AI Trade Sentiment Reverses, Four Major Industries Hit Hard
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2026
0mins
Should l Buy APO?
Source: Benzinga
- Software Sector Hit: The iShares Tech-Expanded Software Sector ETF (NYSE:IGV) has plummeted nearly 20% year-to-date, making it the worst-performing industry, as fears mount that AI tools could disintermediate traditional software providers, causing forward P/E ratios for application software to drop from 35.3 to 23.7 and systems software from 35.5 to 23.3, reflecting market concerns over future earnings durability.
- Brokerage Pressure: Investment banks and brokerage firms are under pressure following the rollout of AI tools by fintech firm Altruist, with forward P/E ratios declining from 24.7 to 15.9, as the market fears that AI could replace traditional advisors in the future, leading to long-term margin compression.
- Insurance Broker Anxiety: Insurance brokers are facing disruption due to the integration of AI-driven tools, with the S&P Insurance Brokers industry index down 4% year-to-date; while the insurance sector remains relationship-driven, there are concerns that AI could erode commissions, impacting brokers' income stability.
- Asset Management Damage: Alternative asset managers are indirectly affected by significant exposure to private software companies, with many large firms down double digits year-to-date, as declining public software valuations raise concerns about their private portfolios, shrinking exit opportunities.
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Analyst Views on APO
Wall Street analysts forecast APO stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 108.170
Low
136.00
Averages
164.45
High
182.00
Current: 108.170
Low
136.00
Averages
164.45
High
182.00
About APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc. is a global alternative asset manager and a retirement services provider. It operates through three segments: Asset Management, Retirement Services and Principal Investing. The Asset Management segment focuses on three investing strategies: yield, hybrid, and equity. These strategies reflect the range of investment capabilities across its platform based on relative risk and return. The Retirement Services business is conducted by Athene Holding Ltd (Athene), a financial services company that specializes in issuing, reinsuring, and acquiring retirement savings products designed for the increasing number of individuals and institutions seeking to fund retirement needs. Athene product lines include annuities and funding agreements. The Principal Investing segment includes realized performance fee income, realized investment income from its balance sheet investments, and certain allocable expenses related to corporate functions supporting the entire company.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Financing Scale: Apollo-managed funds and other long-term investors have purchased $500 million of investment-grade rated senior secured private placement notes, providing robust financial support to ATSOL, a subsidiary of Adani Energy Solutions, aimed at enhancing its financial flexibility for future capital expenditures.
- Market Potential: Apollo Partner Jamshid Ehsani noted that India represents a significant player in the global infrastructure market, with strong economic growth and long-term demand for reliable power making this financing strategically important for advancing power infrastructure development.
- Capital Management: Adani Group CFO Jugeshinder Singh emphasized that this financing reflects over a decade of disciplined capital management, aiming to enhance India's power transmission and distribution infrastructure through prudent debt maturity extension and consistent access to high-quality global capital.
- Long-term Partnership: Eiji Ueda, Apollo's Partner and Head of Asia Pacific, stated that the Indian market offers abundant growth opportunities for Apollo, and this transaction further solidifies Apollo's role as a long-term financing partner supporting leading companies driving the Global Industrial Renaissance.
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- Investment Announcement: Apollo has provided $500 million in senior secured private placement to Adani Energy Solutions.
- Purpose of Funding: The investment is aimed at supporting Adani Energy's mission assets.
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- Share Price Increase: Papa John’s International shares experienced a significant rise on Wednesday.
- Takeover Interest: The surge in share price is attributed to reports of renewed takeover interest in the pizza chain.
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- Liquidity Concerns Intensify: Following JPMorgan's reduction of collateral values for some private credit clients, fears of a liquidity crisis have escalated, although industry experts suggest these concerns may be overstated, indicating a cautious market sentiment.
- Investor Redemption Wave: Retail investors have been pulling money from various private credit funds, particularly Blue Owl Capital and Blackstone, leading to increased redemption requests that reflect declining investor confidence and could impact the liquidity of these funds.
- Market Structure Risks: Goldman Sachs estimates that approximately 80% of the direct lending market is held in long-duration funds, separately managed accounts, and publicly traded business development companies, which typically do not allow for on-demand capital withdrawals, thereby limiting overall ecosystem risks.
- Concentration Issues: About $220 billion in assets are concentrated in retail-focused evergreen funds, which have rapidly grown among yield-seeking investors; however, concerns over loans to software companies have intensified, potentially leading to greater risk exposure.
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- Transparency Initiative: Apollo Global Management (APO) is set to disclose net asset values of its credit funds monthly, aiming to enhance transparency in private credit holdings amid increased scrutiny following high-profile company collapses.
- Market Size and Challenges: The private credit market, valued at $1.8 trillion, faces valuation complexities as these assets rarely change hands, and Apollo's initiative may encourage peers to adopt similar transparency measures.
- Investor Confidence: Apollo's efforts could alleviate investor concerns regarding private credit assets, particularly in a market environment where retail investors are increasingly wary, thereby enhancing market clarity and trust.
- Market Reaction: Despite the positive nature of Apollo's transparency initiative, its stock fell 2.1% in Wednesday trading, reflecting broader market concerns regarding private equity stocks.
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- Lawsuit Background: Apollo Global Management is facing a class action lawsuit due to its ties with Jeffrey Epstein, affecting investors who purchased securities between May 10, 2021, and February 21, 2026, with a filing deadline of May 1, 2026.
- Stock Price Volatility: Following negative news on February 1 and February 17, Apollo's stock price dropped by 5.7% and 5.4%, respectively, causing investor confidence to wane as shares fell from $126.85 to $118.34.
- Disclosure Issues: The lawsuit alleges that Apollo executives failed to disclose frequent communications with Epstein, rendering the company's claims of never doing business with him false, which significantly harmed its reputation.
- Regulatory Investigation Calls: The American Federation of Teachers and the American Association of University Professors have urged the SEC to investigate, claiming Apollo's communications to investors were misleading, potentially leading to further regulatory scrutiny.
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