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TSCO Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
31.230
1 Day change
0.10%
52 Week Range
63.990
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The stock's technical indicators are mixed, with bearish moving averages and neutral RSI, while analysts have lowered price targets and expressed concerns about declining sales trends. Hedge funds are buying, but insider and congressional selling activity raises caution. The options data indicates bullish sentiment, but this is not enough to outweigh other negative factors. For a long-term investor, it may be better to wait for clearer positive catalysts or improved financial performance before considering this stock.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive at 0.296, indicating slight bullish momentum, but it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 46.006, suggesting no clear trend. Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), and the stock is trading below its pivot level of 30.378. Key resistance levels are at 31.26 and 31.806, while support levels are at 29.496 and 28.95.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are buying, with a significant increase of 15983.33% in buying activity over the last quarter. The company maintains a strong customer base and dividend yield, and its recent campaign raised significant funds for animal shelters, which may enhance brand loyalty.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling, with a 1295.87% increase in selling activity over the last month. Congress members have made 9 sale transactions in the last 90 days, with no purchases. Analysts have consistently lowered price targets, citing weak sales trends, structural declines in companion animal categories, and increased competition. The stock is down 51% from its 52-week high, and financial performance data is unavailable for further assessment.

Financial Performance

Financial data for the latest quarter is unavailable, making it difficult to assess growth trends. However, analysts have expressed concerns about declining sales trends and weak Q1 results.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have lowered price targets significantly, with the most recent targets ranging from $32 to $60. Ratings are mixed, with some firms maintaining Buy ratings but others downgrading to Neutral or Hold. Concerns include declining sales trends, structural declines in companion animal categories, and increased competition.

Wall Street analysts forecast TSCO stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TSCO stock price to rise
13 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 31.210
sliders
Low
6.92
Averages
59.82
High
70
Current: 31.210
sliders
Low
6.92
Averages
59.82
High
70
DA Davidson
Michael Baker
Buy
maintain
$50 -> $40
AI Analysis
2026-06-22
Reason
DA Davidson
Michael Baker
Price Target
$50 -> $40
AI Analysis
2026-06-22
maintain
Buy
Reason
DA Davidson analyst Michael Baker lowered the firm's price target on Tractor Supply to $40 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says it is reducing its estimates, noting that the hoped-for recovery following the company's Q1 earnings miss does not seem to be occurring based on its leading indicator analysis. Even at reduced estimates, the stock's valuation is now at 10-year lows on price-to-earnings basis, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Truist
Hold
downgrade
$44 -> $32
2026-06-16
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$44 -> $32
2026-06-16
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on Tractor Supply to $32 from $44 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm is lowering its Q2 comp forecast to down 2% from up 1.5% based on the Truist Card Data, which indicates that sales trends faded in the middle of the quarter and appear to be too far behind to hit its prior expectations for up low-single-digit comps, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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