CORECIVIC INC: BENCHMARK STARTS COVERAGE WITH A BUY RATING AND A TARGET PRICE OF $28
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy CXW?
Source: moomoo
Company Overview: CoreCivic is a company that focuses on providing correctional and detention services.
Investment Rating: The company has received a "Buy" rating from analysts, indicating positive expectations for its stock performance.
Target Price: Analysts have set a target price of $28 for CoreCivic's stock, suggesting potential growth.
Market Position: The coverage of CoreCivic's stock reflects its significance in the market and investor interest.
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Analyst Views on CXW
Wall Street analysts forecast CXW stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 19.440
Low
28.00
Averages
30.00
High
32.00
Current: 19.440
Low
28.00
Averages
30.00
High
32.00
About CXW
CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified, government-solutions company. The Company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential and non-residential alternatives to incarceration to help address America’s recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. Its CoreCivic Safety segment consists of correctional and detention facilities that are owned or controlled via a long-term lease and managed by the Company, as well as those correctional and detention facilities owned by third parties but managed by the Company. The segment also provides transportation services. CoreCivic Community segment consists of residential reentry centers that are owned or controlled via a long-term lease and managed by the Company. The segment also includes electronic monitoring and case management services. CoreCivic Properties segment consists of correctional real estate properties owned by the Company.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Supreme Court to Hear Landmark Birthright Citizenship Case
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- Core Constitutional Dispute: The case centers on the Citizenship Clause of the 14th Amendment, which states that 'all persons born or naturalized in the United States are citizens,' while the Trump administration seeks to adopt a narrower 'jurisdictional' theory that would exclude children of those without legal status.
- Market and Policy Implications: A ruling in favor of Trump's policy could create immediate administrative and economic ripple effects, impacting areas such as healthcare eligibility and future labor force projections, potentially leading to significant adjustments in social service systems.
- Political and Judicial Independence: The timing of the case is sensitive, as Trump has escalated his criticism of the judiciary, and legal analysts suggest this case could serve as a political tool for him, potentially resulting in a landmark victory for his immigration agenda or framing the conservative-led court as an obstacle to his domestic security goals.
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CORECIVIC INC: BENCHMARK STARTS COVERAGE WITH A BUY RATING AND A TARGET PRICE OF $28
Company Overview: CoreCivic is a company that focuses on providing correctional and detention services.
Investment Rating: The company has received a "Buy" rating from analysts, indicating positive expectations for its stock performance.
Target Price: Analysts have set a target price of $28 for CoreCivic's stock, suggesting potential growth.
Market Position: The coverage of CoreCivic's stock reflects its significance in the market and investor interest.
See More
Hahn Capital Management Acquires CoreCivic Shares
- New Position Disclosure: On February 25, 2026, Hahn Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing that it acquired 241,322 shares of CoreCivic for approximately $4.61 million, marking a new investment that now represents 2.49% of its reportable equity assets.
- Financial Performance Recovery: CoreCivic reported a revenue of $604 million in Q4 2025, a 26% year-over-year increase, with net income reaching $116.5 million, up 69%, indicating improved financial health and projecting EPS guidance of $1.49 to $1.59 for 2026.
- Market Performance Lag: As of February 24, 2026, CoreCivic's stock was priced at $16.47, down 9.7% over the past year and trailing the S&P 500 by 24.81 percentage points, reflecting market caution regarding its future growth prospects.
- Share Buyback Signal: In 2025, CoreCivic repurchased 11.2 million shares, signaling management's confidence in the company's intrinsic value, while this move is viewed as a contrarian bet in a portfolio otherwise focused on asset-light and industrial investments.
See More
ICE Plans to Reduce Detention Facility Network
- Detention Network Reduction: According to a Bloomberg report, ICE plans to reduce its network from over 200 detention centers to only 34 government-owned locations, significantly impacting revenue sources for GEO Group and CoreCivic, which together hold about 58% of ICE detainees.
- High Contract Dependency: Contracts from ICE account for nearly half of GEO's projected revenue of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion for 2026, while ICE revenues represent 40% of CoreCivic's total fourth-quarter revenue, indicating a high sensitivity to changes in ICE policy.
- New Contracts and Expansion: In 2025, GEO Group entered into new contracts to provide approximately 6,000 beds across four facilities, increasing ICE's total capacity from about 20,000 to approximately 26,000 beds, although future reliance will primarily be on government facilities, with private companies still involved in service provision.
- Negative Market Reaction: Shares of GEO and CoreCivic fell by 52% and 12%, respectively, following the announcement of ICE's reduction plan, reflecting market concerns over the policy change, while retail investor sentiment trended towards 'bullish'.
See More
GEO Group Falls 16.2%, CoreCivic Declines 11.4%
GEO Group Performance: The GEO Group reported a decline of 16.2% in its stock value.
CoreCivic Performance: CoreCivic experienced a decrease of 11.4% in its stock value.
