Braskem Gains Ground as Novonor Moves Forward with Stake Sale Negotiations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 15 2025
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Should l Buy BAK?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Braskem's Stake Sale: Braskem's shares rose by 5.5% after Novonor announced an agreement to sell a controlling stake in the company to private equity firm IG4 Capital, which will share control with Petrobras.
Novonor's Retained Stake: Novonor will keep a 4% stake in Braskem, which was previously collateral for unpaid loans, and has a 60-day period to finalize the transaction.
Potential Benefits of New Ownership: The change in controlling shareholders could improve Braskem's outlook, as the company faces challenges with low petrochemical margins and liabilities from environmental damage in Maceio.
Market Context: The deal comes amid ongoing financial struggles for Braskem, highlighting the need for a strategic shift to enhance its operational stability and market position.
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Analyst Views on BAK
Wall Street analysts forecast BAK stock price to fall
1 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 3.470
Low
3.30
Averages
3.30
High
3.30
Current: 3.470
Low
3.30
Averages
3.30
High
3.30
About BAK
Braskem SA is a Brazil-based company primarily engaged in the plastic production. The Company operates in the first and second generations of the petrochemical industry and its activities are divided into three operational segments: Brazil; the United States and Europe; and Mexico. The Brazil segment is focused on the production of polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP), polyvinylchloride (PVC) and caustic soda, among others. The United States and Europe segment is responsible for the production, operations, and sales of polypropylene in the United States and Germany. The Mexico segment comprises production, operation, and sale of ethylene, high-density polyethylene (HDPE), and low-density polyethylene (LDPE).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Braskem Reports Q4 Losses Nearly Doubling, Faces Material Uncertainty
- Deteriorating Financials: Braskem reported a Q4 net loss of 10.28 billion reais (approximately $1.96 billion), nearly doubling from 5.64 billion reais a year earlier, indicating significant challenges in financial management that could impact future financing capabilities.
- Revenue Decline: The company's Q4 net revenue fell by 7% to 16.1 billion reais, primarily due to tax writedowns, provisions related to the Alagoas salt mine incident, and currency effects, suggesting that while the core business remains intact, external factors have significantly pressured performance.
- Rising Debt: Braskem's adjusted net debt increased to $7.5 billion in Q4, with leverage surging to 14.74x, reflecting severe risks to its debt repayment capacity, potentially forcing the company to seek bankruptcy protection or pursue out-of-court restructuring in the coming months.
- Ongoing Governance Risks: Following multiple failed divestment attempts by controlling shareholder Novonor after Brazil's Carwash corruption scandal, Braskem faces ongoing governance risks, and despite recent rating upgrades, market confidence in its future remains fragile.
See More
Multiple Companies Set to Report Earnings
- Argan, Inc. Earnings Forecast: Argan, Inc. is expected to report earnings per share of $1.99 for the quarter ending January 31, 2026, reflecting a 10.36% decrease compared to the same quarter last year, indicating volatility in its profitability despite beating expectations in two other quarters over the past year.
- Oxford Industries, Inc. Performance Outlook: Oxford Industries anticipates earnings per share of only $0.05, representing a significant 96.35% decline year-over-year, highlighting severe challenges in the competitive textile industry, although the company has exceeded expectations three times in the past year.
- Veritone, Inc. Earnings Projection: Veritone is forecasting earnings per share of -$0.10, which is a 60.00% increase from the same quarter last year, yet it failed to meet consensus expectations in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting instability in its earnings potential.
- Braskem S.A. Financial Condition: Braskem is projected to report earnings per share of -$0.98, a staggering 151.28% decrease compared to the same quarter last year, indicating ongoing difficulties in the chemical sector, and it missed consensus expectations in the fourth quarter of 2024, underscoring persistent pressure on its profitability.
See More
IG4 Capital's Acquisition of Braskem Stake Approved by CADE
- Acquisition Approval: Brazil's antitrust authority CADE approved the agreement for IG4 Capital to acquire a controlling stake in Braskem from Novonor, marking a significant milestone in the long-standing dispute over control of the petrochemical company, with the agreement approved without restrictions.
- Shared Control: Under the deal, IG4 will share control of Braskem with oil giant Petrobras, while Novonor retains a 4% stake; the approval will become final in 15 days unless appealed or changed by board members, indicating a stable transition of control.
- Bankruptcy Risk: Braskem is reportedly burning through cash and may need to seek bankruptcy protection within the next 2-3 months, raising concerns about its financial health and potential impacts on stock performance, which could deter investors.
- Market Reaction: The approval from CADE alleviates market concerns regarding the slow progress of the deal, especially as IG4 had considered pulling out, yet Braskem's ongoing financial struggles remain a critical issue for stakeholders to monitor closely.
See More
BRAZIL'S BRASKEM: NORGES BANK REDUCES ITS HOLDING IN BRASKEM TO 4.96% OF CLASS A PREFERRED SHARES - FILING
- Norwegian Bank's Stake Reduction: Norges Bank has reduced its stake in Braskem to 4.96% of class A preferred shares.
- Impact on Braskem: This reduction in ownership may influence Braskem's market dynamics and investor perceptions.
