KSPI Should I Buy
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Kaspi.kz AO (KSPI) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The technical indicators are bearish, and the stock lacks positive momentum. Additionally, recent analyst downgrades and a lack of significant positive catalysts suggest a cautious approach. While the company has shown strong revenue growth in its latest financials, the overall sentiment and technical setup do not support an immediate buy decision.
The technical indicators for KSPI are bearish. The MACD is negative and expanding downward, the RSI is neutral at 28.898, and the moving averages are in a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below its pivot level of 75.898, with key support at 73.01 and resistance at 78.786.
The company reported strong financial growth in Q3 2025, with revenue up 32.65% YoY and net income up 3.61% YoY. EPS also increased by 2.51% YoY.
Analysts have downgraded the stock recently, with price targets lowered significantly. The MACD and moving averages indicate a bearish trend. Additionally, there is no recent congress trading data or significant insider or hedge fund activity to suggest confidence in the stock.
In Q3 2025, Kaspi.kz reported revenue of 602.38 billion KZT, up 32.65% YoY. Net income increased to 279.42 billion KZT, up 3.61% YoY, and EPS rose to 1460.21, up 2.51% YoY. Gross margin remained unchanged.
Recent analyst actions have been negative. Susquehanna downgraded the stock to Neutral from Positive with a price target reduction to $87 from $130. JPMorgan also lowered its price target to $88 from $96, citing slowing growth in the financial technology sector.