See More
Supreme Court to Hear Landmark Birthright Citizenship Case
- Legal Challenge Intensifies: The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on President Trump's executive order to end birthright citizenship this Wednesday, marking one of the most significant constitutional challenges of the 2026 term that could affect millions of children born in the U.S.
- Core Constitutional Dispute: The case centers on the Citizenship Clause of the 14th Amendment, which states that 'all persons born or naturalized in the United States are citizens,' while the Trump administration seeks to adopt a narrower 'jurisdictional' theory that would exclude children of those without legal status.
- Market and Policy Implications: A ruling in favor of Trump's policy could create immediate administrative and economic ripple effects, impacting areas such as healthcare eligibility and future labor force projections, potentially leading to significant adjustments in social service systems.
- Political and Judicial Independence: The timing of the case is sensitive, as Trump has escalated his criticism of the judiciary, and legal analysts suggest this case could serve as a political tool for him, potentially resulting in a landmark victory for his immigration agenda or framing the conservative-led court as an obstacle to his domestic security goals.
See More
Key Wall Street Rating Updates from Tuesday
- Apple Services Strength: Evercore ISI reiterates Apple as outperform based on a survey of 3,500 smartphone users indicating continued strength in Apple Services like Apple TV, with both engagement and monetization trending higher, suggesting enhanced competitiveness in its services ecosystem.
- Ralph Lauren Brand Elevation: Citi upgrades Ralph Lauren from neutral to buy, citing management's brand elevation efforts that have driven strong performance, with a projected 6.5% sales CAGR and over 350bps EBIT margin expansion by FY26, indicating significant long-term growth potential.
- Ecolab Investment Opportunity: JPMorgan upgrades Ecolab from neutral to overweight, noting that the stock has declined since February 27 amid rising Middle East tensions, while the broader market is down 4%, suggesting a buying opportunity for investors anticipating a rebound.
- AI Infrastructure Market Outlook: Bank of America initiates coverage of Nebius Group with a buy rating and a $150 price target, highlighting the company's differentiated offering in the rapidly growing AI Infrastructure-as-a-Service market, expected to benefit from sustained demand for AI computing.
See More
CORECIVIC INC: BENCHMARK STARTS COVERAGE WITH A BUY RATING AND A TARGET PRICE OF $28
Company Overview: CoreCivic is a company that focuses on providing correctional and detention services.
Investment Rating: The company has received a "Buy" rating from analysts, indicating positive expectations for its stock performance.
Target Price: Analysts have set a target price of $28 for CoreCivic's stock, suggesting potential growth.
Market Position: The coverage of CoreCivic's stock reflects its significance in the market and investor interest.
See More
Hahn Capital Management Acquires CoreCivic Shares
- New Position Disclosure: On February 25, 2026, Hahn Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing that it acquired 241,322 shares of CoreCivic for approximately $4.61 million, marking a new investment that now represents 2.49% of its reportable equity assets.
- Financial Performance Recovery: CoreCivic reported a revenue of $604 million in Q4 2025, a 26% year-over-year increase, with net income reaching $116.5 million, up 69%, indicating improved financial health and projecting EPS guidance of $1.49 to $1.59 for 2026.
- Market Performance Lag: As of February 24, 2026, CoreCivic's stock was priced at $16.47, down 9.7% over the past year and trailing the S&P 500 by 24.81 percentage points, reflecting market caution regarding its future growth prospects.
- Share Buyback Signal: In 2025, CoreCivic repurchased 11.2 million shares, signaling management's confidence in the company's intrinsic value, while this move is viewed as a contrarian bet in a portfolio otherwise focused on asset-light and industrial investments.
See More
ICE Plans to Reduce Detention Facility Network
- Detention Network Reduction: According to a Bloomberg report, ICE plans to reduce its network from over 200 detention centers to only 34 government-owned locations, significantly impacting revenue sources for GEO Group and CoreCivic, which together hold about 58% of ICE detainees.
- High Contract Dependency: Contracts from ICE account for nearly half of GEO's projected revenue of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion for 2026, while ICE revenues represent 40% of CoreCivic's total fourth-quarter revenue, indicating a high sensitivity to changes in ICE policy.
- New Contracts and Expansion: In 2025, GEO Group entered into new contracts to provide approximately 6,000 beds across four facilities, increasing ICE's total capacity from about 20,000 to approximately 26,000 beds, although future reliance will primarily be on government facilities, with private companies still involved in service provision.
- Negative Market Reaction: Shares of GEO and CoreCivic fell by 52% and 12%, respectively, following the announcement of ICE's reduction plan, reflecting market concerns over the policy change, while retail investor sentiment trended towards 'bullish'.
See More
GEO Group Falls 16.2%, CoreCivic Declines 11.4%
GEO Group Performance: The GEO Group reported a decline of 16.2% in its stock value.
CoreCivic Performance: CoreCivic experienced a decrease of 11.4% in its stock value.
See More