See More
Braskem Reports 7% Increase in Q4 Polypropylene Sales Volume in the U.S. and Europe Compared to Last Year
- Sales Growth: Brazil's Braskem reported a 7% increase in sales volume of polypropylene in the U.S. and Europe for Q4 compared to the previous year.
- Market Performance: The rise in sales volume indicates a positive trend in Braskem's market performance in the polypropylene sector.
See More
Braskem Reports 59% Average Utilization Rate for Q4 at Its Brazilian Petrochemical Plants - Filing
- Brazil's Petrochemical Utilization Rate: The average utilization rate of Brazil's petrochemical plants is reported at 59%.
- Industry Performance: This figure reflects the operational efficiency and productivity of the petrochemical sector in Brazil.
See More
Braskem Reports Q4 Losses Nearly Doubling, Faces Material Uncertainty
- Deteriorating Financials: Braskem reported a Q4 net loss of 10.28 billion reais (approximately $1.96 billion), nearly doubling from 5.64 billion reais a year earlier, indicating significant challenges in financial management that could impact future financing capabilities.
- Revenue Decline: The company's Q4 net revenue fell by 7% to 16.1 billion reais, primarily due to tax writedowns, provisions related to the Alagoas salt mine incident, and currency effects, suggesting that while the core business remains intact, external factors have significantly pressured performance.
- Rising Debt: Braskem's adjusted net debt increased to $7.5 billion in Q4, with leverage surging to 14.74x, reflecting severe risks to its debt repayment capacity, potentially forcing the company to seek bankruptcy protection or pursue out-of-court restructuring in the coming months.
- Ongoing Governance Risks: Following multiple failed divestment attempts by controlling shareholder Novonor after Brazil's Carwash corruption scandal, Braskem faces ongoing governance risks, and despite recent rating upgrades, market confidence in its future remains fragile.
See More
Multiple Companies Set to Report Earnings
- Argan, Inc. Earnings Forecast: Argan, Inc. is expected to report earnings per share of $1.99 for the quarter ending January 31, 2026, reflecting a 10.36% decrease compared to the same quarter last year, indicating volatility in its profitability despite beating expectations in two other quarters over the past year.
- Oxford Industries, Inc. Performance Outlook: Oxford Industries anticipates earnings per share of only $0.05, representing a significant 96.35% decline year-over-year, highlighting severe challenges in the competitive textile industry, although the company has exceeded expectations three times in the past year.
- Veritone, Inc. Earnings Projection: Veritone is forecasting earnings per share of -$0.10, which is a 60.00% increase from the same quarter last year, yet it failed to meet consensus expectations in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting instability in its earnings potential.
- Braskem S.A. Financial Condition: Braskem is projected to report earnings per share of -$0.98, a staggering 151.28% decrease compared to the same quarter last year, indicating ongoing difficulties in the chemical sector, and it missed consensus expectations in the fourth quarter of 2024, underscoring persistent pressure on its profitability.
See More
IG4 Capital's Acquisition of Braskem Stake Approved by CADE
- Acquisition Approval: Brazil's antitrust authority CADE approved the agreement for IG4 Capital to acquire a controlling stake in Braskem from Novonor, marking a significant milestone in the long-standing dispute over control of the petrochemical company, with the agreement approved without restrictions.
- Shared Control: Under the deal, IG4 will share control of Braskem with oil giant Petrobras, while Novonor retains a 4% stake; the approval will become final in 15 days unless appealed or changed by board members, indicating a stable transition of control.
- Bankruptcy Risk: Braskem is reportedly burning through cash and may need to seek bankruptcy protection within the next 2-3 months, raising concerns about its financial health and potential impacts on stock performance, which could deter investors.
- Market Reaction: The approval from CADE alleviates market concerns regarding the slow progress of the deal, especially as IG4 had considered pulling out, yet Braskem's ongoing financial struggles remain a critical issue for stakeholders to monitor closely.
See More
BRAZIL'S BRASKEM: NORGES BANK REDUCES ITS HOLDING IN BRASKEM TO 4.96% OF CLASS A PREFERRED SHARES - FILING
- Norwegian Bank's Stake Reduction: Norges Bank has reduced its stake in Braskem to 4.96% of class A preferred shares.
- Impact on Braskem: This reduction in ownership may influence Braskem's market dynamics and investor perceptions.
See More
Braskem Reports 7% Increase in Q4 Polypropylene Sales Volume in the U.S. and Europe Compared to Last Year
- Sales Growth: Brazil's Braskem reported a 7% increase in sales volume of polypropylene in the U.S. and Europe for Q4 compared to the previous year.
- Market Performance: The rise in sales volume indicates a positive trend in Braskem's market performance in the polypropylene sector.
See More
Braskem Reports 59% Average Utilization Rate for Q4 at Its Brazilian Petrochemical Plants - Filing
- Brazil's Petrochemical Utilization Rate: The average utilization rate of Brazil's petrochemical plants is reported at 59%.
- Industry Performance: This figure reflects the operational efficiency and productivity of the petrochemical sector in Brazil.
See More
