with a backlog soaring 73% to nearly $1.9 billion, showcasing robust business growth potential.
- Strategic Importance of Neutron: The upcoming Neutron rocket will enable Rocket Lab to compete directly with SpaceX's Falcon 9, with an expected launch cost approximately $15 million lower, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape.
- Investment Risks and Opportunities: Despite the high stock price with a P/S ratio of 66 and ongoing losses, the successful rollout of Neutron could enhance profitability, necessitating careful risk-reward assessment by investors.
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- Space Stock Performance: Driven by Artemis II's successful lunar mission and SpaceX's IPO filing, investor enthusiasm for space stocks has surged, with Firefly Aerospace and Planet Labs trading at price-to-sales ratios of 37 and 40, respectively, reflecting strong market confidence in the sector.
- Redwire's Business Growth: Redwire has achieved a remarkable 370% growth over the past five years, focusing on manufacturing space equipment such as solar arrays and satellite systems, and is considered a safer investment than Rocket Lab with a price-to-sales ratio of 5.7.
- Acquisition of Edge Autonomy: Redwire's $925 million acquisition of Edge Autonomy adds long-range drone products to its portfolio, with analysts suggesting this move synergizes satellite communications with drone capabilities, potentially accelerating sales growth, despite some delays in revenue realization.
- Future Outlook: Analysts forecast Redwire's sales will grow by 41% to $472 million in 2026, although the actual revenue post-acquisition was only $335 million, indicating challenges in meeting growth targets; however, its 6x sales valuation positions it as one of the cheapest stocks in the space sector.
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- Space Stock Surge: As SpaceX's IPO approaches, space stock prices are soaring, with Redwire emerging as the cheapest option at a 5.7x sales valuation, indicating relative value attractiveness.
- Market Demand Spike: The successful Artemis II moon mission has significantly boosted investor enthusiasm for the space sector, driving up stock prices for companies like Firefly Aerospace and Planet Labs.
- Acquisition Strategy: Redwire's $925 million acquisition of Edge Autonomy marks its entry into the military drone market, with analysts suggesting this move could synergize satellite communication capabilities with drone operations, potentially accelerating sales growth.
- Sales Forecast: Although Redwire projected sales of $535 million to $605 million in 2025, the actual figure was only $335 million, indicating a lag in achieving growth targets; however, its 6x sales valuation still positions it as relatively cheap in the space sector.
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- AST SpaceMobile's Strong Prospects: Focused on commercializing its satellite-based broadband network, AST SpaceMobile is projected to generate $70.9 million in revenue by 2025, with analysts forecasting $777 million in 2024, indicating robust growth potential despite a current gross margin of -14399.31%.
- Rocket Lab's Growth Momentum: Both Rocket Lab's launch services and space systems divisions have shown healthy growth, with the launch segment increasing nearly 40% last year and the space systems segment over 34%, establishing the company as a leader in space hardware.
- Increased Market Attention: As SpaceX's IPO approaches, heightened market interest in space exploration may create additional investment opportunities for companies like AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab, potentially driving their stock prices higher.
- Long-Term Investment Value: Although Rocket Lab is not yet profitable, its $48 billion market cap and expected mid-double-digit sales growth suggest that as sales scale up, the company is likely to achieve profitability in the future, attracting long-term investor interest.
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- AST SpaceMobile Commercialization: AST SpaceMobile is rapidly commercializing its satellite-based cellular broadband network, with projected revenue of $70.9 million in 2025, indicating strong market demand and growth potential that could lead to exponential increases in the coming years.
- Rocket Lab Diversification: While best known for its launch services, Rocket Lab's space systems segment continues to grow, with the launch segment increasing nearly 40% last year and the space systems segment over 34%, showcasing the company's potential leadership in space hardware.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Analysts forecast AST SpaceMobile to reach $777 million in revenue next year, with EPS nearing $4 by 2029, indicating significant upside in profitability and market share in the future.
- Increased Investor Attention: With the SpaceX IPO approaching, heightened market interest in the space sector could trigger a broad rally in related stocks, further boosting the stock performance of AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Rocket Lab achieved record revenue of $602 million in 2025, marking a 38% year-over-year increase, while its backlog surged 73% to nearly $1.9 billion, indicating strong market demand and future growth potential.
- Successful Launch Record: The company executed 21 missions last year with a 100% success rate, which not only enhanced its market credibility but also laid the groundwork for securing an $816 million contract from the Space Development Agency, further solidifying its position in the aerospace sector.
- New Product Driving Growth: The upcoming Neutron medium-lift rocket will enable Rocket Lab to directly compete with SpaceX's Falcon 9 at a launch price of approximately $15 million less, expected to significantly boost the company's market share and revenue potential.
- Investment Risks to Consider: Despite the promising outlook, the stock is currently trading at about 66 times sales and is still operating at a loss, with a nearly $200 million loss in 2025, prompting investors to carefully assess the implications of Neutron's successful launch on future revenue.
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