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FAST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Fastenal Co (FAST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
45.560
1 Day change
-0.48%
52 Week Range
50.630
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Fastenal Co (FAST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive sales growth, and hedge fund buying activity outweigh the negative technical indicators and insider selling. The stock's potential for long-term growth, supported by analyst optimism and robust financials, aligns well with the user's investment strategy.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.212), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 36.651, and moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 44.174), with resistance levels at R1: 48.873 and R2: 50.324.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions in the stock, with a 2836.19% rise in buying activity.

  • Strong Q1 financial performance with 12.4% YoY revenue growth and 13.76% net income growth.

  • Analysts maintain optimistic ratings, with targets ranging from $42 to $55, reflecting potential upside.

  • The stock has a 60% chance of increasing by 9.84% in the next month based on historical patterns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling shares, with a 147.77% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Gross margin dropped by 1.04% YoY, raising concerns about pricing pressures.

  • Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum and indecision in the short term.

Financial Performance

Fastenal reported strong Q1 2026 financials, with revenue of $2.201 billion (up 12.37% YoY), net income of $339.8 million (up 13.76% YoY), and EPS of $0.30 (up 15.38% YoY). However, gross margin declined slightly to 44.64%, down 1.04% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed but lean positive. Baird and BofA maintain Outperform and Buy ratings, with price targets of $50 and $55, respectively, citing strong demand and improved pricing setup. Bernstein raised its target to $42 but maintains an Underperform rating due to concerns over margins and pricing implementation delays.

Wall Street analysts forecast FAST stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FAST stock price to fall
3 Buy
3 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 45.780
sliders
Low
38
Averages
45
High
52
Current: 45.780
sliders
Low
38
Averages
45
High
52
Barclays
Equal Weight
maintain
$44 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-04-17
New
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$44 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-04-17
New
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on Fastenal to $45 from $44 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The company reported strong Q1 volumes but its pricing came in below expectations, the analyst tells investors in a research note. It cites Fastenal's higher volumes and better expense control for the target bump.
Baird
David Manthey
Outperform
downgrade
$52 -> $50
2026-04-14
Reason
Baird
David Manthey
Price Target
$52 -> $50
2026-04-14
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst David Manthey lowered the firm's price target on Fastenal to $50 from $52 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q1 results where the demand and pricing setup are improved going into the second half of the year.
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