Should I Buy BX? BX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Blackstone Inc (BX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

142.940

1 Day change

-2.62%

52 Week Range

190.090

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

BX is NOT a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who is impatient. The stock is in a short-term downtrend and is trading below nearby support, options positioning is defensive (puts outweigh calls), and a major near-term catalyst (Q4 2025 earnings on 2026-01-29 pre-market) adds binary risk. BX can be a solid long-term franchise, but the current setup is better for waiting for post-earnings clarity rather than buying immediately.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: BX at 146.445 (-1.21%) is below S1 (148.344) and sitting just above S2 (143.989), indicating weakening price action with support being actively tested. Momentum: MACD histogram is -1.493 and negatively expanding, which confirms bearish momentum is still building. RSI: RSI_6 at 25.578 signals oversold/washed-out conditions (even though the feed labels it “neutral”), which can lead to a bounce, but oversold alone is not a reliable long-term entry signal when MACD is deteriorating. Moving Averages: Converging moving averages suggest indecision/transition, but with current momentum negative. Levels to watch: Near-term support 143.99–148.34; reclaiming the pivot ~155.39 would be a more convincing trend improvement. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Both open-interest and volume put/call ratios > 1 show a bearish-to-cautious options stance (more puts than calls). Volatility: 30D IV 37.96 vs historical vol 30.73, with IV percentile 80.8 (elevated). This typically reflects higher event-risk pricing—consistent with earnings coming up—and tends to coincide with more defensive positioning. Activity: Today’s option volume is roughly in-line with the 30-day average (~95%), so this is not a one-day panic spike; it looks like steady caution rather than a capitulation signal.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Upcoming earnings (Q4 2025) on 2026-01-29 pre-market: potential upside surprise vs EPS estimate 1.51 could re-rate shares quickly.
- Deal activity: Blackstone Energy Transition Partners acquiring Arlington Industries (expected close Q1 2026) supports the electrification/energy-transition investing theme.
- Street commentary implies realizations could improve across alternative managers into 2026 (a tailwind if exits and fundraising pick up).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Near-term technical weakness: price below key support (S1) with a worsening MACD trend.
- Options market is positioned defensively (put-heavy), suggesting investors are hedging into earnings.
- Macro/event overhang: potential U.S. government shutdown headlines can pressure risk assets and deal/fundraising sentiment.
- Latest reported quarter showed notable YoY declines in revenue, net income, and EPS (pressure on confidence into earnings).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: 3.197B, down 13.73% YoY. - Net income: 624.9M, down 19.97% YoY. - EPS: 0.80, down 21.57% YoY. Takeaway: Growth trends were negative in the latest reported quarter, which makes the upcoming Q4 print especially important for confirming a re-acceleration narrative.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Ratings are mostly Neutral/Equal Weight, while price targets remain generally above the current price but have been mixed with slight trims (e.g., Barclays 172->171; BofA 199->189 while staying Buy; UBS initiated Neutral at 175). Wall Street pros: Expectation for improved realizations and a constructive 2026 backdrop for alternative asset managers; some see valuation/positioning improving. Wall Street cons: Current valuation/expectations still debated (hence Neutral-heavy coverage), and credit/performance concerns linger in the broader ecosystem. Influential trading (Congress, last 90 days): 4 buys and 4 sells (balanced), suggesting no clear directional conviction from that group.

12 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast BX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BX is 176.6 USD with a low forecast of 166 USD and a high forecast of 205 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

5 Buy

7 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 146.790

Low

166

Averages

176.6

High

205

Current: 146.790

Low

166

Averages

176.6

High

205

Barclays

Equal Weight

maintain

$172 -> $171

AI Analysis

2026-01-09

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$172 -> $171

AI Analysis

2026-01-09

maintain

Equal Weight

Reason

Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Blackstone to $171 from $172 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the alternative asset manager group as part of its Q4 outlook. Barclays expect realizations to pick up meaningfully across the board. The market-wide concerns around credit performance are overblown, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Wells Fargo

Finian O'Shea

Equal Weight -> Underweight

downgrade

$26 -> $24

2026-01-07

Reason

Wells Fargo

Finian O'Shea

Price Target

$26 -> $24

2026-01-07

downgrade

Equal Weight -> Underweight

Reason

As previously reported, Wells Fargo analyst Finian O'Shea downgraded Blackstone Secured Lending Fund to Underweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $24, down from $26, on a near-book valuation, which soon may be tested by its first dividend cut. An M&A comeback and slower wealth channel flows may lessen the Spreadwinds, but for now the firm sees one more year of earnings turbulence.

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BX Should I Buy

BX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Blackstone Inc (BX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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