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FAST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Fastenal Co (FAST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
45.890
1 Day change
2.25%
52 Week Range
50.630
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Fastenal Co (FAST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock shows bullish moving averages, strong hedge fund buying, positive congressional trading sentiment, and a favorable long-term growth outlook. Despite some margin challenges, the company's consistent sales growth and strong analyst price targets make it a solid choice.

Technical Analysis

The stock's moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an upward trend. However, the MACD histogram is negative (-0.03) and expanding negatively, suggesting short-term weakness. RSI is neutral at 51.215, and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 46.183, with support at 44.983 and resistance at 47.382.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low option volume put-call ratio (0.2) indicates bullish sentiment among options traders, while the open interest put-call ratio (1.02) is neutral. Implied volatility is at 33.11, with an IV percentile of 82.94, suggesting the stock is trading at relatively high volatility compared to its historical range.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity (2836.19% rise).

  • Congress members have shown positive sentiment with a recent purchase in the $0.8M range.

  • Analysts maintain strong price targets, with some as high as $

  • The stock has a 70% chance of rising 4.78% in the next month based on candlestick patterns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling, with a 147.77% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Analysts have noted near-term margin challenges, which could pressure earnings.

  • MACD indicates short-term weakness.

Financial Performance

No financial data available for the latest quarter. However, analysts expect Q2 net sales to grow by 11.7%, supported by strong April and May sales growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed but leans positive. DA Davidson initiated coverage with a Neutral rating and a $46 price target, citing near-term margin challenges. Jefferies and BofA maintain Buy ratings with price targets of $52 and $55, respectively. Barclays and Baird have raised their price targets, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory.

Wall Street analysts forecast FAST stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FAST stock price to rise
3 Buy
3 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 44.880
sliders
Low
38
Averages
45
High
52
Current: 44.880
sliders
Low
38
Averages
45
High
52
DA Davidson
Neutral
initiated
$46
AI Analysis
2026-06-15
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$46
AI Analysis
2026-06-15
initiated
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson initiated coverage of Fastenal with a Neutral rating and $46 price target. The company has shown the ability to post double-digit sales growth, well ahead of peers, and to be a "cross-cycle earnings compounder," the analyst tells investors in a research note. However, DA views Fastenal's consensus estimates as slightly too high due to near-term margin challenges.
Jefferies
Buy
maintain
$52
2026-06-04
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$52
2026-06-04
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies notes that Q2 consensus sees Fastenal net sales growing 11.7%, pointing out that the April and May readings imply just about 6% average daily sales growth for June needed to reach expectations. The firm, which continues to see short-cycle green shoots broadening out, keeps a Buy rating and $52 price target on Fastenal shares.
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