TSCO Should I Buy
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Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and while there is some positive sentiment from analysts, the company's financial performance shows declining profitability metrics. Additionally, insider selling and weak discretionary demand are notable concerns. It would be prudent to monitor the stock further, especially after the upcoming earnings report on April 21, 2026.
The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 42.304, and the moving averages show a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support and resistance levels are Pivot: 44.696, R1: 45.753, S1: 43.64, R2: 46.405, S2: 42.988.
The upcoming earnings report on April 21, 2026, could provide clarity on the company's performance.
Insiders are selling heavily (up 1295.87% last month). The company faces headwinds such as weak discretionary demand, higher diesel costs, and subdued pet spending. Financial metrics like net income, EPS, and gross margin have declined YoY in Q4 2025.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 3.31% YoY to $3.898 billion, but net income dropped by 3.81% YoY to $227.4 million. EPS declined by 2.27% YoY to 0.43, and gross margin fell by 0.59% YoY to 31.86%.
Analysts have lowered price targets recently, with the latest average price target at $56.39. Ratings remain mixed, with some firms maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings, while others have issued Neutral ratings citing headwinds in the retail environment.
