Analysis of AGNC Investment Trust's Returns and Risks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy AGNC?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- High Dividend Yield: AGNC Investment boasts a substantial 12.5% dividend yield, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 1.1% and the average REIT's 3.8%, yet its high volatility and declining trend over the past decade may deter income-focused investors.
- Business Model Distinction: Unlike traditional REITs that generate income through leasing properties, AGNC operates by buying and selling mortgage-backed securities, resembling a bond mutual fund, which introduces uncertainty and risk to its income generation.
- Total Return Performance: Despite the volatility in dividends, reinvesting AGNC's dividends since its IPO has resulted in total returns that exceed those of the S&P 500, indicating a potential diversification benefit for investors considering this mortgage REIT.
- Investor Suitability: AGNC may not be suitable for dividend-seeking investors due to its income instability, but for those focused on total returns, this mortgage REIT could serve as an effective tool for wealth accumulation.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy AGNC?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on AGNC
Wall Street analysts forecast AGNC stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.380
Low
10.00
Averages
10.44
High
11.00
Current: 11.380
Low
10.00
Averages
10.44
High
11.00
About AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp. is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company provides private capital to the United States housing market, enhancing liquidity in the residential real estate mortgage markets and, in turn, facilitating home ownership in the United States. The Company invests primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (Agency RMBS) on a leveraged basis. These investments consist of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a United States Government-sponsored enterprise, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac, and together with Fannie Mae, the GSEs), or by a United States Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae). It may also invest in other assets related to the housing, mortgage or real estate markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of AGNC Investment Trust's Returns and Risks
- High Dividend Yield: AGNC Investment boasts a substantial 12.5% dividend yield, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 1.1% and the average REIT's 3.8%, yet its high volatility and declining trend over the past decade may deter income-focused investors.
- Business Model Distinction: Unlike traditional REITs that generate income through leasing properties, AGNC operates by buying and selling mortgage-backed securities, resembling a bond mutual fund, which introduces uncertainty and risk to its income generation.
- Total Return Performance: Despite the volatility in dividends, reinvesting AGNC's dividends since its IPO has resulted in total returns that exceed those of the S&P 500, indicating a potential diversification benefit for investors considering this mortgage REIT.
- Investor Suitability: AGNC may not be suitable for dividend-seeking investors due to its income instability, but for those focused on total returns, this mortgage REIT could serve as an effective tool for wealth accumulation.
See More
Comparing High Dividends of AGNC and Ares Capital
- AGNC Overview: AGNC Investment boasts a monthly dividend yield exceeding 12.5%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's current yield of about 1.1%, indicating its appeal in low-risk fixed-income investments, although its 7.2x leverage ratio could impact dividend stability if market conditions worsen.
- Ares Capital Strength: As the largest BDC, Ares Capital focuses on providing direct loans to middle-market companies, achieving a 9.3% weighted average yield in its portfolio, and has maintained stable or growing dividends for over 16 consecutive years, showcasing its strong balance sheet and liquidity.
- Yield vs. Growth Trade-off: AGNC's higher yield and monthly dividend payments make it an ideal choice for risk-tolerant investors seeking income, while Ares Capital offers greater growth potential through increasing portfolio value and dividends, appealing to those seeking higher total returns.
- Long-term Return Performance: Since its IPO in 2008, AGNC has delivered an average annualized total return of 11.8%, while Ares Capital has provided a 12% annualized total return to investors over the past 20 years, highlighting both companies' stability and attractiveness under varying market conditions.
See More
Analysis of High Dividend Yields from AGNC and Ares Capital
- Dividend Yield Comparison: AGNC Investment boasts a monthly dividend yield exceeding 12.5%, while Ares Capital offers a quarterly yield of 9.6%, both significantly higher than the S&P 500's current yield of 1.1%, highlighting their appeal to income-focused investors.
- AGNC's Stability: AGNC has maintained its monthly dividend since 2020, supported by a 7.2x leverage ratio and a robust MBS market; although market fluctuations may necessitate future dividend adjustments, it has achieved an annualized total return of 11.8% since its 2008 IPO.
- Ares Capital's Growth Potential: As the largest BDC, Ares Capital's loan portfolio has a weighted average yield of 9.3%, and it has consistently paid stable or increasing dividends for over 16 years, demonstrating strong financial management and liquidity.
- Investor Choice: AGNC's higher current yield and monthly payments make it suitable for risk-tolerant investors, while Ares Capital's growth potential and stable dividends appeal to those seeking higher total returns.
