Citizens Begins Coverage of IREN with Market Outperform Rating and Sets Price Target at $80
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Analyst Views on IREN
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- Short Squeeze Risk Increases: Short interest in IREN rose from 41.95 million to 44.47 million shares, representing 14.03% of the public float, and with an average daily volume of 30.35 million shares, short sellers require 1.46 days to cover, thereby raising the squeeze risk.
- Equity Program Expansion: On March 5, IREN expanded its at-the-market equity program to $6 billion, although short-seller Jim Chanos questioned this move, highlighting the company's silence on its $500 million near-term digital revenue ARR target and deeming these deals uneconomic.
- Current Technical Analysis: IREN is currently trading at $40.34, which is 0.7% above its 20-day simple moving average but 14.4% below its 100-day simple moving average, and despite recent fluctuations, the stock has surged an impressive 491.28% over the past 12 months.
- Earnings Expectations and Analyst Outlook: The upcoming earnings report on May 13 is expected to show an EPS loss of 23 cents (down from 11 cents YoY) and revenue of $218.76 million (up from $148.10 million YoY), with a Buy rating and an average price target of $52.67.
- Strong Earnings Report: Serve Robotics reported a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of 34 cents per share, outperforming the expected loss of 53 cents, indicating significant improvements in cost control and operational efficiency, which bolstered investor confidence.
- Sales Performance Exceeds Expectations: The company achieved sales of $882,000, surpassing the consensus estimate of $762,500, demonstrating robust product demand that could drive future revenue growth and enhance market competitiveness.
- Significant Stock Price Increase: Following the positive earnings report, Serve Robotics shares surged 16.2% to $11.24 on Wednesday, reflecting market optimism about the company's future prospects and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Upgraded Sales Guidance: The company raised its FY26 sales guidance, indicating management's confidence in future performance, which may further drive stock price appreciation and enhance market recognition of its long-term growth potential.

Investment from Nvidia: Nebius is set to receive an investment from chip maker Nvidia, which is actively supporting the artificial intelligence sector.
Stock Performance: Following the news of the investment, Nebius's stock experienced a significant rise early Wednesday.

- Stock Performance: Nebius stock experienced a significant rise, increasing by double digits on Wednesday.
- Investment Announcement: The cloud-computing company is set to receive an investment from Nvidia, a major chip maker.
- AI Industry Support: Nvidia's investment reflects its ongoing support for the booming artificial intelligence sector.
- Market Implications: The partnership between Nebius and Nvidia may enhance Nebius's capabilities in cloud computing and AI technologies.
- Earnings Performance: IREN reported fourth-quarter revenue of $184.7 million, a 59% year-over-year increase, while adjusted EBITDA rose 20.7% to $75.3 million; however, the quarter-over-quarter decline reflects the company's strategic shift from Bitcoin mining to AI infrastructure investment.
- Market Reaction: Despite showing growth, investors were disappointed by the lack of new large-scale neocloud deals, particularly after a stock price increase in January, leading to heightened expectations for announcements similar to the partnership with Microsoft.
- Capacity Expansion: IREN secured an additional 1.6 GW of grid-connected land in Oklahoma, raising total capacity to 4.5 GW, yet with only 10% to 20% of current capacity leased, this expansion may raise questions about the scarcity of resources.
- Financing Situation: The company secured GPU-backed financing for the Microsoft deal at rates below 6%, and while skeptics criticize the deal's economics, if GPUs retain rental value beyond the five-year contract, IREN's discounted stock could represent a viable investment opportunity.
- Earnings Performance: IREN reported fourth-quarter revenue of $184.7 million, a 59% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EBITDA at $75.3 million, up 20.7%, yet both metrics fell quarter-over-quarter, highlighting challenges in the company's transformation process.
- Strategic Shift: The company is intentionally reducing its Bitcoin mining operations to invest in AI infrastructure, which, while causing short-term financial declines, may enhance its competitive position in the long run.
- Market Reaction: Despite management's comments on multiple advanced negotiations for larger-scale deployments, investor disappointment over the lack of new large-scale deal announcements led to a 23.8% drop in stock price in February, indicating market sensitivity to growth expectations.
- Capacity Expansion: IREN secured an additional 1.6 GW of grid-connected land in Oklahoma, increasing total capacity to 4.5 GW; although only 10% to 20% of this capacity is currently leased, this expansion could support future growth opportunities.









