Gary Black Says Price War By BYD Threatens Tesla — Dismisses Elon Musk's Comeback As 'Non-Event'
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 27 2025
0mins
Should l Buy LCID?
Source: Benzinga
Tesla's Stock Outlook: Gary Black, Managing Partner of The Future Fund, predicts a challenging week for Tesla shares due to price cuts by Chinese competitor BYD, which may trigger a price war in the EV market. He expresses skepticism about Tesla's delivery trajectory and upcoming low-cost EV plans.
Market Reactions and Analyst Opinions: Despite Elon Musk's return as CEO leading to a stock rally, analysts like Dan Ives remain optimistic about Tesla's future, while others, including Ross Gerber, question the company's robotaxi promises and overall valuation amidst declining stock performance.
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Analyst Views on LCID
Wall Street analysts forecast LCID stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 6.750
Low
10.00
Averages
17.00
High
30.00
Current: 6.750
Low
10.00
Averages
17.00
High
30.00
About LCID
Lucid Group, Inc. is a technology company, which designs, engineers, and manufactures electric vehicles (EVs), EV powertrains, and battery systems in-house using its equipment and factories. It sells vehicles directly to consumers through its retail sales network and through online channels. Its vehicles include Lucid Air and Lucid Gravity. Lucid Air is an advanced sedan, featuring powertrain technology. It offers 420 miles of Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)-estimated range, with an 84-kWh battery pack. The Lucid Air Sapphire is the highest-performance version of the Lucid Air, boasting 1,234 horsepower from three motors, 427 miles of an EPA-estimated range. The Lucid Gravity provides the interior space and practicality of a full-size sport utility vehicle (SUV) within the exterior footprint of a mid-size SUV. It provides space for up to seven adults. It has engineered the Lucid Gravity Grand Touring to deliver up to 450 miles of EPA-estimated range.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Lucid Group's Stock Struggles: Key Insights
- Market Potential and Valuation Gap: Lucid Group's market cap stands at approximately $2.7 billion, while Rivian is valued at nearly $20 billion and Tesla exceeds $1 trillion, indicating significant upside potential for Lucid; however, its stock has plummeted by about two-thirds over the past year, exacerbating this valuation disparity.
- Lack of Profitability: Since going public in 2021, Lucid has never posted a profit or achieved positive gross margins, leading to waning market confidence in its future profitability, particularly as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle sector.
- Delayed New Model Launches: Lucid aims to produce a mid-sized model at its Saudi facility by the end of 2026, with two additional affordable models planned for 2028 and 2030, yet the scarcity of details raises uncertainty that could impact its market performance and investor confidence.
- Capital-Intensive Challenges: The electric vehicle industry demands substantial capital investment with long return cycles; Lucid's investors, including Uber and Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund, have motives beyond mere financial gain, adding further challenges to Lucid's financing and market confidence.
See More
Netflix's Long-Term Growth Potential Remains Significant
- User Engagement Growth: Netflix's management highlighted that, despite holding only about 5% of global TV viewership, its audience is nearing 1 billion, showcasing its strong appeal in a rapidly changing entertainment landscape and significant future growth potential.
- Market Penetration Opportunities: As of the end of 2025, Netflix's penetration in broadband households is less than 45%, indicating ample room for expansion in the global market, which can enhance market share through improved user experience.
- Long-Term Investment Value: The management emphasized Netflix's commitment to being a 'must-have service' for users, which not only aids in increasing retention rates but also solidifies its leadership position in a competitive market, attracting more investor attention.
- Strategic Development Focus: Netflix aims to enhance user engagement and content quality for sustainable growth, planning to tackle industry challenges through innovation and technology investments to ensure its competitive edge in the future.
See More
Amazon Boosts AI Investment, Stock Rises
- Amazon AI Investment Surge: Amazon's shares rose by 3% after announcing a deeper partnership with Anthropic, committing an additional $5 billion investment with plans to scale up to $20 billion over time, solidifying AWS as Anthropic's primary cloud provider and enhancing its competitive edge in the generative AI sector.
- Lucid Stock Gains: Lucid Group's shares increased by 2% following Uber's disclosure of an 11.5% passive stake, which strengthens their strategic ties, as Uber plans to purchase at least 35,000 Lucid vehicles, reinforcing their long-term partnership in autonomous mobility.
- AXT Stock Decline: AXT's shares fell by 8% after announcing a public stock offering, with proceeds aimed at expanding indium phosphide substrate production, raising dilution concerns despite the growth investment narrative, which negatively impacted investor sentiment.
