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KSPI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Kaspi.kz AO (KSPI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
73.170
1 Day change
-1.22%
52 Week Range
99.920
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Kaspi.kz AO is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are neutral, there are no strong proprietary trading signals, and the recent downgrade in analyst ratings along with declining net income and EPS suggest caution. While revenue growth is positive, the lack of significant positive catalysts and a bearish sentiment in options data do not support an immediate buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a slight bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 54.106, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 73.97, with resistance at 77.263 and support at 70.677.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
11
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue increased by 20.66% YoY in Q4 2025, showing strong top-line growth. The MACD histogram is positive, indicating some bullish momentum.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analyst downgrade with a reduced price target from $130 to $

  • Options data shows bearish sentiment with a high put-call volume ratio of 5.

  • No upward EPS revisions in the last three months, with two downward adjustments.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 20.66% YoY to 617.74 billion KZT. However, net income dropped by 11.19% YoY to 276.98 billion KZT, and EPS declined by 7.59% YoY to 1457.68 KZT.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Susquehanna downgraded Kaspi.kz to Neutral from Positive, reducing the price target from $130 to $87, reflecting a bearish outlook.

Wall Street analysts forecast KSPI stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KSPI stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 74.070
sliders
Low
107
Averages
107
High
107
Current: 74.070
sliders
Low
107
Averages
107
High
107
Susquehanna
Positive -> Neutral
downgrade
$130 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
Reason
Susquehanna
Price Target
$130 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
downgrade
Positive -> Neutral
Reason
Susquehanna downgraded Kaspi.kz to Neutral from Positive with a price target of $87, down from $130.
JPMorgan
Reginald Smith
Neutral
downgrade
$96 -> $88
2025-12-04
Reason
JPMorgan
Reginald Smith
Price Target
$96 -> $88
2025-12-04
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Reginald Smith lowered the firm's price target on Kaspi.kz to $88 from $96 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares as part of a 2026 outlook on the financial technology group. The firm sees a "soft-landing grind" in 2026 with slowing real growth for the sector, driven by a weakening labor market and the lagged tariff effects, partially offset by tax cuts.
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