FAST Should I Buy
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Fastenal Co (FAST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, hedge fund buying activity, and positive analyst sentiment outweigh the recent price decline. The stock's technical indicators and options data suggest a potential recovery, making it a suitable long-term investment.
The MACD is above 0 and positively contracting, indicating a potential bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 44.37, suggesting no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is near its key support level (S1: 43.668), which could provide a strong base for a rebound.
The company's Q4 financials show strong revenue, net income, and EPS growth.
The stock price has declined by 3.15% in the regular market and 0.29% post-market, reflecting short-term bearish sentiment. Gross margin dropped by 1.16% YoY in Q4, and options data shows a bearish short-term sentiment with a put-call volume ratio of 1.99.
In Q4 2025, Fastenal reported an 11.12% YoY revenue increase to $2.027 billion, a 12.17% YoY net income increase to $294 million, and a 13.04% YoY EPS increase to $0.26. However, gross margin dropped slightly to 44.33%, down 1.16% YoY, indicating some pricing pressure.
Analysts are generally positive on Fastenal. Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy with a price target of $52, citing confidence in low-double-digit sales growth and market share gains. Baird also raised its price target to $51, maintaining an Outperform rating. However, Barclays lowered its price target to $43, citing concerns over volume growth at the expense of pricing.