- Alaska Air Outlook Uncertain: Alaska Air Group's shares dropped by 3% despite strong Q1 results, as the company suspended its FY2026 outlook due to fuel price volatility and geopolitical uncertainties, projecting an increase of approximately $600 million in expenses, which poses a significant headwind for EPS.
See More
Uber Files Scheduled 13G Disclosure
- Disclosure Filing: Uber Technologies disclosed a Scheduled 13G filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Sunday, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and compliance, aimed at enhancing investor confidence and maintaining market trust.
- Regulatory Compliance: The 13G filing is a necessary step for the company to adhere to securities law requirements, ensuring that its shareholders and potential investors have access to the latest information on its equity structure, thereby promoting a fair trading environment in the market.
- Market Reaction: While the specific contents of the filing remain undisclosed, such disclosures typically attract market attention, potentially influencing investor perceptions of Uber's stock and subsequently affecting its price volatility.
- Strategic Implications: By committing to regular disclosures, Uber not only demonstrates its focus on compliance but may also lay the groundwork for future financing or strategic partnerships, thereby strengthening its position in a highly competitive market.
See More
Lucid and Others Hit 52-Week Lows Amid Financing Concerns
- Lucid Stock Decline: Lucid's shares fell over 7.5% on Monday, extending a five-day decline to a 52-week low of $6.75, primarily driven by financing decisions and the appointment of a new CEO, reflecting market uncertainty about the company's future.
- Financing Concerns Intensify: Last week, Lucid announced a $1.05 billion capital raise, including a $300 million registered offering of common stock; despite Uber increasing its stake in Lucid to 11.5%, analysts lowered price targets, with TD Cowen cutting it from $19 to $10 and Baird from $14 to $12.
- Aspire Biopharma Financing Issues: Aspire Biopharma's stock declined for four consecutive days, hitting a low of $0.22 on Monday after announcing the closure of a $21 million private placement and securing an additional $22.5 million credit line for acquiring Dura Control Systems, indicating significant financing pressure.
- Wearable Devices Stock Drop: Wearable Devices' shares fell to $1.10 on Monday after entering a $5 million warrant inducement agreement, intended for working capital; however, the company failed to alleviate investor concerns regarding dilution and funding needs.
See More
Major U.S. Indexes Decline on Monday, Nasdaq Leads the Drop
- Market Performance Review: Major U.S. indexes closed lower on Monday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.26% to 24,404.39, and the S&P 500 slipping 0.24% to 7,109.14, indicating a market correction after three consecutive weeks of gains.
- CEO Transition Impact: Apple announced that CEO Tim Cook would transition to executive chairman, with John Ternus succeeding him; however, this news led to a decline in AAPL shares, reflecting investor caution regarding leadership changes.
- Escalating Middle East Tensions: Tensions in the Middle East intensified as the U.S. Navy fired on and seized an Iranian ship, raising concerns about upcoming peace talks, which could influence market sentiment and investment decisions.
- Retail Sales Data Expectations: Investors are looking forward to the upcoming March retail sales figures, which are expected to show an overall increase, potentially providing market support amid the backdrop of the Senate Banking Committee's hearing for the Federal Reserve chair nomination.
See More
Lucid Group's Stock Struggles: Key Insights
- Market Potential and Valuation Gap: Lucid Group's market cap stands at approximately $2.7 billion, while Rivian is valued at nearly $20 billion and Tesla exceeds $1 trillion, indicating significant upside potential for Lucid; however, its stock has plummeted by about two-thirds over the past year, exacerbating this valuation disparity.
- Lack of Profitability: Since going public in 2021, Lucid has never posted a profit or achieved positive gross margins, leading to waning market confidence in its future profitability, particularly as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle sector.
- Delayed New Model Launches: Lucid aims to produce a mid-sized model at its Saudi facility by the end of 2026, with two additional affordable models planned for 2028 and 2030, yet the scarcity of details raises uncertainty that could impact its market performance and investor confidence.
- Capital-Intensive Challenges: The electric vehicle industry demands substantial capital investment with long return cycles; Lucid's investors, including Uber and Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund, have motives beyond mere financial gain, adding further challenges to Lucid's financing and market confidence.
See More
Netflix's Long-Term Growth Potential Remains Significant
- User Engagement Growth: Netflix's management highlighted that, despite holding only about 5% of global TV viewership, its audience is nearing 1 billion, showcasing its strong appeal in a rapidly changing entertainment landscape and significant future growth potential.
