American Electric Power Q3: EPS Beat, Revenue Miss, 10% Commercial Load Jump & More
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 06 2024
0mins
Should l Buy AEP?
Source: Benzinga
Quarterly Performance: American Electric Power Company reported third-quarter revenue of $5.42 billion, slightly below expectations, but adjusted operating earnings rose to $985.4 million, with adjusted EPS of $1.85 exceeding the consensus.
Future Outlook: The company has narrowed its FY24 adjusted EPS guidance and expects long-term growth of 6% to 8%, supported by a $54 billion capital investment plan over the next five years.
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Analyst Views on AEP
Wall Street analysts forecast AEP stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 134.660
Low
110.00
Averages
127.78
High
140.00
Current: 134.660
Low
110.00
Averages
127.78
High
140.00
About AEP
American Electric Power Company, Inc. is an electric public utility holding company. Its electric utility operating companies provide generation, transmission and distribution services to more than five million retail customers in Arkansas, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and West Virginia. Its segments include Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission and Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco and Generation & Marketing. The Vertically Integrated Utilities are engaged in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers. The Transmission and Distribution Utilities consist of the transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers. AEP Transmission Holdco is engaged in the development, construction and operation of transmission facilities. The Generation & Marketing segment conducts Marketing, risk management and retail activities.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Growth: American Electric Power (AEP) reported Q1 2026 operating earnings of $1.64 per share, totaling $891 million, an increase from $1.54 per share in Q1 2025, indicating sustained profitability that is likely to positively impact shareholder returns.
- Increased Contracted Load: In Q1, AEP contracted an additional 7 gigawatts of load, bringing the total expected contracted load to 63 gigawatts by 2030, up from 56 gigawatts last quarter, which sets a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- Expanded Capital Plan: The company raised its five-year capital plan from $72 billion to $78 billion, reflecting confidence in future investments while reaffirming a premium operating earnings growth rate of 7% to 9% for 2026 through 2030, expected to enhance long-term profitability.
- Risks and Challenges: Despite management's optimistic outlook, concerns were raised regarding PJM market performance and execution timing, emphasizing the need for greater clarity and certainty later this summer to address potential market structure changes.
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- Earnings Growth: American Electric Power (AEP) reported Q1 2026 GAAP earnings of $1.61 per share, up 7.33% from $1.50 in Q1 2025, reflecting strong performance amid increasing market demand.
- Full-Year Guidance: AEP reaffirms its 2026 operating earnings guidance of $6.15 to $6.45 per share, with an expected annual growth rate of 7% to 9%, indicating confidence in future profitability and stability.
- Capital Investment Plan: The company has increased its five-year capital plan to $78 billion from $72 billion to support anticipated load growth of 63 gigawatts, demonstrating a commitment to infrastructure development in response to market demand.
- Transmission Network Expansion: AEP's investment in its 765-kilovolt transmission network is expected to reach $33 billion, representing 42% of the five-year capital plan, further solidifying its competitive advantage in the U.S. power market to meet growing electricity demands.
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- Earnings Beat: American Electric Power reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $1.64, exceeding expectations by $0.07, indicating strong performance amid rising electricity demand.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $6.02 billion in Q1, reflecting a 10.3% year-over-year increase and surpassing estimates by $250 million, showcasing its competitive position in the power market.
- Optimistic Guidance: For 2026, AEP's EPS guidance is set between $6.12 and $6.42, with operating EPS guidance of $6.15 to $6.45, demonstrating confidence in future profitability despite commodity hedging impacts.
- Positive Market Reaction: The sustained growth in electricity demand and AEP's robust financial performance have led to a favorable market outlook, likely attracting increased investor interest in the company's stock.
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- Earnings Report Companies: Major companies expected to report earnings before Tuesday's open include Pfizer (PFE), PayPal (PYPL), Energy Transfer LP (ET), and Shopify (SHOP), whose results will significantly impact market sentiment.
- Additional Earnings Forecast: Furthermore, other companies slated to release earnings include ABEV, ADM, AEP, among nearly 70 firms, indicating heightened market activity.
- Market Reaction Expectations: With numerous prominent companies set to report, investor reactions could lead to stock market volatility, particularly in the technology and energy sectors.
- Importance of Earnings Season: The earnings season is a critical time for investors to assess company performance and market trends, expected to provide essential data for investment decisions.
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- Utilities Sector Performance: Despite a recent market cool-off, the utilities sector has risen over 8% in 2026, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's approximately 5% gain, indicating strong resilience and investment appeal in this sector.
- Entergy Leads the Industry: Entergy's stock has surged more than 27% year-to-date, on track for its third consecutive positive year, with an upward revision in its long-term earnings forecast, showcasing unique growth potential within regulated utilities.
- Analysts Optimistic: According to LSEG, the majority of analysts maintain a buy rating on Entergy, predicting a price increase of about 4% over the next 12 months, reflecting market confidence in its sustained growth trajectory.
- Capital Expenditure Drives Growth: NiSource and American Electric Power have also shown strong performance, rising over 15% and 17% respectively, with analysts noting that their capital expenditures related to data center expansion are closely linked to these gains, highlighting investment opportunities in the utilities sector.
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