Calculating the Components: FTLS May Have a Value of $81
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 12 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Performance Analysis: The First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF (FTLS) has an implied analyst target price of $80.67, indicating a potential upside of 12.93% from its current trading price of $71.43.
Notable Holdings: Key underlying holdings of FTLS, such as American Superconductor Corp. (AMSC), Dow Inc. (DOW), and Impinj Inc. (PI), show significant upside potential, with target prices suggesting increases of over 100% for AMSC and DOW, and nearly 59% for PI.
Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high targets could lead to downgrades if they are based on outdated information.
Investor Research Importance: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analyst targets in light of recent company and industry developments.
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Analyst Views on DOW
Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 34.240
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
Current: 34.240
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
About DOW
Dow Inc. serves as a holding company for The Dow Chemical Company and its subsidiaries. The Company conducts its operations through six global businesses, which are organized into segments, such as Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings. Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment consists of two integrated global businesses: Hydrocarbons & Energy and Packaging and Specialty Plastics. This segment employs a polyolefin product portfolio. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment consists of two customer-centric global businesses: Industrial Solutions and Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals that develop intermediate chemicals that are essential to manufacturing processes, as well as downstream, customized materials and formulations that use advanced development technologies. Performance Materials & Coatings segment consists of two global businesses: Coatings & Performance Monomers and Consumer Solutions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Earnings Forecast Upgrade: Dow anticipates approximately $2.2 billion in Q2 EBITDA, exceeding prior guidance and analyst expectations, indicating stronger-than-expected performance in tightening petrochemical markets, despite a 3% drop in shares due to broader market volatility.
- Demand Stability: CFO Jeff Tate noted resilient polyethylene demand and stable spending in DIY and coatings applications, suggesting strong performance potential as the company enters the seasonally stronger summer period, despite weak consumer confidence.
- Supply Chain Challenges: Ongoing Middle East conflict has disrupted global oil, ethylene, and polyethylene capacities, with supply chain normalization expected to take several quarters, exacerbating market tightness due to declining inventories.
- Cost-Saving Initiatives: Dow plans to reduce its workforce from 37,000 to approximately 29,000 by 2027, expecting to realize about $500 million in cost savings this year, demonstrating a focus on internal efficiency improvements and profitability enhancement amid economic uncertainty.
See More
Investment Opportunities After Dividend Cuts
- Dividend Cut Impact: Morgan Stanley highlights that while dividend cuts may lead to short-term stock price declines, stocks often rebound after initial reactions, particularly when companies improve their financial positions.
- Healthcare Realty Trust Performance: This real estate investment trust cut its dividend by 23% over the past year, yet its stock has risen 20% in 2026, with a current dividend yield of 4.7%, indicating management's execution is exceeding expectations.
- Dow Inc. Adjustment: After halving its dividend to 35 cents per share last July, Dow's stock has surged 42% in 2026, maintaining a 4.2% dividend yield, with the CEO stating this adjustment provides greater financial flexibility for high-return opportunities.
- Market Analyst Trends: Morgan Stanley's report reveals that despite dividend cuts from companies like LyondellBasell and DuPont, analysts remain optimistic about Dow, with nine analysts rating it as a buy or strong buy.
See More
Dow Jones Underperforms Today
- Today's Performance: Dow Jones is down 3.4% today, making it the worst-performing component of the S&P 500, reflecting market concerns about its future performance, which could impact investor confidence.
- Year-to-Date Performance: Despite today's decline, Dow has gained 41.4% year-to-date, indicating strong growth over the past period, but short-term volatility may prompt investors to reassess their positions.
- Other Component Movements: ServiceNow is down 3.0% today, indicating cautious sentiment towards its outlook, while SanDisk is up 5.7%, suggesting strong performance in the current market environment that may attract investor interest.
- Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment is affected by Dow's decline, potentially leading to increased scrutiny and volatility in the performance of other components, which could influence the broader market trend.
See More
Resin Shortage Impacts Electronics Pricing
- Resin Supply Disruption: The Jubail petrochemical complex in Saudi Arabia has halted production due to Iranian missile strikes, disrupting approximately 70% of the global supply of high-purity polyphenylene ether resin, which is expected to significantly impact electronics pricing.
- PCB Price Surge: According to a Goldman Sachs report, printed circuit board (PCB) prices have risen by up to 40% from March to April, directly affecting the costs of electronic products such as smartphones and computers, leading to increased price pressure on consumers.
- Supply Chain Vulnerability: TTM has indicated that despite its stock price rising over 400% in the past year, it plans to raise product prices by 5% to 25%, reflecting the erosion of profits due to rising raw material costs, particularly in lower-margin devices.
- Long-term Impact Warning: Experts warn that if the resin shortage extends into the autumn, electronics prices could reach their highest levels in a decade, prompting consumers to delay purchases of high-end devices due to rising prices and tight inventory.
See More
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- Stock Performance Analysis: Dow Chemical's recent closing price of $33.97 reflects a 0.7% gain over the past week, an 11.8% decline over the past month, and a 40.0% year-to-date return, indicating a mixed market reassessment of its potential and risks.
- Discounted Cash Flow Model: With a recent twelve-month free cash flow loss of approximately $591.1 million, projections estimate a free cash flow of $1.83 billion by 2035, leading to an intrinsic value estimate of $41.15 per share, suggesting the stock is undervalued by about 17.5% compared to its current price.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio Comparison: Dow currently trades at a P/S ratio of 0.62x, significantly below the industry average of 1.11x and peer average of 0.82x, indicating undervaluation, especially when compared to its fair ratio of 1.16x, reinforcing the perception of being undervalued.
- Diverse Valuation Perspectives: The bullish scenario for Dow suggests a fair value of $42.63, implying a 20.3% undervaluation, while the bearish scenario estimates a fair value of $27.00, highlighting the contrasting expectations of future growth and the need for investors to carefully assess potential risks and returns.
See More
Dow Inc. to Participate in 2026 Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference
- Conference Participation: Dow Inc. will participate in the 2026 Wells Fargo 16th Annual Industrials & Materials Conference on June 9, 2026, showcasing its leadership in materials science and expected to attract investor interest.
- Investor Engagement: Dow invites investors to join the live webcast of the conference through its website, with a replay and transcript available post-event, enhancing communication with stakeholders.
- Company Overview: Dow is a leading materials science company serving high-growth markets such as packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications, with approximately $40 billion in sales in 2025, indicating strong market demand.
- Global Operations: Operating manufacturing sites in 29 countries and employing around 34,600 people, Dow leverages global asset integration and customer-focused innovation to drive sustainable growth.
See More