- Market Penetration Opportunities: As of the end of 2025, Netflix's penetration in broadband households is less than 45%, indicating ample room for expansion in the global market, which can enhance market share through improved user experience.
- Long-Term Investment Value: The management emphasized Netflix's commitment to being a 'must-have service' for users, which not only aids in increasing retention rates but also solidifies its leadership position in a competitive market, attracting more investor attention.
- Strategic Development Focus: Netflix aims to enhance user engagement and content quality for sustainable growth, planning to tackle industry challenges through innovation and technology investments to ensure its competitive edge in the future.
See More
Amazon Boosts AI Investment, Stock Rises
- Amazon AI Investment Surge: Amazon's shares rose by 3% after announcing a deeper partnership with Anthropic, committing an additional $5 billion investment with plans to scale up to $20 billion over time, solidifying AWS as Anthropic's primary cloud provider and enhancing its competitive edge in the generative AI sector.
- Lucid Stock Gains: Lucid Group's shares increased by 2% following Uber's disclosure of an 11.5% passive stake, which strengthens their strategic ties, as Uber plans to purchase at least 35,000 Lucid vehicles, reinforcing their long-term partnership in autonomous mobility.
- AXT Stock Decline: AXT's shares fell by 8% after announcing a public stock offering, with proceeds aimed at expanding indium phosphide substrate production, raising dilution concerns despite the growth investment narrative, which negatively impacted investor sentiment.
- Alaska Air Outlook Uncertain: Alaska Air Group's shares dropped by 3% despite strong Q1 results, as the company suspended its FY2026 outlook due to fuel price volatility and geopolitical uncertainties, projecting an increase of approximately $600 million in expenses, which poses a significant headwind for EPS.
See More
Uber Files Scheduled 13G Disclosure
- Disclosure Filing: Uber Technologies disclosed a Scheduled 13G filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Sunday, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and compliance, aimed at enhancing investor confidence and maintaining market trust.
- Regulatory Compliance: The 13G filing is a necessary step for the company to adhere to securities law requirements, ensuring that its shareholders and potential investors have access to the latest information on its equity structure, thereby promoting a fair trading environment in the market.
- Market Reaction: While the specific contents of the filing remain undisclosed, such disclosures typically attract market attention, potentially influencing investor perceptions of Uber's stock and subsequently affecting its price volatility.
- Strategic Implications: By committing to regular disclosures, Uber not only demonstrates its focus on compliance but may also lay the groundwork for future financing or strategic partnerships, thereby strengthening its position in a highly competitive market.
See More
Lucid and Others Hit 52-Week Lows Amid Financing Concerns
- Lucid Stock Decline: Lucid's shares fell over 7.5% on Monday, extending a five-day decline to a 52-week low of $6.75, primarily driven by financing decisions and the appointment of a new CEO, reflecting market uncertainty about the company's future.
- Financing Concerns Intensify: Last week, Lucid announced a $1.05 billion capital raise, including a $300 million registered offering of common stock; despite Uber increasing its stake in Lucid to 11.5%, analysts lowered price targets, with TD Cowen cutting it from $19 to $10 and Baird from $14 to $12.
- Aspire Biopharma Financing Issues: Aspire Biopharma's stock declined for four consecutive days, hitting a low of $0.22 on Monday after announcing the closure of a $21 million private placement and securing an additional $22.5 million credit line for acquiring Dura Control Systems, indicating significant financing pressure.
- Wearable Devices Stock Drop: Wearable Devices' shares fell to $1.10 on Monday after entering a $5 million warrant inducement agreement, intended for working capital; however, the company failed to alleviate investor concerns regarding dilution and funding needs.
See More
Major U.S. Indexes Decline on Monday, Nasdaq Leads the Drop
- Market Performance Review: Major U.S. indexes closed lower on Monday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.26% to 24,404.39, and the S&P 500 slipping 0.24% to 7,109.14, indicating a market correction after three consecutive weeks of gains.
- CEO Transition Impact: Apple announced that CEO Tim Cook would transition to executive chairman, with John Ternus succeeding him; however, this news led to a decline in AAPL shares, reflecting investor caution regarding leadership changes.
- Escalating Middle East Tensions: Tensions in the Middle East intensified as the U.S. Navy fired on and seized an Iranian ship, raising concerns about upcoming peace talks, which could influence market sentiment and investment decisions.
- Retail Sales Data Expectations: Investors are looking forward to the upcoming March retail sales figures, which are expected to show an overall increase, potentially providing market support amid the backdrop of the Senate Banking Committee's hearing for the Federal Reserve chair nomination.
See More