See More
Analysis of AGNC Investment's High Dividend Yield
- Dividend Yield Comparison: AGNC Investment boasts a high dividend yield of 12.5%, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 1.1% and the average REIT's 3.8%, yet investors should be cautious due to its high volatility.
- Business Model Distinction: Unlike traditional REITs that generate income through leasing properties, AGNC Investment operates by buying and selling bond-like securities created from pooled mortgages, resembling a bond mutual fund, which complicates its revenue model.
- Investor Suitability: For dividend-focused investors, AGNC Investment may not be ideal as its dividends have trended lower over the past decade, leading to a decline in stock price and negatively impacting income and capital for investors.
- Total Return Advantage: Although AGNC Investment's dividends are unstable, reinvesting dividends since its IPO reveals that its total return has outperformed the S&P 500 index, indicating its potential value in diversifying an investment portfolio.
See More
Comparison of AGNC and Vici REIT Yields
- AGNC Yield Attraction: AGNC boasts an eye-catching forward yield of 12.8%, and while its projected EPS of $1.51 covers the $1.44 dividend, its declining earnings indicate a potential high-yield trap, suggesting caution for investors.
- Cost of Financing Pressure: AGNC generates cash by selling mortgage-backed securities (MBS), but with short-term rates exceeding long-term rates, its financing costs have risen, limiting profitability; if the real estate market remains sluggish, dividend cuts may be on the horizon.
- Vici's Stability: In contrast, Vici Properties, as an equity REIT, owns 93 entertainment properties and has maintained a 100% occupancy rate since its 2018 IPO, with projected adjusted funds from operations expected to grow 4%-5% by 2025, showcasing strong profitability and stable dividend payments.
- Leasing Model Advantage: Vici's leases are tied to the Consumer Price Index, allowing for rent increases in line with inflation, and its triple-net lease structure requires tenants to cover maintenance and taxes, further enhancing financial stability and dividend growth potential.
See More
High-Yield Stocks Attract Investor Attention
- AGNC Investment Advantage: AGNC Investment Corp leads with a 12.5% dividend yield, appealing to passive income investors with its monthly payments, having maintained this rate for over five years post-pandemic, indicating strong profitability in the robust Agency MBS market.
- Ares Capital's Stability: Ares Capital currently offers a 10% dividend yield, with its business model of direct loans to middle-market companies generating core earnings that exceed dividend payments, maintaining or increasing dividends for 16 consecutive years, showcasing strong financial stability and growth potential.
- Western Midstream's Growth Potential: Western Midstream Partners yields 8.9%, with stable cash flows and a strong balance sheet allowing it to cover distributions and capital expenditures, while planning to enhance dividends through acquisitions and organic expansion.
- Attracting Risk-Tolerant Investors: With dividend yields significantly higher than the S&P 500, AGNC, Ares Capital, and Western Midstream appeal to income-seeking investors despite potential market volatility risks, making them attractive options for those willing to take on more risk.
See More
Analysis of AGNC Investment Trust's Returns and Risks
- High Dividend Yield: AGNC Investment boasts a substantial 12.5% dividend yield, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 1.1% and the average REIT's 3.8%, yet its high volatility and declining trend over the past decade may deter income-focused investors.
- Business Model Distinction: Unlike traditional REITs that generate income through leasing properties, AGNC operates by buying and selling mortgage-backed securities, resembling a bond mutual fund, which introduces uncertainty and risk to its income generation.
- Total Return Performance: Despite the volatility in dividends, reinvesting AGNC's dividends since its IPO has resulted in total returns that exceed those of the S&P 500, indicating a potential diversification benefit for investors considering this mortgage REIT.
- Investor Suitability: AGNC may not be suitable for dividend-seeking investors due to its income instability, but for those focused on total returns, this mortgage REIT could serve as an effective tool for wealth accumulation.
See More
Comparing High Dividends of AGNC and Ares Capital
- AGNC Overview: AGNC Investment boasts a monthly dividend yield exceeding 12.5%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's current yield of about 1.1%, indicating its appeal in low-risk fixed-income investments, although its 7.2x leverage ratio could impact dividend stability if market conditions worsen.
- Ares Capital Strength: As the largest BDC, Ares Capital focuses on providing direct loans to middle-market companies, achieving a 9.3% weighted average yield in its portfolio, and has maintained stable or growing dividends for over 16 consecutive years, showcasing its strong balance sheet and liquidity.
