Blackstone's Private Credit Fund Sees Rise in Non-Accruals
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy BX?
Source: seekingalpha
- Increase in Non-Accruals: Blackstone's private credit fund reported a rise in non-accruals to 2.4% at cost and 1.4% at fair value, indicating heightened potential risks in its investment portfolio that could adversely affect future earnings performance.
- Key Contributors Identified: The increase in non-accruals was primarily driven by Medallia, a software platform, and Affordable Care Holding, a consumer healthcare company focused on tooth replacement solutions, suggesting challenges in these sectors may impact Blackstone's overall investment returns.
- Market Reaction: The rise in non-accruals may undermine market confidence in Blackstone's credit fund, prompting investors to closely monitor its future risk management strategies and asset allocation adjustments.
- Industry Implications: This situation at Blackstone could trigger scrutiny across the private credit industry, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty, leading investors to reassess their risk appetite and investment strategies.
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Analyst Views on BX
Wall Street analysts forecast BX stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 129.730
Low
166.00
Averages
176.60
High
205.00
Current: 129.730
Low
166.00
Averages
176.60
High
205.00
About BX
Blackstone Inc. is an alternative asset manager. Its asset management includes global investment strategies focused on real estate, private equity, infrastructure, life sciences, growth equity, credit, real assets, secondaries, and hedge funds. Its Real Estate segment comprises its management of opportunistic real estate funds, Core+ real estate funds, and real estate debt strategies. Its Private Equity segment includes its management of flagship Corporate Private Equity funds, sector and geographically focused Corporate Private Equity funds, core private equity funds, an investment platform, and others. Its Credit & Insurance segment consists of Blackstone Credit & Insurance, which is organized into three overarching strategies: private corporate credit, liquid corporate credit and infrastructure and asset-based credit. Its Multi-Asset Investing segment is organized into four investment platforms: Absolute Return, Multi-Strategy, Total Portfolio Management, and Public Real Assets.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Growth Expectation: Blackstone is projected to report Q1 EPS of $1.34, reflecting a 22.9% year-over-year increase, while revenue is expected to rise 4.3% to $3.40 billion, indicating strong performance in the private equity sector.
- Management Fee Growth: The CFO indicated that management fees are expected to continue on a strong upward trajectory through 2026, particularly in private equity credit, insurance, and multi-asset investing, with real estate management fees remaining stable in the near term.
- Stock Underperformance: Despite robust fundamentals, Blackstone's shares have declined nearly 15% year-to-date, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 3.2% gain, reflecting market sentiment pressures regarding its private credit funds.
- Analyst Optimism: Oppenheimer upgraded Blackstone to Outperform, highlighting its unparalleled real estate business, which is expected to provide significant upside in the coming years, even amid ongoing market concerns about private credit defaults.
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- Earnings Highlight: Blackstone's Q1 earnings surpassed market expectations, driven by strong returns from infrastructure and tactical opportunities investments, showcasing the success of its diversified investment strategy.
- Real Estate Performance: The company's investments in real estate have performed exceptionally well, further solidifying its leadership position in the private equity market and expected to drive future earnings growth.
- Private Credit Focus: Blackstone's performance in private credit has garnered attention, demonstrating its ability to maintain stable returns amid market volatility, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Dividend Yield: With a current dividend yield of 3.7%, Blackstone attracts investors seeking stable cash flow, further enhancing its market appeal.
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- Dividend Adjustment: Blackstone has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.16 per share, representing a 22.1% decrease from the previous $1.49, indicating a cautious approach in the current economic climate that may affect investor confidence.
- Yield Information: Following this dividend adjustment, Blackstone's forward yield stands at 3.58%, which, while still attractive, may prompt some investors to reassess their investment strategies due to the significant reduction.
- Payment Arrangement: The new dividend will be payable on May 11, with a record date of May 4 and an ex-dividend date also set for May 4, providing shareholders with clear expectations for cash flow.
- Market Reaction: Although Blackstone's Q1 earnings exceeded expectations, bolstered by returns from infrastructure and tactical opportunities, the dividend cut may exert short-term negative pressure on its stock price, necessitating close monitoring of subsequent market developments.
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- Earnings Highlights: Blackstone reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.83, missing expectations by $0.49, indicating pressure on profitability; however, revenue reached $3.62 billion, up 10% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations by $220 million, showcasing resilience in revenue growth.
- Revenue Growth Drivers: Despite the EPS miss, Blackstone's revenue growth was primarily driven by strong returns from infrastructure and tactical opportunities investments, which not only improved the company's overall financial performance but also strengthened its competitive position in asset management.
- Real Estate and Private Credit: The Q1 report highlighted robust performance in real estate investments and significant attention on private credit, indicating Blackstone's success in diversifying its investment portfolio, potentially laying the groundwork for future earnings growth.
- Dividend Yield: With a current dividend yield of 3.7%, Blackstone offers relative attractiveness in the current market environment, which may attract more investors seeking stable returns, thereby further enhancing the company's capital base.
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- AUM Growth: As of December 31, 2025, Blackstone's total assets under management reached $1.304 trillion, exceeding the Visible Alpha consensus of $1.277 trillion and up from $1.275 trillion at the end of Q4 2025, indicating robust growth amid market fluctuations.
- Strong Inflows: The firm reported net inflows of $52.6 billion in Q1, although slightly below the Visible Alpha estimate of $54.3 billion, it still reflects strong investor confidence in Blackstone's strategies despite a turbulent environment.
- Earnings Beat: Q1 distributable EPS was $1.36, surpassing the consensus of $1.34, and while it decreased from $1.75 in Q4 2025, it significantly increased from $1.09 in the same quarter last year, showcasing ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Rising Expenses: Total expenses for Q1 were $2.26 billion, up from $2.12 billion in Q4 and $1.89 billion a year ago, with compensation and benefits rising to $1.74 billion, reflecting the company's commitment to investing in talent amid growth.
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- AUM Growth: Blackstone's total assets under management surged by 12% in Q1 to approximately $1.3 trillion, demonstrating its resilience and attractiveness in turbulent markets, thereby enhancing its competitive position.
- Inflows Breakdown: The firm reported nearly $70 billion in total inflows for the quarter, with its credit and insurance business contributing $37 billion and private equity adding $20.4 billion, indicating the effectiveness of its diversified investment strategy.
- Distributable Earnings Rise: Distributable earnings increased by 25% year-over-year to $1.76 billion, or $1.36 per share, reflecting the firm's profitability and stable cash flow amidst economic uncertainty.
- Successful Investment Strategies: Despite market volatility, nearly all of Blackstone's flagship investment strategies achieved positive appreciation, showcasing the effectiveness of its
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