Alta Fox Capital Establishes Significant $41 Million Stake in CarGurus
Alta Fox Capital's Investment: Alta Fox Capital has acquired 1,098,700 shares of CarGurus, valued at approximately $40.90 million, making it the fund's 4th-largest holding and representing 9.1% of its reportable assets.
CarGurus Overview: CarGurus operates a leading digital platform in the automotive market, focusing on connecting buyers and sellers while leveraging data-driven insights to enhance vehicle transactions.
Market Performance: As of December 8, 2025, CarGurus shares were priced at $35.84, reflecting a 1-year return of -7%, underperforming the S&P 500 by 20 percentage points.
Investment Strategy: Alta Fox's investment aligns with its strategy of targeting undervalued small-cap stocks, and despite some challenges, CarGurus maintains a strong market position and has shown resilience with a free cash flow margin of 17%.
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- Executive Purchase: CarGurus Director Stephen Kaufer bought 30,766 shares at $32.50 each on Tuesday, totaling a $1 million investment, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Reaction: Kaufer's purchase saw a 7.5% increase at the peak of Thursday's trading, with CARG reaching a high of $34.93, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the stock.
- Tennant Investment: On the same day, James T. Glerum Jr. purchased 8,163 shares of Tennant at $61.25 each, totaling approximately $499,980, marking his first buy in the past year and signaling optimism about the company's outlook.
- Stock Fluctuation: While Glerum Jr.'s investment is currently up about 4.4%, Tennant's stock dipped 0.1% on Thursday, indicating a cautious market stance towards its shares.
- Price Fluctuation Analysis: CARG's stock has a 52-week low of $24.65 and a high of $39.42, with the last trade at $34.13, indicating significant price movement within this range and reflecting market interest and investor sentiment changes.
- Market Trend Observation: The current price of $34.13 is approximately 86.7% of the 52-week high, suggesting strong performance in the market, which may attract more investor attention, especially influenced by technical indicators like the 200-day moving average.
- Investor Sentiment Assessment: The price fluctuations of CARG stock could impact investor decisions, particularly as the current price approaches the high point, leading investors to consider profit-taking or holding for potential further gains.
- Technical Analysis Signals: CARG's performance is closely tied to its 200-day moving average, and investors should monitor changes in this indicator to assess future price trends and market sentiment.
- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $27.00 put option is 35 cents, and if an investor sells this contract, their effective purchase price for the stock drops to $26.65, representing an approximately 11% discount from the current price of $30.40, making it attractive for those interested in CARG shares.
- Yield Potential Analysis: Should the put option expire worthless, it would yield a 1.30% return on cash commitment, equating to an annualized yield of 10.30%, indicating that this strategy can achieve substantial returns while managing risk effectively.
- Call Option Returns: By purchasing CARG shares at the current price of $30.40 and selling the $32.00 call option, investors could realize a total return of 7.07% if the stock is called away at expiration, highlighting the potential profitability of this strategy.
- Risk Assessment: Current data suggests a 57% chance that the $32.00 call option will expire worthless, allowing investors to retain both their shares and the premium collected, which would represent an additional 1.81% return, annualized at 14.37%.
- Significant Sales Growth: CarGurus achieved sales of $241.1 million in Q4, representing a 15% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $2 million, primarily driven by a 7% increase in paying dealers and an 8% rise in average revenue per subscribing dealer, indicating the company's sustained competitive strength in the market.
- Improved Profitability: The company reported an adjusted profit of $61 million, or $0.63 per share, a 17% increase from the previous year and in line with expectations, while operating income rose by 13% to $88.5 million, demonstrating effective strategies in cost control and revenue growth.
- Optimistic Outlook: CarGurus expects adjusted earnings per share to range between $0.52 and $0.58 in Q1, with sales projected between $240.5 million and $245.5 million, both above Wall Street estimates, reflecting the company's confidence in market trends and positive business outlook.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Revenue for FY26 is anticipated to grow by 10% to 13%, reaching between $997.7 million and $1.02 billion, surpassing the $993.98 million market estimate, indicating that the company's strategic focus on international expansion and AI-driven product launches will provide sustained growth momentum.
- Significant Revenue Growth: CarGurus reported Q4 2025 revenue of $241 million, a 15% year-over-year increase, with full-year revenue reaching $907 million, up 14%, indicating strong market performance and profitability.
- Accelerated International Expansion: The international segment saw Q4 revenue grow by 32% year-over-year and 27% for the full year, driven by accelerated dealer acquisitions and increased wallet share, further solidifying CarGurus' position in the global market.
- Innovative Product Launches: The company launched more new products in 2025 than in any prior year, with expectations for these monetized dealer products to grow approximately 15x in 2026, achieving eight-figure revenue levels, reflecting strong confidence in product innovation and market demand.
- Share Repurchase Program: CarGurus repurchased about $350 million in shares in 2025 and announced a new $250 million share repurchase program, demonstrating confidence in its value and commitment to shareholders.