- Yield vs. Growth Trade-off: AGNC's higher yield and monthly dividend payments make it an ideal choice for risk-tolerant investors seeking income, while Ares Capital offers greater growth potential through increasing portfolio value and dividends, appealing to those seeking higher total returns.
- Long-term Return Performance: Since its IPO in 2008, AGNC has delivered an average annualized total return of 11.8%, while Ares Capital has provided a 12% annualized total return to investors over the past 20 years, highlighting both companies' stability and attractiveness under varying market conditions.
See More
Analysis of High Dividend Yields from AGNC and Ares Capital
- Dividend Yield Comparison: AGNC Investment boasts a monthly dividend yield exceeding 12.5%, while Ares Capital offers a quarterly yield of 9.6%, both significantly higher than the S&P 500's current yield of 1.1%, highlighting their appeal to income-focused investors.
- AGNC's Stability: AGNC has maintained its monthly dividend since 2020, supported by a 7.2x leverage ratio and a robust MBS market; although market fluctuations may necessitate future dividend adjustments, it has achieved an annualized total return of 11.8% since its 2008 IPO.
- Ares Capital's Growth Potential: As the largest BDC, Ares Capital's loan portfolio has a weighted average yield of 9.3%, and it has consistently paid stable or increasing dividends for over 16 years, demonstrating strong financial management and liquidity.
- Investor Choice: AGNC's higher current yield and monthly payments make it suitable for risk-tolerant investors, while Ares Capital's growth potential and stable dividends appeal to those seeking higher total returns.
See More
Analysis of AGNC Investment's High Dividend Yield
- Dividend Yield Comparison: AGNC Investment boasts a high dividend yield of 12.5%, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 1.1% and the average REIT's 3.8%, yet investors should be cautious due to its high volatility.
- Business Model Distinction: Unlike traditional REITs that generate income through leasing properties, AGNC Investment operates by buying and selling bond-like securities created from pooled mortgages, resembling a bond mutual fund, which complicates its revenue model.
- Investor Suitability: For dividend-focused investors, AGNC Investment may not be ideal as its dividends have trended lower over the past decade, leading to a decline in stock price and negatively impacting income and capital for investors.
- Total Return Advantage: Although AGNC Investment's dividends are unstable, reinvesting dividends since its IPO reveals that its total return has outperformed the S&P 500 index, indicating its potential value in diversifying an investment portfolio.
See More
Comparison of AGNC and Vici REIT Yields
- AGNC Yield Attraction: AGNC boasts an eye-catching forward yield of 12.8%, and while its projected EPS of $1.51 covers the $1.44 dividend, its declining earnings indicate a potential high-yield trap, suggesting caution for investors.
- Cost of Financing Pressure: AGNC generates cash by selling mortgage-backed securities (MBS), but with short-term rates exceeding long-term rates, its financing costs have risen, limiting profitability; if the real estate market remains sluggish, dividend cuts may be on the horizon.
- Vici's Stability: In contrast, Vici Properties, as an equity REIT, owns 93 entertainment properties and has maintained a 100% occupancy rate since its 2018 IPO, with projected adjusted funds from operations expected to grow 4%-5% by 2025, showcasing strong profitability and stable dividend payments.
- Leasing Model Advantage: Vici's leases are tied to the Consumer Price Index, allowing for rent increases in line with inflation, and its triple-net lease structure requires tenants to cover maintenance and taxes, further enhancing financial stability and dividend growth potential.
See More
High-Yield Stocks Attract Investor Attention
- AGNC Investment Advantage: AGNC Investment Corp leads with a 12.5% dividend yield, appealing to passive income investors with its monthly payments, having maintained this rate for over five years post-pandemic, indicating strong profitability in the robust Agency MBS market.
- Ares Capital's Stability: Ares Capital currently offers a 10% dividend yield, with its business model of direct loans to middle-market companies generating core earnings that exceed dividend payments, maintaining or increasing dividends for 16 consecutive years, showcasing strong financial stability and growth potential.
- Western Midstream's Growth Potential: Western Midstream Partners yields 8.9%, with stable cash flows and a strong balance sheet allowing it to cover distributions and capital expenditures, while planning to enhance dividends through acquisitions and organic expansion.
- Attracting Risk-Tolerant Investors: With dividend yields significantly higher than the S&P 500, AGNC, Ares Capital, and Western Midstream appeal to income-seeking investors despite potential market volatility risks, making them attractive options for those willing to take on more risk.
See More
