XOM Should I Buy
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Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the stock has bullish technical indicators and a solid long-term growth plan, the recent financial performance shows declining revenue, net income, and EPS. Insider selling and mixed analyst ratings further suggest caution. The options data indicates bearish sentiment in the short term, and there are no significant positive catalysts to justify immediate action.
The technical indicators for XOM are moderately bullish. The MACD is positive and contracting, suggesting weakening upward momentum. The RSI is neutral at 57.172, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 140.533, and resistance is at 154.949. The stock is trading near its resistance levels, limiting immediate upside potential.
Analysts highlight Exxon's strong execution and differentiated portfolio.
The company's multi-year growth plan and 2025 project start-ups are expected to add $3B of earnings power by
Gross margin increased by 3.76% YoY in Q4 2025.
Insiders are selling, with a 395.31% increase in selling activity over the last month.
Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed declines in revenue (-1.26% YoY), net income (-14.57% YoY), and EPS (-11.05% YoY).
Mixed analyst ratings, with one downgrade to 'Underperform' citing valuation concerns.
Options data suggests bearish sentiment in the short term.
In Q4 2025, Exxon Mobil's revenue dropped to $80.039 billion (-1.26% YoY), net income fell to $6.501 billion (-14.57% YoY), and EPS declined to $1.53 (-11.05% YoY). However, gross margin improved to 22.08% (+3.76% YoY), indicating operational efficiency.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Positive ratings include price target increases from BMO Capital ($155), UBS ($171), and Barclays ($145), citing strong execution and growth plans. However, BNP Paribas downgraded the stock to 'Underperform' due to valuation concerns, and BofA maintains a Neutral rating, preferring other peers like Chevron.
