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ESNT Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
58.450
1 Day change
-1.03%
52 Week Range
67.090
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) does not currently present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock lacks clear positive catalysts, has insider selling activity, and its technical indicators and options data do not suggest a strong upward momentum. Analysts' ratings are mixed, and there are no recent news or significant financial updates to support a buy decision at this time.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI is neutral at 49.889, showing no clear overbought or oversold condition. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. Key support is at 56.681 and resistance at 59.339, with the stock currently trading near its pivot point of 58.01.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • The stock is trading below its tangible book value, making it relatively undervalued compared to peers. Analysts have highlighted positive risk/reward at current valuations.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased significantly (184.94% over the last month), which could indicate lack of confidence from insiders. The stock trend analysis suggests a potential decline in the next week (-3.51%) and next month (-2.86%). Analysts have noted slow growth in the mortgage insurance business due to affordability issues.

Financial Performance

No financial data available for the latest quarter. Unable to assess growth trends.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts' ratings are mixed. Keefe Bruyette upgraded the stock to Outperform with a $73 price target, citing valuation. However, Roth Capital lowered its price target to $65, citing maturity in the mortgage insurance business. Other firms like Barclays and JPMorgan have adjusted targets downward due to macroeconomic concerns and slow growth in the mortgage insurance sector.

Wall Street analysts forecast ESNT stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ESNT stock price to rise
2 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 59.060
sliders
Low
65
Averages
69.8
High
75
Current: 59.060
sliders
Low
65
Averages
69.8
High
75
Keefe Bruyette
Market Perform
to
Outperform
upgrade
$73
AI Analysis
2026-06-04
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$73
AI Analysis
2026-06-04
upgrade
Market Perform
to
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette upgraded Essent Group to Outperform from Market Perform with an unchanged price target of $73. The firm attributes the recent weakness in the mortgage insurer group to credit concerns as Q1 delinquencies came in modestly higher than expectations. The shares of several names are trading below book value, with Essent the cheapest at 93% of Q1 tangible book value, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Keefe cites valuation for the upgrade of the shares.
Roth Capital
Harry Fong
Buy
downgrade
$75 -> $65
2026-06-03
Reason
Roth Capital
Harry Fong
Price Target
$75 -> $65
2026-06-03
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Harry Fong lowered the firm's price target on Essent Group to $65 from $75 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's mortgage insurance business has reached maturity, and accordingly, its earnings will more closely parallel other established mortgage insurers, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The mortgage insurance business is still stuck in a slow growth environment as affordability holds back new mortgage insurance business, the firm added.
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